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Trump Era 2025-2029 : Stock and Economic Comment

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Is the recession already here?


The impact of the diminished freight container traffic to North America will be significant for many links in the economy and supply chain, including the ports and logistics companies moving the freight. If each sailing was carrying 8,000 to 10,000 TEUs (twenty-foot equivalent units), that would equal a decline in freight traffic of between 640,000-800,000 containers, and lead to decreased crane operations at the ports, lower fees that could be collected, and declines in container pick-ups and transports by trucks, rails, and to warehouses for storage.
 
The EU looking at other options to curb the rise of Chinese cars.

Tariffs of up to 45 per cent on Chinese-made electric cars imported into the European Union may be replaced with a new ‘minimum pricing’ system after previously stalled discussions between the two trading partners were re-started.

A ‘minimum pricing’ arrangement – also referred to as ‘price floors’ or ‘price undertakings’ – between the European Union (EU) and China would see tariffs abolished and set minimum prices agreed upon.

According to Reuters, European trade commissioner Maros Sefcovic has said any new policy would have to be as effective as tariffs, given the approach has previously only been applied on ‘homogenous commodities’.

The tariffs – which only apply to battery-electric vehicles and not Chinese-made hybrids or other cars – have not stopped the growth of Chinese brands in Europe, with sales increasing 64 per cent (across all models, not only electric) in February 2025 alone.

Some of the cheapest electric cars on sale in the EU, even from European brands, are made in China and include the Citroen e-C3 and the Dacia Spring, neither of which are currently offered in Australia.

Yet sales of Chinese-made electric cars did fall 3.4 percent in February, however, while European battery-electric vehicles sales increased 26 per cent.
The return of the EU and China to the negotiating table last week was motivated by the need to respond to extraordinary tariffs between the United States (US) and China on all goods – including electric cars.

While some concessions from the US have allegedly been made – such as on electronics, although this is not confirmed – the rapidly changing trade battle has not seen tariffs on vehicles reduced at the time of writing.
 
China being honest, but there is signs of hope, for a negotiated outcome.

MSN

China has warned the United States that it 'should stop whining about being a victim in global trade' in its latest swipe at Donald Trump's tariffs, as the trade war between the two superpowers continues to escalate. Washington has raised levies on goods from China to a staggering 145 per cent as part of Trump's worldwide tariffs rollout in recent weeks, which he said aimed to stop the US being 'ripped off' by trading partners.

China responded by hiking levies on US goods to 125 per cent last week, and while the tit-for-tat tariff increases appears to have paused, the animosity between the two nations has shown no signs of letting up amid a blistering war of words. 'The US is not getting ripped off by anybody,' an editorial in state-run media outlet China Daily read last night. 'The problem is the US has been living beyond its means for decades. It consumes more than it produces. It has outsourced its manufacturing and borrowed money in order to have a higher standard of living than it's entitled to based on its productivity. Rather than being "cheated", the US has been taking a free ride on the globalization train.'

The article concludes: 'The US should stop whining about itself being a victim in global trade and put an end to its capricious and destructive behavior. Instead, it should commit itself to working with its trading partners to establish a fair, free and WTO-centered multilateral trading system that is in line with the times.' T
 
Better start learning Mandarin, and erase your computer history before they take over.




 
farmerge said:
@TimeISmoney Would have thought that there enough Chinese Nationals here in this country already for a takeover.
Perhaps we will become serfs in our own country if and when (Heaven forbid) if that ever occurs.
Click to expand...
I hope Trump and Xi can either separate economies or find a way to get along, because we are the meat in the sandwich at this stage.
 
TimeISmoney said:
I hope Trump and Xi can either separate economies or find a way to get along, because we are the meat in the sandwich at this stage.
Click to expand...
I like the meat bit as our beef exports to the Chinese has increased since the mad POTUS has upset the apple cart.
Anyone with Euro cross will be smiling from ear to ear.
Our local saleyards saw a good improvement in cents per kilo on Monday.
I just hope it wasn't a flash in the pan.
I will be getting a truck load of weaner bulls and heifers ready for my first sale at the yards over Easter.
 
TimeISmoney said:
I hope Trump and Xi can either separate economies or find a way to get along, because we are the meat in the sandwich at this stage.
Click to expand...
China is going it’s seperate way with BRICS and other trade partnerships
it might be Xi's father's suit

maybe if you provoke him enough he would know exactly how Mao would act
remember what happened after the ( then ) US president threatened to 'nuke ' China if they helped North Korea ?
 
DannyB0000 said:
I would say the same thing about US border control. Apparently they are insisting that foreigners give them their phones or laptops to check for any anti trump posts on their devices.
Click to expand...
@DannyB0000 This saga just gets more and more absurd.
Next will we be seeing The Trumpet in jack boots and demanding that now demonised salute from the adoring peasants from a bygone era.
Just needs a hunting lodge in the mountains now to complete the picture.
 
The EU is sending the Italian Prime Minister first to convince the Trumpet that zero tariffs with Europe are a good idea. Smart!

Unfortunately for Australia it's a fairly ugly looking late middle aged man no matter who wins the election. Will need to bring a koala toy.
 
“As widely reported in media, there has also been a sharp drop in interest for inbound travel to the USA. THL has experienced a substantial slowdown in new bookings, and elevated cancellations of bookings for the USA rentals high season. Booking intakes for this market from key European countries in the past week have been approximately 40 to 50% down on last year’s levels.”
- Market Statement, Tourism Holdings Ltd
 
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