Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

Trump Era 2025-2029 : Stock and Economic Comment

I would say the same thing about US border control. Apparently they are insisting that foreigners give them their phones or laptops to check for any anti trump posts on their devices.
Safe to say we're already banned, Gogle has most likely collected our browsing history and we're on a US terrorist list. 🤣

"The Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade has issued a warning to Australian travellers to the United States as an increasing number of would-be visitors are being turned back at border control.

A French scientist was recently denied entry to the US after immigration officers found messages on his phone critical of President Donald Trump’s cuts to research programs.

American border officers said the messages “conveyed hatred of Trump” and could be construed as terrorism."


Not many Aussies seem to want to go there on any account anyway.
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US inbound travel plunging. Even some US citizens would to get out of the country.

Gonna put a big hole in the tourism sector of the economy. On top of all the drama with mass sackings, business confidence cratering and the effect of tariffs on prices.

The US could have an economy with increasing inflation from tariff increases and rising unemployment.
 
On top of that, Trump really wants to remove J Powell from the Fed and install a puppet Fed chairman and his made his feelings known towards Powell on Truth Social media, He wants Powell to cut interest rates and is breathing down his neck to resign.

There’s a historical precedence to what’s happening now in reference to the president meddling with Fed decisions. Richard Nixon, Arthur Burns and Stagflation. Powell is terrified about being another Arthur Burns.
 
On top of that, Trump really wants to remove J Powell from the Fed and install a puppet Fed chairman and his made his feelings known towards Powell on Truth Social media, He wants Powell to cut interest rates and is breathing down his neck to resign.

There’s a historical precedence to what’s happening now in reference to the president meddling with Fed decisions. Richard Nixon, Arthur Burns and Stagflation. Powell is terrified about being another Arthur Burns.
That would mean Trump is going full dictator.
I expect there would be great resistance in Republican ranks and with the public and the tech oligarchy. I think he won't.

Also I note, he was talking up a deal with China today but they aren't interested.

"I think we're going to make a very good deal with China," he said at the White House on Thursday, US time, sitting opposite Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni who was in Washington for talks on tariffs.

The US has said it was up to China to start negotiations, but that did not look likely.

"The unilateral tariff increases were entirely initiated by the United States," He Yongqian, a Chinese commerce ministry spokesperson, told a weekly news conference.

Ms He, quoting an old Chinese proverb said, "the person who tied the bell must be the one who unties it".
 
Lots of talk about deals with EU and UK.
Failure is an option.
The Swedes want to remain neutral in all of this, last I heard, Gorgia Meloni from Italy is so far up Trump's clacker it isn't funny, Germany and the UK may possibly oppose. Countries shouldn't retaliate and just move on the best they can, if he can inflate other economies with tariffs, it will make his overpriced products affordable and make the lower and middle classes poorer at the same time.
 
The Americans can’t have things all their own on trade. It has to be a win win for both parties. Every other country wants to first as well.

So far electing a bully to the White House hasn’t worked with stronger countries like China and Russia either. Putin and Xi are probably laughing hysterically at Trump.
 
Hey Finicky, tell me this isn't how the majority of the US is feeling right now?




Probably this is much the same as how the majority of people are feeling in Australia right now too

Yet where is the Albanese derangement syndrome?

The truth is is that whatever has
happened in the last three months isn't why this person is under pressure. She/he/whatever is feeling the pressure of policies enacted over the last few years.

Indeed, the result of the actions of the present administration won't overall be felt for some time. It could be a massive win or a massive lose, or somewhere in between, we will just have to see.

Give it 2 or 3 or 4 years to see how it plays out with the many moving parts; the actions of the US, EU, Chyyyna, etc, plus the actions of the respective Central Banks.

Chaos theory, lots of moving parts that none of us can predict accurately, much less any of the administrations involved.

Trade/invest accordingly and never go off your pills.
 


US inbound travel plunging. Even some US citizens would to get out of the country.

This started long before trump was reelected.

The downturn began as soon as inflation really took off and interest rates were cranked - money gets tight so luxuries start getting cut and people just work their way down the list of things they don't *need*.


Can we please keep all the carryon about our personal feelings re: trump to ourselves and keep to the "stock and economic" effects, just like the thread title states?
 
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