It will be a unique US election.
On current polls Trump should lose in a landslide. Huge early voting figures and movements against Trump across the political landscape (Seniors, traditional republican voters, suburban women) all point to decisive Biden victory - on the votes.
On the other hand Trump has said repeatedly that he regards mail in voting as fraudulent and that Biden "can only win by fraud".
The game playing by the Republicans to date has been to
1) Suppress the early voting and mail in voting as much as possible through local ordnances and limited polling opportunities.
2) Undermine the postal service to slow down postal pre voting
3) Destroy public confidence in the validity of anything except a Trump victory.
4) Prepare as many strategies as necessary to muddy or stop counting of votes if, as expected, they show a Trump loss.
These strategies are all in play becasue , unlike Australia, there isn't an independent National electoral commission that takes responsibility for ensuring free and fair elections.
The most troubling outcome is a very strong Biden vote that is disputed by Trump and effectively causes a stalemate in the political process of deciding who is the legitimate President. From a business POV the uncertainty would be disastrous. On top of that the social turmoil of millions of armed Trump supporters attempting "to protect their President" is the stuff of dystopian nightmares.
If there was a truly overwhelmingly rejection of Trump it may be impossible to deny the reality of the votes. I think the recognition of the need for a
truly overwhelming rejection of Trump in the face of his repeated undermining of the election is behind the very high voting figures and the substantial leakage of traditional Republican voters.
And through all this COVID infections and deaths will skyrocket as the administration has made it clear they are not trying to rein in the epidemic.
Senior aide Marc Short has virus but Pence will still campaign as US comes close to new daily record for coronavirus cases
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Some interesting observations of Trump by journalists, ex staff and his niece. They do point to a man who has no boundaries and will do what he has to hold onto power.
The authors of recent exposés, including Mary Trump and Anthony Scaramucci, on the president, his time in office – and what they expect to happen at the polls