JohnDe
La dolce vita
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- 11 March 2020
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Lecture from 6 years ago. On the whys and possible outcomes. Also the thinking behind it. He surprisingly got a lot of it right. Takes a very neutral stance overall. Some interesting points all the way through.
Lays out the basics of why this thing started.
I think he was correct when saying "Russia won't accept NATO on its doorstep anymore than the Russian missiles in Cuba".Some interesting view points there, like the one that "Russia didn't conquer or invade the Crimea, they were already there because they had a leasing agreement with a naval base".
Another interesting point is that of 2013/14; the Ukraine citizens want to be part of the EU but to be part of the EU, Ukraine must clean up its act in regards to internal corruption. Powerful people in the Ukraine do not want this and Russia through Putin does not want Ukraine to be part of the EU. Putin makes a very sweet deal to the Ukraine President to stay our of the EU and get closer to Russia. This infuriates the people of Ukraine, the majority want to be in the EU, they want an end to corruption. Massive protests start.
Your video shows the Ukraine as a divided country, this is no longer the case.
Putin has united the peoples of the Ukraine, by being the peoples common enemy. He has also managed to unite the majority of countries in the UN, all against Russia's invasion of the Ukraine.
View attachment 138870
Sources say Erdoğan told Putin that, apart from the euro and dollar, trade between the two countries can be carried out using the Russian ruble and Chinese yuan.
“We can do it with gold,” he was quoted as suggesting.
Moscow is likely to seek alternatives as Western sanctions have removed several Russian banks from the SWIFT international payments network. Russia could in theory try to replace SWIFT's communications system that keeps international trade flowing smoothly.
During the conversation, Erdoğan brought up the issue of the 30 ships loaded with sunflower oil raw material and wheat en route to Turkey currently waiting in the Sea of Azov, the sources said.
Drone footage of Ukrainians attacking Tanks and other armoured vehicles, I don’t know if it’s Javelins being used but it might be, they have a maximum effective range of 4.5 km, so you can attack concentrated forces like this from a safe distance.
Drone footage shows Ukrainian ambush on Russian tanks
Armoured vehicles in built-up area about 22 miles from central Kyiv come under repeated attackamp.theguardian.com
It could be, but it seems to accurate for mortar rounds.Ben Barry, a former tank commander with the British army and a land warfare specialist with the International Institute for Strategic Studies, a thinktank, said: “They either think they are going through a safe area, or they were not well trained or they are moving fast for some other requirement.”Tanks moving through a built-up area should normally use close infantry support to prevent ambushes from the side of the road, Barry said. Having watched the footage, he said he thought the Russian armour was probably targeted with artillery or mortar fire because the nature of the blasts.On the audio, the Russian apparently reporting the ambush speculates that they may been targeted by Turkish Bayraktar drones, but parts of the video show poor conditions and low cloud cover not considered ideal for drone attacks.
Next up will be Romania and Poland. Thats where the Aegis Ashore Nuke capable launch sites are located in Europe.After Ukraine, Europe wonders who's next Russian target
The most vulnerable nations are likely to be those which aren't members of NATO or the European Union, and thus alone and unprotected, Western officials saywww.aol.co.uk
Putin only wants the Ukraine, and China will not support Russia in any other territory claim.Next up will be Romania and Poland. Thats where the Aegis Ashore Nuke capable launch sites are located in Europe.
Agree.Putin only wants the Ukraine, and China will not support Russia in any other territory claim.
I think what this misadventure of Putin's might show is that any stored of wide-scale conventional warfare as in a conventional world war 3, would be absolutely intolerable and likely backfire spectacularly on the new world order (tin foil hats on, chaps).Agree.
Don't think Russia would be able to support anything further from here anyway. It's likely the Ukrainians will grind them out over the next few weeks that will tax his forces.
Putin currently has air superiority and is still taking heavy losses. Imagine ground troops and air-force going up against the western world. He wouldn't risk nuclear destruction (or those around him wouldn't) either.
He can just (barely) justify Ukraine to the Russian people. Anything further will see him ousted. Imo he wants a resolution as quick as possible. Russians are losing badly at the propaganda war and the eyes of the world are watching.
Dont be fooled by the mostly one sided media reporting you see everyday on the news.Agree.
Don't think Russia would be able to support anything further from here anyway. It's likely the Ukrainians will grind them out over the next few weeks that will tax his forces.
Putin currently has air superiority and is still taking heavy losses. Imagine ground troops and air-force going up against the western world. He wouldn't risk nuclear destruction (or those around him wouldn't) either.
He can just (barely) justify Ukraine to the Russian people. Anything further will see him ousted. Imo he wants a resolution as quick as possible. Russians are losing badly at the propaganda war and the eyes of the world are watching.
Dont be fooled by the mostly one sided media reporting you see everyday on the news.
As far as I know, Russia has over a million military personnel. They only sent an estimated 100k+ worth into Ukraine. They are just taking it slow to limit civilian casualties as well as to capture as much of Ukraine intact as possible. He needs Ukraine to be functioning to use it as an effective buffer to the NATO border countries. When you own the skies, you basically win the war. Putin is taking his own sweet time. I had thought they would try to end things before the spring weather starts thawing out the ground this month, but i guess they can use railway to bring in hardware/tanks now they have the eastern regions secured.
He doesnt need to justify anything, he had already in 2020 managed to get the people to vote for a removal of his 2 term limit( much like what Xi had done in china) so he gets to continue indefinitely as Prez. He is still hugely popular to the majority of Russian.
Whilst economic sanctions have caused some short term economic problems,
1) Russia has the gold to back their currency, unlike USA fiat dollars.
2)Russia can switch from SWIFT to other payment systems like chinese CIPS for bank payments
3) they have already started using chinese UNIONPay for businesses via phone apps/cards (chinas version of visa which now does higher transaction value than visa system).
4) Europe and the world is still buying their oil and gas (albeit at higher prices than before the war!! ROFL..) so the war is making them more money? Especially if you look at the other major stuff they still export like wheat and a whole heap of rare minerals and commodities, their exports may have gone down 50% but all these commodities have gone up 50%, some even 100%. Just look at the nickel prices. Even our coal export prices have shot up 30%!!!
Germany Says It Won't Stop Buying Russian Energy Despite Moscow’s War in Ukraine
Germany Says It Won't Stop Buying Russian Energy Despite Moscow’s War in Ukraine
Germany will continue to buy natural gas, oil and coal from Russia despite Vladimir Putin’s aggression against Ukraine, the government in Berlin said Monday. Germany and Europe are too dependent on Russian energy imports for power, heating and industrial production to be able to cut trade links witwww.wsj.com
5) Businesses like macdonalds closing but Russia is going to allow their own companies to take over the american patents
Theres just a few small anti-war rallies last week that have been shutdown quick smart in the usual fashion.
Not many countries are on the side of the americans on this one, and unfortunately USA has its own internal problems with high inflation now almost certainly going into hyperinflation coupled with a recession -- STAGFLATION ala 1970s again. In fact I dont think USA can continue with their sanctions much longer, especially if the democrats wanna stay in power in the upcoming US election.
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