Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

Dump it Here

@divs4ever, you’ve raised a fantastic point, and I’m really grateful for your insight - it’s got me thinking!

The Wonder of Mathematical Systems
This really showcases the magic of mathematical systems like HappyCat Strategy as they eliminate selection bias and streamline trading by clearly directing what to buy, when to jump in, and when to step out.

Downside Risk
That said, one limitation of system trading is that it doesn’t always reveal what’s fueling the momentum, whether it’s a true trend or something riskier like a pump-and-dump or pre-capital-raise hustle, as you’ve pointed out.

Thankfully
The HappyCat includes built-in checks and balances to screen trades before a buy signal, helping to sift through the noise and keep things more reliable.

Skate.
i embrace my biases , they are formed from experience and/or observation .. and sure things might be different this time , but how do you factor that in to the risk

but in saying that i have a very contrarian way of viewing things ... and short-term trading is about shaving off steady profits ( as often as possible )

i sometimes see an obvious trade , but assess the upside as inadequate for me , so keep moving

it is worth mentioning that the corporate hustlers probably use computers as well ( in their planning )

cheers
 
i embrace my biases , they are formed from experience and/or observation

@divs4ever, I really appreciate your perspective on embracing your biases shaped by experience and observation, which makes a lot of sense. Your contrarian view adds an interesting twist, as it sounds like you’re always hunting for the best value.

We trade against the best
And your point about corporate hustlers is spot-on. It’s a reminder that trading is not a game of human intuition anymore, but a constant fight against traders who have the sharpest, fastest & sometimes the most unethical minds in the world.

Skate.
 
Overcoming Flaws
Traders often struggle because we’re human, not machines. Our natural emotional impulses often conflict with the clinical mindset required for successful trading.

Rules-Based Trading
To counter this, replacing irrational decisions with clear rules and triggers is a great approach. Mechanical system trading provides an emotionless framework, enhancing consistent and profitable signal execution as part of the process.

Skate.
 
The biggest issue I find with short term trading is the 50% CPT.

The thing is with everyone trying to get rich in one day, most of these stocks could halve in a year, so you have to be very careful with how you trade.

Another thing I've learnt is that these Jnr exploration ventures can be very rewarding, but when they go bad, they are very bad. They're a lot easier to pump the SP with BS, as quick as the SP goes up, it goes down.
 
Another thing I've learnt is that these Jnr exploration ventures can be very rewarding, but when they go bad, they are very bad.

@TimeISmoney, trading is a wild mix of reward, excitement, and risk.

Systematic Trading Keeps It Simple
(a) Buy when clear conditions are met.
(b) Sell on an exit signal.

Trading systematically, there is no guessing a company’s future.

Skate.
 
The biggest issue I find with short term trading is the 50% CPT.
and associated costs in making those gains , brokerage , live data feeds , sometimes multiple computer displays etc etc

AND the pressure to make these profits to pay your bills

i really enjoy the option on when to crystalize those losses and gains ( sometimes a quick loss frees up cash for a better opportunity )
 
@TimeISmoney, trading is a wild mix of reward, excitement, and risk.

Systematic Trading Keeps It Simple
(a) Buy when clear conditions are met.
(b) Sell on an exit signal.

Trading systematically, there is no guessing a company’s future.

Skate.
You definitely get lost in your own emotions when you trade sometimes. The brain has a set plan to exit, but the psychological part doesn't allow it to happen. :D
 
i really enjoy the option on when to crystalize those losses and gains ( sometimes a quick loss frees up cash for a better opportunity )
I made that mistake with holding onto FMG for too long.

I've had a bonanza with gold stocks this last and current month; if I'd pumped the money I wasted on holding FMG into gold stocks, I would be a very rich and happy man. I cleared 6.8% on my stocks by FF dividends last financial year, so still not so bad.

I try to exit stocks where I still cover the entry and exit prices, so not much is lost there, and I can claim it against the tax I pay anyway. ($580) in brokerage fees last financial year.
 
#1. HappyCat Weekly Trading LOGO.jpg
When the Market Performs, Everyone Wants to Join In
The HappyCat Strategy is a beginner-friendly approach that identifies stocks that are showing strong upward momentum when the broader market is bullish, and uses strict rules to exit trades quickly if things go wrong or to secure profits when the trend weakens.

I'm Ready to Try Trading
A family friend recently contacted me after his $52,000 term deposit matured. He’s considering trading instead of renewing the deposit and asked for my advice. I suggested the HappyCat trading signals, a simple strategy ideal for beginners. However, as a new trader, he’s nervous about calculating share quantities during the pre-auction phase.

To Support Him
I’ve promised to provide a customised weekly analysis to streamline his trading decisions. I’m eager to see if he’ll take the plunge and trade these signals. Only time will tell.

#Mark. HappyCat $5k Weekly Trading Signal.jpg

Rules are Minimal: Suited for Beginners
1. Purchase signals in order of their ranking, from lowest to highest rank (top down), to maintain a portfolio of 10 positions.
2. Buy the calculated number of shares at the Buy Offer price in the pre-auction (Place the buy order before the market opens on Monday)
3. The Buy position is only good for one day. If the position is not purchased by the end of trade, the Buy Order needs to be purged.
3. You Buy at the Offer Price or below - or not at all (Do not chase a price ever)
4. New purchases can only be made after selling an existing position in the portfolio.
5. Sell any portfolio positions at the Sell Offer price in the pre-auction (Place the Sell Order before the market opens on Monday)
6. If the position is not sold at the open, wait until 10:30am - if still unsold, "Sell at market". (The positions need to be sold on the day)

Weekly Results
I will track the performance of this strategy for personal interest. Ongoing results will not be shared or updated here.

Skate.
 
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