• Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

Hello and welcome to Aussie Stock Forums!

To gain full access you must register. Registration is free and takes only a few seconds to complete.

Already a member? Log in here.

Yearly XAO Prediction Thread

Discussion in 'ASX Stock Chat' started by systematic, Dec 31, 2018.

  1. IFocus

    IFocus You are arguing with a Galah

    Posts:
    4,018
    Likes Received:
    400
    Joined:
    Sep 8, 2006
    Trump uncertainty/tariffs/China slow down/FED re-balancing/falling AUD
     
  2. Bill M

    Bill M Self Funded Retiree

    Posts:
    1,936
    Likes Received:
    245
    Joined:
    Jan 4, 2008
    Added, ta.

    5 Words or less is what we are going with so I just took your first 5. If you want to change them, you can, thanks.

    You can change your entries or comments until 2359 hours 13th Jan. Comments = 5 words or less. Thanks.

    explod............. 2300 (I feel a bloodbath afoot)
    jjbinks............. 3000
    InsvestoBoy..... 3000
    Smurf1976...... 4000
    $20shoes........ 4380
    qldfrog............ 4500
    Darc Knight..... 4800 (sustained bear market, occassionial rallies)
    Trednomics...... 4900 (Australian Banking Crisis)
    Gringotts Bank. 5000
    Struzball......... 5100
    IFocus............ 5200 (Trump uncertainty/tariffs/China slow)
    MrChow.......... 5400
    Logique.......... 5500 (China slowdown, UK hard Brexit)
    jbocker........... 5575 (Markets, Banks flat; Debt reduction)
    macca............ 5700
    kid hustler....... 6000 (economy OK, no stock catalyst)
    SirRumpole..... 6100
    peter2............ 6139 (US/China sorted, bank rally)
    greggles......... 6270
    Bill M............. 6341 (Follows DOW down, then up)
    sptrawler........ 6375
    Toyota Lexen.. 6500
    tinhat............ 6780
    PZ99............. 6800
    Systematic..... 6851 (20% year - we’re overdue, baby!)
    Triple B.......... 6900
     
    IFocus likes this.
  3. bigdog

    bigdog Retired

    Posts:
    5,495
    Likes Received:
    767
    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2006
    5650

    US/China tariffs, Brexit and labor
     
    Bill M likes this.
  4. Bill M

    Bill M Self Funded Retiree

    Posts:
    1,936
    Likes Received:
    245
    Joined:
    Jan 4, 2008
    Thanks, added.

    explod............. 2300 (I feel a bloodbath afoot)
    jjbinks............. 3000
    InsvestoBoy..... 3000
    Smurf1976...... 4000
    $20shoes........ 4380
    qldfrog............ 4500
    Darc Knight..... 4800 (sustained bear market, occasional rallies)
    Trednomics...... 4900 (Australian Banking Crisis)
    Gringotts Bank. 5000
    Struzball......... 5100
    IFocus............ 5200 (Trump uncertainty/tariffs/China slow down)
    MrChow.......... 5400
    Logique.......... 5500 (China slowdown, UK hard Brexit)
    bigdog........... 5650 (US/China tariffs, Brexit and labor)
    jbocker........... 5575 (Markets, Banks flat; Debt reduction)
    macca............ 5700
    kid hustler....... 6000 (economy OK, no stock catalyst)
    SirRumpole..... 6100
    peter2............ 6139 (US/China sorted, bank rally starting)
    greggles......... 6270
    Bill M............. 6341 (Follows DOW down, then up)
    sptrawler........ 6375
    Toyota Lexen.. 6500
    tinhat............ 6780
    PZ99............. 6800
    Systematic..... 6851 (20% year - we’re overdue, baby!)
    Triple B.......... 6900
     
  5. sptrawler

    sptrawler

    Posts:
    10,626
    Likes Received:
    1,340
    Joined:
    Jul 3, 2009
    Down, up, Labor recession mid 2020
     
    Bill M likes this.
  6. Iggy_Pop

    Iggy_Pop

    Posts:
    220
    Likes Received:
    15
    Joined:
    Mar 10, 2009
    5655, Labour win election, impact on franking credits with change for many SMSFs to international shares, Global growth still positive but does slow down.

    Iggy
     
    Bill M likes this.
  7. gartley

    gartley

    Posts:
    185
    Likes Received:
    90
    Joined:
    Mar 31, 2015
    Absolutely no idea what value XAO will end up at and don't even want to try and guess.
    2019 will be a down year, but more importantly, the market will tell us what it really wants to do before it actually happens.
     
    IFocus likes this.
  8. Bill M

    Bill M Self Funded Retiree

    Posts:
    1,936
    Likes Received:
    245
    Joined:
    Jan 4, 2008
    Thanks, added. Taking entries until Sunday the 13th 2359 Hours if anyone else is interested. If you want to add a 5 words or less comment please supply it and I will put it up for you.

    explod............. 2300 (I feel a bloodbath afoot)
    jjbinks............. 3000
    InsvestoBoy..... 3000
    Smurf1976...... 4000
    $20shoes........ 4380
    qldfrog............ 4500
    Darc Knight..... 4800 (sustained bear market, occasional rallies)
    Trednomics...... 4900 (Australian Banking Crisis)
    Gringotts Bank. 5000
    Struzball......... 5100
    IFocus............ 5200 (Trump uncertainty/tariffs/China slow down)
    MrChow.......... 5400
    Logique.......... 5500 (China slowdown, UK hard Brexit)
    bigdog........... 5650 (US/China tariffs, Brexit and labor)
    Iggy_Pop........ 5655
    jbocker........... 5575 (Markets, Banks flat; Debt reduction)
    macca............ 5700
    kid hustler....... 6000 (economy OK, no stock catalyst)
    SirRumpole..... 6100
    peter2............ 6139 (US/China sorted, bank rally starting)
    greggles......... 6270
    Bill M............. 6341 (Follows DOW down, then up)
    sptrawler........ 6375 (Down, up, Labor recession mid 2020)
    Toyota Lexen.. 6500
    tinhat............ 6780
    PZ99............. 6800
    Systematic..... 6851 (20% year - we’re overdue, baby!)
    Triple B.......... 6900
     
  9. PZ99

    PZ99 ( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°)

    Posts:
    2,010
    Likes Received:
    726
    Joined:
    May 13, 2015
    DOW, Oil, Banks all up.
     
    Bill M likes this.
  10. lusk

    lusk

    Posts:
    135
    Likes Received:
    8
    Joined:
    Jun 27, 2007
    6800+ Bank rally drags XAO up (Dow up from here, 1 to 2 years left in Bull)
     
    Bill M and Logique like this.
  11. MrChow

    MrChow

    Posts:
    122
    Likes Received:
    40
    Joined:
    Oct 5, 2016
    5400 - High Early Low Late
     
    Bill M likes this.
  12. Bill M

    Bill M Self Funded Retiree

    Posts:
    1,936
    Likes Received:
    245
    Joined:
    Jan 4, 2008
    Thanks everyone, added.

    explod............. 2300 (I feel a bloodbath afoot)
    jjbinks............. 3000
    InsvestoBoy..... 3000
    Smurf1976...... 4000
    $20shoes........ 4380
    qldfrog............ 4500
    Darc Knight..... 4800 (sustained bear market, occasional rallies)
    Trednomics...... 4900 (Australian Banking Crisis)
    Gringotts Bank. 5000
    Struzball......... 5100
    IFocus............ 5200 (Trump uncertainty/tariffs/China slow down)
    MrChow.......... 5400 (High Early Low Late)
    Logique.......... 5500 (China slowdown, UK hard Brexit)
    bigdog........... 5650 (US/China tariffs, Brexit and labor)
    Iggy_Pop........ 5655
    jbocker........... 5575 (Markets, Banks flat; Debt reduction)
    macca............ 5700
    kid hustler....... 6000 (economy OK, no stock catalyst)
    SirRumpole..... 6100
    peter2............ 6139 (US/China sorted, bank rally starting)
    greggles......... 6270
    Bill M............. 6341 (Follows DOW down, then up)
    sptrawler........ 6375 (Down, up, Labor recession mid 2020)
    Toyota Lexen.. 6500
    tinhat............ 6780
    PZ99............. 6800 (DOW, Oil, Banks all up.)
    lusk.............. 6800 (Bank rally drags XAO up)
    Systematic..... 6851 (20% year - we’re overdue, baby!)
    Triple B.......... 6900
     
  13. Bill M

    Bill M Self Funded Retiree

    Posts:
    1,936
    Likes Received:
    245
    Joined:
    Jan 4, 2008
    The yearly XAO prediction thread is still taking educated guesses/punts/tea leaf readings until 2359 Hours Sunday the 13th January (tomorrow night). So if you would like to enter your number with a 5 words or less comment please enter now (the comment is not compulsory). So far we have entries ranging from 2300 to 6900. It is interesting times and I'm looking forward to the year ahead. The thread will be open for comments and general discussion throughout the year. Good luck everyone, cheers.

    explod............. 2300 (I feel a bloodbath afoot)
    jjbinks............. 3000
    InsvestoBoy..... 3000
    Smurf1976...... 4000
    $20shoes........ 4380
    qldfrog............ 4500
    Darc Knight..... 4800 (sustained bear market, occasional rallies)
    Trednomics...... 4900 (Australian Banking Crisis)
    Gringotts Bank. 5000
    Struzball......... 5100
    IFocus............ 5200 (Trump uncertainty/tariffs/China slow down)
    MrChow.......... 5400 (High Early Low Late)
    Logique.......... 5500 (China slowdown, UK hard Brexit)
    bigdog........... 5650 (US/China tariffs, Brexit and labor)
    Iggy_Pop........ 5655
    jbocker........... 5575 (Markets, Banks flat; Debt reduction)
    macca............ 5700
    kid hustler....... 6000 (economy OK, no stock catalyst)
    SirRumpole..... 6100
    peter2............ 6139 (US/China sorted, bank rally starting)
    greggles......... 6270
    Bill M............. 6341 (Follows DOW down, then up)
    sptrawler........ 6375 (Down, up, Labor recession mid 2020)
    Toyota Lexen.. 6500
    tinhat............ 6780
    PZ99............. 6800 (DOW, Oil, Banks all up.)
    lusk.............. 6800 (Bank rally drags XAO up)
    Systematic..... 6851 (20% year - we’re overdue, baby!)
    Triple B.......... 6900
     
  14. rederob

    rederob

    Posts:
    2,904
    Likes Received:
    509
    Joined:
    Jan 29, 2006
    6543
     
    Bill M likes this.
  15. Smurf1976

    Smurf1976

    Posts:
    8,778
    Likes Received:
    1,868
    Joined:
    Feb 14, 2005
    Comment: US double top then bear.
     
    sptrawler and Bill M like this.
  16. qldfrog

    qldfrog

    Posts:
    2,413
    Likes Received:
    582
    Joined:
    Jun 8, 2008
    Comment
    Up till March then China down
     
    Bill M likes this.
  17. Bill M

    Bill M Self Funded Retiree

    Posts:
    1,936
    Likes Received:
    245
    Joined:
    Jan 4, 2008
    Thanks everyone, added.

    explod............. 2300 (I feel a bloodbath afoot)
    jjbinks............. 3000
    InsvestoBoy..... 3000
    Smurf1976...... 4000 (US double top then bear)
    $20shoes........ 4380
    qldfrog............ 4500 (Up till March then China down)
    Darc Knight..... 4800 (sustained bear market, occasional rallies)
    Trednomics...... 4900 (Australian Banking Crisis)
    Gringotts Bank. 5000
    Struzball......... 5100
    IFocus............ 5200 (Trump uncertainty/tariffs/China slow down)
    MrChow.......... 5400 (High Early Low Late)
    Logique.......... 5500 (China slowdown, UK hard Brexit)
    bigdog........... 5650 (US/China tariffs, Brexit and labor)
    Iggy_Pop........ 5655
    jbocker........... 5575 (Markets, Banks flat; Debt reduction)
    macca............ 5700
    kid hustler....... 6000 (economy OK, no stock catalyst)
    SirRumpole..... 6100
    peter2............ 6139 (US/China sorted, bank rally starting)
    greggles......... 6270
    Bill M............. 6341 (Follows DOW down, then up)
    sptrawler........ 6375 (Down, up, Labor recession mid 2020)
    Toyota Lexen.. 6500
    rederob......... 6543
    tinhat............ 6780
    PZ99............. 6800 (DOW, Oil, Banks all up.)
    lusk.............. 6800 (Bank rally drags XAO up)
    Systematic..... 6851 (20% year - we’re overdue, baby!)
    Triple B.......... 6900
     
  18. Bill M

    Bill M Self Funded Retiree

    Posts:
    1,936
    Likes Received:
    245
    Joined:
    Jan 4, 2008
    Anyone else want to put in a prediction for the XAO at the end of the calendar year? Tonight's the last night if you are interested, cheers.
     
    Darc Knight likes this.
  19. fiftyeight

    fiftyeight

    Posts:
    894
    Likes Received:
    107
    Joined:
    Apr 3, 2013
    5858 :D
     
    Bill M likes this.
  20. Bill M

    Bill M Self Funded Retiree

    Posts:
    1,936
    Likes Received:
    245
    Joined:
    Jan 4, 2008
    Thanks, added. PS: Very clever ;)

    explod............. 2300 (I feel a bloodbath afoot)
    jjbinks............. 3000
    InsvestoBoy..... 3000
    Smurf1976...... 4000 (US double top then bear)
    $20shoes........ 4380
    qldfrog............ 4500 (Up till March then China down)
    Darc Knight..... 4800 (sustained bear market, occasional rallies)
    Trednomics...... 4900 (Australian Banking Crisis)
    Gringotts Bank. 5000
    Struzball......... 5100
    IFocus............ 5200 (Trump uncertainty/tariffs/China slow down)
    MrChow.......... 5400 (High Early Low Late)
    Logique.......... 5500 (China slowdown, UK hard Brexit)
    bigdog........... 5650 (US/China tariffs, Brexit and labor)
    Iggy_Pop........ 5655
    jbocker........... 5575 (Markets, Banks flat; Debt reduction)
    macca............ 5700
    fiftyeight......... 5858
    kid hustler....... 6000 (economy OK, no stock catalyst)
    SirRumpole..... 6100
    peter2............ 6139 (US/China sorted, bank rally starting)
    greggles......... 6270
    Bill M............. 6341 (Follows DOW down, then up)
    sptrawler........ 6375 (Down, up, Labor recession mid 2020)
    Toyota Lexen.. 6500
    rederob......... 6543
    tinhat............ 6780
    PZ99............. 6800 (DOW, Oil, Banks all up.)
    lusk.............. 6800 (Bank rally drags XAO up)
    Systematic..... 6851 (20% year - we’re overdue, baby!)
    Triple B.......... 6900
     
    fiftyeight likes this.
Loading...

Share This Page