1. I am curious as to how you developed an assumption of a $100k base?
Just a number plucked out of the air.
2. What value should I place on an hourly meeting each, say, week? What value should I use to offset this with the horsepower and sheer grunt brought to the table by others? What of the value that can be brought by others questioning my own assumptions when they are clearly skilled enough to do so profitably? What is the value I should assign to training (or being trained by) those so inclined, by motivation and ability, to do this stuff at something approximating professional levels over time and building an efficient team suitable for purpose? People of this calibre absolutely exist on this forum. Good teams stay together because they find mutual benefit…and because they like each other. I am hopeful of one or two more eager/skilled participants to join HHSE’s merry band of three. Then, if our interests and objectives are even aligned, we’ll see what happens. If the mix is right, I think this will be worth investing time in to. After all, many investment conversations in ASF are present to share thoughts and receive debate. It appears options are rather rarer birds in this regard and effort is required to develop such exchange.
If this is the aim then I'm sure there are those who have plenty to offer and those who wish to be involved in that which is being offered. The return is not the sole or even main aim of the group.
3.Do you imagine that the information and effort used to trade non-directionally is somehow different to the data you look at to trade directionally? Is it not possible to look at a piece of data and see no potential for a directional play and yet find potential for the non-directional play, for example? Thus, is it truly more costly to enter the non-directional field or is it actually extracting more productivity from existing efforts anyway? Two birds with one stone?
Absolutely
4.What costs are there to setting up a trading group in order to protect myself? I am not sure what you envisage here.
Personally I have a rule.
If I cant control it I wont become involved.
but if you must have partners then i suggest you cover all areas where things could become muddied---like losses---who decides to do what--someone wants out.---The list goes on
5.I have 6 ETFs in my stable of investments and also a bunch of index and other futures (which are essentially another form of ETF). These form part of a broader arrangement which I would not exactly describe as index oriented. Together they cover markets all around the world from developed to emerging, from bonds to equities to commodities. None of them has an expectation that approaches 15% per annum, considering the equity risk premium is presently 4-6% per annum for major developed markets. That leaves them rather short of a 15% expected return target. What are you seeing?
What am I seeing
Time in exchange for return---nothing more.
I adhere where I Can to the Pareto Principal.
I see this as fitting outside of the principal.
Further, whatever it is that you are seeing, will it be diversifying to a bulk equity risk premium risk exposure?
Yes ---well to me at least---but perhaps a little differently than you allude to here.
I have developed 4 areas of key income production
(1) Business---personal remuneration and Company profit distributed to super and trusts.
(2) Property development both as an individual and shortly within SMSF.
(3) Investments Both within SMSF and personal
(4) Trading--more as an interest than accumulation of Funds---I doubt I could ever out perform the other 3 in return by---simply trading---considering funds deployed.