IFocus
You are arguing with a Galah
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Note China's contribution to the worlds CO2 emissions... still catching up to us...eh.
Spot on, considering the amount of the worlds manufacturing China does, they are actually doing a hell of a job mitigating their emissions.Note China's contribution to the worlds CO2 emissions... still catching up to us...eh.
There is more recent data, showing RE capacity additions in 2024 were some 25% greater, and that in 2025 are already over 140% greater than the same period in 2024:Spot on, considering the amount of the worlds manufacturing China does, they are actually doing a hell of a job mitigating their emissions.
China installed the most renewable energy capacity in 2023, adding almost 350 GW, which is two-thirds of the global total. This is according to the International Energy Agency (IEA).
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List of countries by renewable electricity production - Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org
China produced 32% of global renewable electricity, followed by the United States (11%),
Yes they are doing a great job, while we pay for it.There is more recent data, showing RE capacity additions in 2024 were some 25% greater, and that in 2025 are already over 140% greater than the same period in 2024:
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China's RE capacity additions are now well in excess of 5 large nuclear power plant per week.
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"..to manipulate electricity pricing"., rederob
Like by ..subsidizing solar panels and batteries, and closing coal-fired power plants? ..Honestly.
The monthly electricity bill tells everyone where "renewable energy" leads.
IF,
I'd just like my electricity bill to be less!
Also, whilst totally unrelated, and probably not your club:
-I hope the Dockers will see off in style, the AFL champion Nat Fyfe
What's missing in that debate is where the money's going.I'd just like my electricity bill to be less!
This thread has many times shown that wind and solar are the cheapest forms of generation, so your ideas are baseless."..to manipulate electricity pricing"., rederob
Like by ..subsidizing solar panels and batteries, and closing coal-fired power plants? ..Honestly.
The monthly electricity bill tells everyone where "renewable energy" leads.
This thread has many times shown that wind and solar are the cheapest forms of generation, so your ideas are baseless.
Moreover, the subsidising of fossil fuels make any support for RE look like penny change.
The easiest way to show how wrong you are is to compare electricity bills for a home with rooftop solar with a home without. In my case I have earned over $1000/year every year in the 15+ years of having installed rooftop solar, and only ever had one bill for electricity when lightning knocked out my system. Conservatively that's a $20k saving in supply after installation costs plus $15K in FIT. Also, if your idea was worth a crsacker, then generators would be buiding FF-based power plants rather than RE. The fact that Bluewater in WA was the most recent FF-based power plant built in Australia - in 1999 - and that it went into administration, supports the switch to RE.
You also do not realise how the big players (generators) are able to game the system. This happens because they may have most or all the full mix (ie coal, gas, wind, solar and BESS) of dispatchable energy under their umbrella,and they can ensure the final bid price (usually based on coal or gas generation) offsets their lower priced RE or BESS input.
Not many people are likely to read the linked National Electricity Market Wholesale Market Settings Review. Those who do will see that it examines how to better link the wholesale market, related derivatives markets and long‑term investment markets, ensuring they work together for the end consumer; the spot market facilitating efficient dispatch, the derivatives market managing risks arising from the spot market and a new Electricity Services Entry Mechanism (ESEM) extending the forward signals from the derivatives market to support longer-term investment.
Signficant impetus for the review is predicated on the rapidly increasing penetration of variable renewable energy and consumer energy resources in the system, which media notes as regularly hitting record new record highs, and the scheduled closure of ageing thermal plant generation draws nearer
HI Rob, we are living in a fools paradise, because we are living way beyond our means and doing very little to reign it in.You have it back to front.
Your "we" derive more electricity from coal plant generation than the average Chinese person.
What's more it has been the case for over a century. And Chinese per capita CO2 emisssions are still lower than Australia's, but you would blame them for a problem you never sought to solve.
It is also the case that 17% of the world's population now generates over a third of all products made, mostly for western nations - like Australia - who cut their industrial emissions by offshoring production. Luckily Chinese production is now the most efficient in the world so the unit CO2 contibution of goods is lower than had it been produced here or anywhere else. So if you want to maintain your present high living standard it's far better to rely on China than any other nation from an emissions perspective.
For now obvious reasons China is the world’s largest electricity consumer, unsurprisingly in 2024 accounting for a third of global power demand. RE+nuclear met more than 80% of China's demand growth and this sector is expected to subsume coal plant generation after 2027 when China expects to cease new coal plant builds. Builds in the interim only shore up demand during the transition:
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I'm not sure why you consider us to be living in a fool's paradise. Because of China's low cost RE+ battery costs we have the ability to quickly andinexpensively transition from coal power dominance, but struggle due to poor policy, excessive regulation and the power of existing big players in the energy market to manipulate electricity pricing.
I'll go one better - I had face to face discussion providing my input to it.Not many people are likely to read the linked National Electricity Market Wholesale Market Settings Review.
Do we have gave any industry left?HI Rob, we are living in a fools paradise, because we are living way beyond our means and doing very little to reign it in.
China is playing the long game and kudos to them.
Unfortunately we live one election cycle at a time, you may dissagree, but that is my take on it.
Our add hock electrical system, which has a target to meet, but obviously no idea, plan or structure of how to achieve it, is just another example of short term thinking driven by sound grabs and prayers.
We will be lucky if we have any industry, other than mining, left in 5 years. Lol
Not sure how things are significantly different from 50 years ago, except that home ownership is more difficult.HI Rob, we are living in a fools paradise, because we are living way beyond our means and doing very little to reign it in.
China is playing the long game and kudos to them.
Unfortunately we live one election cycle at a time, you may dissagree, but that is my take on it.
Our add hock electrical system, which has a target to meet, but obviously no idea, plan or structure of how to achieve it, is just another example of short term thinking driven by sound grabs and prayers.
We will be lucky if we have any industry, other than mining, left in 5 years. Lol
The Review had a clear focus, and only covered the wholesale market, so your many valid points - even as you made to Tim - detract a little from its intent to get better outcomes in the range of areas that affect aspects such as wholesale pricing, operational integration and future capacity investment. My point being that such things as CER need to be built in to market operations and pricing as it's one element that stands to reduce wholesale prices going forward. It's not hard to envision millions of cars with V2G and homes with battery backup that will fill demand response needs without market players needing to dip into their pockets to add capacity.I'll go one better - I had face to face discussion providing my input to it.
Ultimately though, and this is not a criticism of those involved, it is a review constrained by a predetermined outcome that it's a review of some details of the NEM and that's it.
I'll use an analogy here of saying this is not a review of transport in a city. Rather, it's a review of some details regarding how to improve the movement of cars around the city. So we can discuss things like widening the road at a few pinch points, changing the traffic signal timings to maximise vehicle throughput, we can perhaps have an app showing available parking spaces and so on. What we won't be doing is suggesting buses, trains, trams, cycling or walking. That the outcome will be car based is a given, what we're trying to do is get them moving faster.
Now back to the NEM Review and to be fair to Tim and the others running it, they made no attempt to stop me expressing my view that it's not rational to use gas when already built wind and solar is available so full points for freedom of expression. They did however politely remind me that's a matter for the market to decide, it's not something the review is concerned with. One of my other suggestions seemed to be much better received, since it was fully consistent with the market approach.
As per my previous comment, put engineers in charge and you get an engineering outcome. Put market economists and similar people in charge and you get a market outcome. Doubly so when the terms of reference pointed them in that direction.
The trouble with all this is in Australia we tend to get stuck on the one approach. Something is done that was perhaps the right thing to do at the time then we become stuck in a thought process that must be the best way no matter what, it's never questioned.
The present manifestation of that is that we don't want anyone to walk in and say here's what needs to happen, there's a need to build this, do that and so on. Rather we're intent on making absolutely sure that doesn't happen, nothing is prescriptive and "the market' is left to come up with the answer. It's being approached from a market economics perspective not a technical or outcome focused perspective.
How it'll pan out is of course unproven at the present time. My personal view however is it's nowhere near enough, it'll do something but it won't change the big picture. I don't expect it will remove the need to subsidise industry or watch it disappear, I don't expect it will remove the economic barrier to electrification and I don't it'll avoid price being a problem for household and commercial users. Better than nothing, but it's not radical reform. Time will tell.
What's needed in my view is far more prescriptive. With reference to the transport analogy, something more akin to:
"Thank you for inviting my input to your inquiry into the subject of how to make cars move around the city better. Now here's my map of the entire metropolitan area and I draw your attention to the train lines and stations shown in blue, the busway shown in yellow and the ferry terminals and routes marked in red. Attached is a proposed plan of works with indicative costs, completion dates and a list of properties to be acquired and their estimated market value. I've also had some discussions with the chamber of commerce about a plan to smooth demand. Finally, we'll also undertake detailed geological investigation at the location shown in black on the map, this being for a future road tunnel. BOOM!"![]()
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