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The future of Australian property prices

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im sparticus said:
were comparing how far off peaks things are ie how much the have deflated.
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Precious metals have not deflated because they were never inflated, they have not hit a peak yet. This is your problem - you are implying gold has hit a peak, it has not. It has had a normal correction - which has been a common occurrence in it's solid 11 year uptrend. The reason for this correction is later than expected QE3.

Housing has hit a peak and has been in a bubble, this is the key difference - gold is not and was not in any bubble, it is simply being pushed up in price by money printing.

im sparticus said:
youve just stated a hindsight trade that gives us no insight to anything just supports your view once again comfirmation bias.
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Yet you do this all the time?

im sparticus said:
in the interest of fairness im looking forward to your compilation ill even let you go back as far as you like even though mine is pretty recent, remember not your take on what ive said but what ive actually said no inuendo no twisting of words?
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What compilation?

And how about our bet? $1,000 for every 1% real value lost or gained in Melbourne according to RP Data starting say from the 1st of June, no capital down.
 
:jerry

ata boy SCM! Go get em!!corn:

CanOz
 

I would disagree, in my opinion there is a high chance that governments would inflate the debt away. In my loony opinion the only reason this hasn't happened is that the elites haven't finished buying up everything in the deflation they have orchestrated and haven't begun to move onto other countries. Once the elites have done acquiring all the wealth in their orchestrated deflation, they will start inflating the debt away and once again we will have another boom.
 
Hey scm why dont you try sticking the aussie medians on a log scale like you did the gold graph over the same time frame then youll see a real unbroken trend, maybe try pricing your gold in aud also. confirmation bias to the max! what a joke!

Can you ever put together a balanced argument.

Ps. i do like the smart money post above the way its been done for centuries, if i was to believe a conspiracy theory that would be it.
 
im sparticus said:
Hey scm why dont you try sticking the aussie medians on a log scale like you did the gold graph over the same time frame then youll see a real unbroken trend, maybe try pricing your gold in aud also. confirmation bias to the max! what a joke!
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1. I didn't make the graph, if you have a log one, feel free to share it.
2. Gold priced in AUD would deliver an even bigger return as I suggested.
3. I don't see how there's any confirmation bias in my post....do you even know what it means?

im sparticus said:
Can you ever put together a balanced argument.
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Well you seem to have a flawed perception of balanced...
 


Look at the 2 graphs you provided neither has anything to do with the other if you wanna put together a balanced argument start comparing apples to apples same timeframes same scale no excuses what you have just done is a perfect example of confirmation bias look it up.
 
im sparticus said:
Look at the 2 graphs you provided neither has anything to do with the other
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Considering that you continuously compare property to gold, I'd say they are quite related for the purposes of our debates.

im sparticus said:
if you wanna put together a balanced argument start comparing apples to apples no excuses what you have just done is a perfect example of confirmation bias look it up.
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Maybe you should
 
Starcraftmazter said:
Considering that you continuously compare property to gold, I'd say they are quite related for the purposes of our debates.



Maybe you should
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And you think im a troll shesh. i would have got a more informed response from siri! Is that what your using to answer my questions
 
im sparticus said:
And you think im a troll shesh. i would have got a more informed response from siri! Is that what your using to answer my questions
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you gents still going hammer and toe at each other
the time youve been smashing the keyboard ive managed to walk to the local pub, had a few bevvies, had dinner, great conversation, made plans to ski in two weeks time.....what have you achieved
 
Gerkin said:
you gents still going hammer and toe at each other
the time youve been smashing the keyboard ive managed to walk to the local pub, had a few bevvies, had dinner, great conversation, made plans to ski in two weeks time.....what have you achieved
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Plastering the latest posting between coats.
 

http://www.couriermail.com.au/life/homesproperty/australian-houses-overvalued/story-e6frequ6-1226379360653


What was the argument to support rising House prices again ? Its kinda slipped my mind ...... - Oh was it nose diving Interest rates and mass migration or something ?
 

About time the rating agencies did their jobs. It only took for the mortgage insurers to start losing their money before they were looked at

Sheer incompetence if you ask me, everything to do with Australian housing should have been rated as "junk" years ago.
 
Starcraftmazter said:
And how about our bet? $1,000 for every 1% real value lost or gained in Melbourne according to RP Data starting say from the 1st of June, no capital down.
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One again this was someone elses post just how much missinformation are you going to spread your credibility is really taking a beating of late, still waiting for your compilation of my missinformation?
 
Starcraftmazter said:
Huh

I'm offering you the deal - do you want to take it or not?

And here's your compilation:
https://www.aussiestockforums.com/forums/search.php?searchid=635981
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would i make a bet with someone who cant afford it......... NO!

Would i overexpose myself while some nobody sits there without his balls on the line.....NO!

Like i said before my post got deleted get as short as i am long and we will talk seven figures real re stock no cfd unhedged. think you can handle it sport?

Unlike some of us i have real exposure to manage.
 
im sparticus said:
Would i overexpose myself while some nobody sits there without his balls on the line.....NO!
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Ummm what? We would take identical positions (in different directions), neither of us would be more exposed than another.

im sparticus said:
Like i said before my post got deleted get as short as i am long and we will talk seven figures real re stock no cfd unhedged. think you can handle it sport?
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I have no idea what you are on about here.
 
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