qldfrog weekly Skate inspired system

[qldfrog]

When I say disconnection with the market;
Today has been my best ever whole of share portfolios gain. . Up 1.1% on the total amount invested inc the cash portion
Yet ASX is down 0.5%
I will not complain...
And we are talking a very diversified portfolio with around 100 different stocks/etfs

 

[qldfrog]

After another great day on the share market, I have started reducing exposure on the share market;
SMSF back to 20% cash and 18% PM

 

[frugal.rock]

After another great day on the share market, I have started reducing exposure on the share market;
SMSF back to 20% cash and 18% PM

Lead in tonight looks woeful.
If PM's hold up, I'll be ok tomorrow otherwise...
Of course, things can turn around before tomorrow morning.

 

[qldfrog]

Lead in tonight looks woeful.
If PM's hold up, I'll be ok tomorrow otherwise...
Of course, things can turn around before tomorrow morning.

yes, i do not know why, a gut feeling, but also added trailing stop to all my IB positions and took quite a few profits today
The fact the usually over optimistic Australian market is struggling on CSL and similar bluechipd is a sign imho
we could see another rotation towards goldies but this could be short lived should a decent fall come.
#
did not press send yesterday
and this morning, there's a lot of red on the nyse

 

[frugal.rock]

PM's holding up with some gains.
Not going to be good today apart from that area, including lithiums and U...

 

[qldfrog]

anyone noticed?
platinum down 10% today.

burnt half of today's gain on the SMSF portfolio.

 

[qldfrog]

All right what an eventful week:
The dogs of 2024 did see red, all but PDN down;
Losing 2.5% over the week;

The RRG system:
did OK vs XJT
just up 0.3% with the WAF time bomb ready to explode...

The super portfolio inc RRG did quite well in the circumstances gaining another ATH:
sold earlier in the week to be back to 21% cash and went up 1.3% overtaking the XJT again;


Unless drama tonight on the NYSE/Gold market, we should get another ATH for the investment, even after the latest bunning hardware purchase (redoing a Patio)
Will see tomorrow

 

[Garpal Gumnut]

anyone noticed?
platinum down 10% today.
View attachment 207775
burnt half of today's gain on the SMSF portfolio.

I never realised Platinum could be so volatile. What a lovely imaginary trade.

A five day chart Monday to today.

Buy at $160 at 10 am Monday.
Sell at $210 at Midday Wednesday
Watch it fall and repeat every Monday.

30% gain weekly for the rest of your life. I can only dream.



gg

 

[qldfrog]

All right: ATH again, PM were good, good timing for reducing share exposure:
Overall investment up 1.1 % this week:
24% investments in PM of some sort: miners, physical, paper which I might reduce a tad, Cash 30%

Another very good week...May it carry on

 

[frugal.rock]

3 Cheers for small caps, when you get some performer's.
Not all beer and skittles though, as seen on the 3 months.
I've taken some off the table this week.

 

[qldfrog]

RRG system sold ORA with a 1.43% loss and entered CXX and PNV today

 

[qldfrog]

Another good week for the frog but weather is getting dry here at last so may not last
The dogs of ASX 2024
I find this interesting still not back to initial level and this week was bad: down nearly 5%

not exactly matching the index yet...
My RRG system still own this WAF bomb with a long fuse
Slightly up this week not thanks to the last entries which are deep in red

I also Fxxk up today as I was doing a slight portfolio clean-up , I got rid of PTM...which I later realised was an RRG system entry..
Will try to reenter at a lower price next week unless the system is exiting it

That system is mediocre at best but this is a one direction market so can not easily judge it and got hit by a few black swans
The super overall did well and another ATH, 22% cash

And total portfolio going very well especially US exposure at another ATH unless disaster tonight in the US.

 

[qldfrog]

After paying the prodigal son honeymoon travel, overall portfolio is slightly down.
But less than the gift amount so definitively a good week

Crypto and PM up, nice returns on US market plays
All good

 

[Garpal Gumnut]

What's the plan for WAF , or what might it be, according to your system, @qldfrog .

gg

 

[qldfrog]

What's the plan for WAF , or what might it be, according to your system, @qldfrog .

gg

Gg, there is no new SP so far and for the system , itis not a sell yet but as soon as sp will crash, the system will then tell me sell on next Monday
i can do either:
i consider it a loss and add another new position on Monday :
a kind of manual intervention
or just wait until the system tells me sell.
neither a great solution...
it us a fxxk up whichever way you look at it ..

 

[qldfrog]

but to put things in perspective, a total writeoff of WAF packet would have an impact lower than 0.15% of the total investment portfolios/savings etc
i can rage..a bit.. and it will affect the rrg system performance but this will not prevent me from sleeping soundly

 

[Garpal Gumnut]

@qldfrog It is difficult if you have a hands off system to let it do it's thing even though you may have reservations about one stock and feel the urge to jump in destroying the system by possibly anticipating the market. I've never done proper system trading.

gg

 

[qldfrog]

Another great week:
Starting with the dogs of 2024 up 4.47% this week and only down 4% since inception;

Some up some down but the mostly mining stock went well;

The RRG system did very well too: up 5.3% and nearly break even too ..but pending WAF time bomb;
I bypass it and added another parcel /loan cash from 10 to 11 entries;
The "loan" is deducted from the results so graph is still accurate and relevant


Super:
Last AustralianSuper fund rolled over, cash now at 20%, and Gold/PM at 17% or so;
We got a cracker week: up 1.3% and another ATH

a note on US market exposure:
30 US stock, and 6 small parcels of ASX trading plays in a new IB portfolio;
These stocks are all major stocks or ETFs all above 10/20USD a share and most in the hundreds;
Since the 18th of august when I started, just above 1 month, the return has reached 10.15%
Trailing SL in places, small couple of days trades let run until reverse..
So much more fun and returns than the ASX...

The overall investment went really good and unless disaster tonight, we should get another ATH even after living expenses
I am overall still very heavy cash and PM.

 

[dyna]

So much more fun and returns than the ASX...

Scream that from the rooftops , Sir ! USA ETF's are all I know , and despite the volatility , I can verify those words and some .
How can anyone serious about this game , ignore the biggest and the best allocator of capital in the free world ?

 

[qldfrog]

once CBA is on again, I can complete the total investment result, another screaming night in the NYSE and total investment up 0.9% last week nearly equal to the XJT but after living expenses, shed, patio, renos, holidays..etc


Very conservative now, even with these screaming results:
overall investment as follow: