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yeah i'm a bit confused by what i'm seeing too. i was looking at some 1 month 25'ish delta puts across the big banks today in considering a possible trade along those lines, and strangely CBAs were sitting 2-3 vol higher than the other 3, they were around 23 whereas NAB/WBC were about 20 and ANZ about 21.
usually it's the other way round, CBA is traditionally the lowest beta of the big 4, in "normal" times CBA typically sits around 12-13 and the other 3 hover around 14-15. not sure what's going on. do they know something we don't, or is this just an excellent opportunity to rack up some good decay for relatively low risk?
well there should be a housing market stress coming ( too soon for some ) , given the history ( and size ) of CBA one would think the Federal Government is more liable to throw the life-line to CBA quickly ( the others MIGHT be let wiggle for a while )
there is also inflation building , i am guessing NORMALLY the analysts/fund managers would see the better growth potential of the 'lesser three ' but now they prefer the bulk and defensive traits of CBA
neither do i , but i have a plan for if the market ( and banks ) climb and climb and one for a major down ( and buy SOME dips if it just keeps on bouncing along )i really have no idea at the moment.
didn't even fill the gapAll that excitement this morning didn't last long, one major gone red
yeah, not enough fillers in the cracksdidn't even fill the gap
.... the huge write-down was driven by changes in private equity valuations over the year and revenue multiple adjustments lower.
It remains to be seen whether anything will come of this, but the bank may yet regret fobbing off this particular plaintiff as he seems to have some sizeable funds at his disposable.Commonwealth Bank faces the threat of a new class action, this time against its share trading arm CommSec, as wealthy businessman Alistair Paton ramps up complaints including accusations of falsifying records and withholding information.
Mr Paton – a former Deutsche Bank employee and hospitality and property entrepreneur – told The Australian he was not backing down in his fight against CBA. His matter is currently being examined in detail by the Australian Financial Complaints Authority.
“It (CBA’s conduct) goes against all of the things they committed to after the banking royal commission, and with the CommSec overcharging case it seems like all of that happened at once,” he said.
“Most of (CommSec’s) customers are small customers, mums and dads, and when the bank throws the terms and conditions at them they accept it. They didn’t bank on the fact that I was not going to back down.”
Mr Paton’s matter against CBA goes back to a sudden suspension of his trading account late last year when the bank claimed he had not informed it of a change of directorship at his family trust.
The decision came without warning and led to hundreds of thousands of dollars in losses, given he was unable to trade in stocks, including Magellan Financial, Titan Minerals, Greenstone Resources and AMP.
The events set in motion a damaging chain of events that Mr Paton said shone a light on the inadequacy of CommSec’s systems and processes, and led to swelling losses and his claim of almost $2m against the bank, including interest.
The saga included a CBA customer relations manager telling Mr Paton he would investigate his file over a weekend while “drinking a bottle of scotch”.
Mr Paton has since conducted his own probe and discovered emails from 2018 showing the bank was aware of a change in directors, meaning in his view the account should not have been suspended. Documents sighted by The Australian show CBA had argued it was entitled to suspend the trading under the terms and conditions of its CommSec accounts.
A CommSec spokesman said: “The allegations have been thoroughly investigated and the parties are currently engaged in a confidential dispute resolution process in relation to this matter. We cannot comment on the matter any further.”
Among the transactions in question is a December trade of $227,500 for 250,000 AMP shares at 91c that was placed by Mr Paton at 1.29pm and then executed by the bank at 3.39pm, after the account was suspended at about 1.53pm.
At first, the bank said the trade was executed by Mr Paton and produced a computer-generated order ticket stating it was executed at 1.29pm. Mr Paton, using ASX records, showed that was not possible, which led the bank to withdraw that argument.
CBA admitted in a letter to AFCA in February that it had incorrectly told the agency an AMP order had been executed at 1.29pm on the day of the account’s suspension, when the order had only been placed. It has described the admission as a mistake.
To track down his orders and an exact audit of the CommSec account, Mr Paton had to obtain the information from outside the bank. “They withheld that information and then we obtained it from Iress without them knowing,” he said.
Brokers have been bearish on CBA for many months now...yet they don't have a bad word to say about the other big 3. Technically it's the leader i.m.o. It has been for a decade at least. I don't hold.CBA has moved above $110 a share ... only the second time it has been there. Oct 2021 was the last.
There is analyst talk that the earnings and likely dividend could be revised up, when the bank reports next month.
The institutional brokers, given they can hold billions in our larger companies, have to develop methodologies to price, and compare with other banks. It's a tricky game, and quantifying may not encompass everything, with quality much harder to pin down.Brokers have been bearish on CBA for many months now...yet they don't have a bad word to say about the other big 3. Technically it's the leader i.m.o. It has been for a decade at least.
Australian banks are trading at a 7 per cent premium to long-term averages on a relative price-to-earnings basis, while banks in Britain and the US trade at discounts of between 11 per cent and 19 per cent.
CBA is something else entirely. Its forward P/E of 17.8 times, and its price-to-book ratio of 2.56 times, easily make it the world’s most expensive bank.
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