Trump Era 2025-2029 : Stock and Economic Comment

[Craton]

Clapping at Trump's stupidity.

I honestly think there'll be more bull traps coming in the future markets.

Just when you think the markets have settled, they'll take some crazy turn for the worse.

Lol, yep, with or without that orange goon...

 

[wayneL]

The Trump administration, seeing the apparent economic genius of ASF members, is hiring people exclusively from this platform's economic savants to save the world economy.

Due to the urgency, curriculum vitaes will be accepted at Mar a Lago for the next seven days. So gentleman, get to it, the world economy needs you. Special consideration given to tractor drivers, minor employees of companies, retired union organisers, pompous technicians, and TDS sufferers.

The position is honorary, but insider trading is allowed in keeping with accepted Democratic practice

 

[Knobby22]

Goldman Sachs is now projecting that the United States will have the lowest economic growth AND the highest inflation rate of any developed economy in 2025.

How much more winning before we can go back to losing?
~Spencer Hakimian

 

[DannyB0000]

Goldman Sachs is now projecting that the United States will have the lowest economic growth AND the highest inflation rate of any developed economy in 2025.

How much more winning before we can go back to losing?
~Spencer Hakimian

View attachment 198689

Just pray to the Stockmarket Gods they don’t end up with Stagflation

 

[finicky]

Kamala Harris bizarrely references viral elephant video in speech attacking Trump’s ‘vision for America’ after first 100 days: ‘Google it’

The former VP described a dystopian view of the nation under her former 2024 foe — before bizarrely shifting focus to a lighthearted video of elephants at the San Diego Zoo during an earthqua…

nypost.com

Just a reminder that there are some here who would have gladly seen this epitome of 'style' over substance, this phoney, this morally vacant disaster, triumph over a very nearly assassinated Donald Trump. I mean just look at the fatuous ingratiating self presentation. She and her elitist circle would put paid to America as it's been known. Would've destroyed its roots. This has been the agenda from Barack Obama onwards, I'm convinced of it. Symbolized by the destruction of statues, the smearing of cultural icons and their replacement with BLM's George Floyd ffs, and the fearless young girl confronting the bull of Wall Street. Reveals how powerful cultural conditioning is over sleep-walking useful idiots. Morons!

 

[sptrawler]

At some point Trump has to stop blaming Biden or Blind Freddy and accept at least some responsibility for running the country as PRESIDENT. Man up or grow up !. Voters will blame him if their economy tanks and things get a lot worse.

How many times can someone blame Blind Freddy when things go wrong anyway ?

You can't throw a hand grenade into a room full of self serving rich people, huddled around a pot of money and not expect a lot $hit to blow up. Lol

 

[farmerge]

You can't throw a hand grenade into a room full of self serving rich people, huddled around a pot of money and not expect a lot $hit to blow up. Lol

@sptrawler I guess when the filthy rich start to take a hip pocket nerve hit, then the POTUS could well be in serious trouble.
They are in the main the suppliers of the necessary money.

 

[sptrawler]

@sptrawler I guess when the filthy rich start to take a hip pocket nerve hit, then the POTUS could well be in serious trouble.
They are in the main the suppliers of the necessary money.

Well if was in their pocket, he certainly isn't now.

 

[Knobby22]

Well he has sacked Mike Waltz National Security Advisor who was responsible for using Signal instead of using proper protocols.

I think the lowest approval rating in history has Trump on the warpath on incompetence. Rubio temporarily taking over. ( note, not another Maga].

 

[finicky]

I think the lowest approval rating in history

Who's saying this? It must have changed very recently and drastically from the sources I follow (mostly on youtube).
Have people already forgotten the biased sampling and the tendentious* construction of polls only months ago that led to false conclusions? They were saying Kamala was on a winner. Remember the academic buffoon with "The 13 Keys" to POTUS? He said Kamala would win by a landslide. They were saying Trump wouldn't win his first presidency in 2016. The same thing happened here years back with Scott Morrison.

*tendentious
adjective
expressing or intending to promote a particular cause or point of view, especially a controversial one.

 

[farmerge]

Well he has sacked Mike Waltz National Security Advisor who was responsible for using Signal instead of using proper protocols.

I think the lowest approval rating in history has Trump on the warpath on incompetence. Rubio temporarily taking over. ( note, not another Maga].

@Knobby22 Now The Trumpet has appointed the disgraced and sacked Mike Waltz as Ambassador to the UN. man o man The trumpets has more twists and turns than The Zig Zag Road.

 

[Knobby22]

Who's saying this? It must have changed very recently and drastically from the sources I follow (mostly on youtube).
Have people already forgotten the biased sampling and the tendentious* construction of polls only months ago that led to false conclusions? They were saying Kamala was on a winner. Remember the academic buffoon with "The 13 Keys" to POTUS? He said Kamala would win by a landslide. They were saying Trump wouldn't win his first presidency in 2016. The same thing happened here years back with Scott Morrison.

*tendentious
adjective
expressing or intending to promote a particular cause or point of view, especially a controversial one.

Fox News.

 

[finicky]

I choose not to believe any pollster based on record. Fox is great but 1/ it is also a business channel and 2/ they engage a pollster - the pollster is not Fox, even though Fox might stand by it. Also public opinion seems to turn in a dime - they might be whingeing now but in a couple of years who knows? Public opinion is, for the most part I'd argue, irrational, emotional and in the moment - it's a whinge fest like many here.

Fox News op-ed implores readers to ‘ignore biased polls,’ ignores Fox News poll

The omission comes as Trump adviser Stephen Miller railed against Fox News in a recent interview and urged the network to ‘fire its pollster’

www.independent.co.uk

"He (Trump) also cited McLaughlin, claiming that his trusted pollster found that the surveys from the New York Times and Washington Post were “FAKE POLLS FROM FAKE NEWS ORGANIZATIONS.”Meanwhile, during his interview with Roberts, Miller* took exception to the anchor referencing the latest Fox News poll to assert that voters felt that the president is wasting too much time on tariffs and not enough energy on lowering prices.

“I don’t want to make things weird for you, John, but it is our opinion that Fox News needs to fire its pollster,” Miller grumbled, adding that the “Fox News pollster has always been wrong about President Trump” and the White House “does not acknowledge any of that polling.”

Standing there silent while Miller* ravaged his network’s polling, which has generally been considered highly respected in the industry, Roberts would only address the situation after the interview wrapped up. “He made a remark that was critical of our polling,” Roberts said later in the broadcast. “Here at Fox News, we stand by our polling, as we always have.”

*Stephen Miller (born August 23, 1985) is an American political advisor serving as the 12th United States homeland security advisor and White House deputy chief of staff for policy since 2025"

 

[wayneL]

@Knobby22 Now The Trumpet has appointed the disgraced and sacked Mike Waltz as Ambassador to the UN. man o man The trumpets has more twists and turns than The Zig Zag Road.

You wanna stop believing the BS in the MSM. It is simply a promotion.

 

[Garpal Gumnut]

I find BBC Business a good source for quick updates on world economics. The latest delivered to my inbox.

​ Michelle Fleury​ New York business correspondent​ Hello. Data out today revealed the US economy shrank in the first three months of the year - our live page has reaction to the figures, which underline the tensions between American firms and the White House. Asset manager David Rubenstein, co-chairman of the Carlyle Group, recently noted US President Donald Trump's aggressive response to criticism was an "effective tool" for silencing dissenting business leaders. As I'll explore, the feud with Amazon highlights corporate America's struggle to deal with the fallout from Trump's trade policies. ‌ While executives might yet help force Trump into retreat on tariffs, things could also escalate, writes our economics editor Faisal Islam. This week, we review five cards held by China in the diplomatic match-up and examine potential benefits of tariffs to South America and Australia. And with a cyber-attack dealing British High Street institution Marks & Spencer a reputational "bruising", as one analyst put it, we hear from "bug hunters" helping firms avoid such scenarios. ‌ Finally, I'd love to know which bits of the newsletter you like best, so if you have a minute (and it'll take no more) please fill in this short survey to help us hit the right notes.​

If you have any problems getting the newsletter just get a vpn and turn it to a UK server.

gg

 

[Garpal Gumnut]

I tried to register for Truth Social, Trump's version of Twitter/X but couldn't as I'm not in the US. I found this site which collates his posts with links to Truth Social which work. As his posts can change markets in an instant I thought it may be of interest to ASF members.

Trump's Truth

'Trump's Truth' is a searchable archive of Donald Trump's posts on TRUTH Social.

trumpstruth.org

gg

 

[waterbottle]

Markets now back to pre Tarrif levels based on the hope China now considering negotiations, although not sure how much substance there is behind these rumours.

 

[Garpal Gumnut]

Markets now back to pre Tarrif levels based on the hope China now considering negotiations, although not sure how much substance there is behind these rumours.

I strongly agree @waterbottle

And some are selling. From the Financial times.

Amazon founder Jeff Bezos plans to sell up to $4.75bn worth of shares in the ecommerce company over the next 12 months, regulatory filings revealed on Friday.

Bezos, who stepped down as Seattle-based tech group’s chief executive in mid-2021, will sell up to 25mn shares via an orderly trading plan running through to the end of May 2026.

At Thursday’s closing price of $190, the stake is worth about $4.75bn. The trading plan was set up in early March, according to Amazon’s latest quarterly filing.

The disclosure came hours after Amazon warned on Thursday evening of the impact of Donald Trump’s global trade war, forecasting that net sales and operating income could come in below Wall Street’s forecasts.

Bezos previously offloaded more than $13.4bn of Amazon stock over the course of 2024, a year in which the company’s market cap rose beyond $2tn, fuelled by investor excitement over artificial intelligence.

The world’s second-richest man has gradually shifted his attention away from the ecommerce company he founded in 1994, paying renewed focus on his space venture Blue Origin and US newspaper The Washington Post.

Bezos has used Amazon share sales to help finance Blue Origin and is the group’s sole shareholder. The company does not disclose financial information but its costs run in excess of $2bn a year, according to a person familiar with the matter. Revenue from federal contracts fulfil a portion of its costs, with the Amazon founder making up any shortfall.

gg

 

[Knobby22]

I strongly agree @waterbottle

And some are selling. From the Financial times.

Amazon founder Jeff Bezos plans to sell up to $4.75bn worth of shares in the ecommerce company over the next 12 months, regulatory filings revealed on Friday.

Bezos, who stepped down as Seattle-based tech group’s chief executive in mid-2021, will sell up to 25mn shares via an orderly trading plan running through to the end of May 2026.

At Thursday’s closing price of $190, the stake is worth about $4.75bn. The trading plan was set up in early March, according to Amazon’s latest quarterly filing.

The disclosure came hours after Amazon warned on Thursday evening of the impact of Donald Trump’s global trade war, forecasting that net sales and operating income could come in below Wall Street’s forecasts.

Bezos previously offloaded more than $13.4bn of Amazon stock over the course of 2024, a year in which the company’s market cap rose beyond $2tn, fuelled by investor excitement over artificial intelligence.

The world’s second-richest man has gradually shifted his attention away from the ecommerce company he founded in 1994, paying renewed focus on his space venture Blue Origin and US newspaper The Washington Post.

Bezos has used Amazon share sales to help finance Blue Origin and is the group’s sole shareholder. The company does not disclose financial information but its costs run in excess of $2bn a year, according to a person familiar with the matter. Revenue from federal contracts fulfil a portion of its costs, with the Amazon founder making up any shortfall.

gg

I think some of it is in response to the tariffs but some is Bezos determination to knock off Musk in the rocket game. There is a bit of ego there.

 

[farmerge]

Markets now back to pre Tarrif levels based on the hope China now considering negotiations, although not sure how much substance there is behind these rumours.

@waterbottle A bit like an elastic band, a bit rubbery.
No doubt the Golden Haired Cherub will announce another piece of "false news" in regard to his tariffs with China.