Thanks Boggo. Actually I've been looking into quantitative/algorithmic systems so this perfect.
Thanks for the plug.Don't forget Howard Bandy's books too, he is a significant contributor to this site and you will find a lot of useful info from him if you use the search thingy on here.
Thanks for the plug.
Begin with the free stuff. Watch the videos I have posted to YouTube:
http://www.blueowlpress.com/video-presentations
Understand the concept of "stationarity." In order for patterns, rules, and profits to continue in the future as they have in the historical data you will be mining as you work through system development, the future must resemble the past. That is, the distribution of what is important to your trading must be stationary.
Understand the concept of "risk normalization." Given two or more alternative uses of funds, use the techniques of risk normalization to be able to compare them, choose among them, and decide which (if any) should be traded.
My mantra: Trade frequently, trade accurately, hold a short period, avoid serious losses.
I recommend trading a single issue long/flat. Create as many systems that trade a single issue long/flat or short/flat (but this is harder) as you wish. Evaluate their performance daily. Trade the current best one. One. Creating a portfolio gives the illusion of safety through diversification, but guarantees that some of the funds are being used suboptimally.
The field of technical analysis / quantitative analysis is changing very rapidly. I feel traditional technical analysis based on visual examination of charts, drawing trend lines, looking for traditional patterns such as flags, support, resistance, divergence, etc is no long state-of-the-art and no longer worth learning. If you have the math aptitude for it, consider going straight to machine learning. Read the thread: "Getting started in machine learning for trading."
Separate the trading system from the trading management system. The trading system evaluates the price data in search of patterns that precede profitable trades and issues signals to buy or sell. Importantly, it has no position sizing component. The trading management system evaluates recent trades, determines the health of the system, estimates risk, estimates profit potential, computes maximum safe position size.
There are no challenger tournaments, no handicaps, no do-overs. From your first trade through your last, your competition is the best traders in the world -- Goldman Sachs, David Shaw, James Simons.
The single best book is "Thinking, Fast and Slow," by Daniel Kahneman. Dr. Kahneman explains how easily we fool ourselves. My recommended reading list, as of mid-2016, is:
http://www.blueowlpress.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/FT-Bibliography-Appendix-D.pdf
Search through ASF postings for more of my musings and rants.
Best regards, Howard
I feel traditional technical analysis based on visual examination of charts, drawing trend lines, looking for traditional patterns such as flags, support, resistance, divergence, etc is no long state-of-the-art and no longer worth learning. If you have the math aptitude for it, consider going straight to machine learning. Read the thread: "Getting started in machine learning for trading."
Psychology should be largely dealt with during the development phase.
Translated: Technical Analysis doesn't work but my method works so buy my book!
One line that sums up my 8700 post. love it.
If you want to get into quantitative systems my recommendation is to get AmiBroker Professional, good data (don't ever be a tight a** with data) and do focused study on Kevin's and Howard's materials. Probably a $1000 initial outlay and keep it to that.
Translated: Technical Analysis doesn't work but my method works so buy my book!
Ignore the haters Howard , i appreciate the work you do , thanks for your inputWhat I said was chart analysis and traditional indicators do not work as well as they did as recently as a few years ago. I gave links to several hours of videos and other free material that will help explain what I meant and give techniques to analyze risk and profit potential. No need to buy anything. After watching and reading the free material, the reader will be able to decide which direction to continue. Is that approach not reasonable? What would be better?
Translated: Technical Analysis doesn't work but my method works so buy my book!
is there evidence that this book is good
We use cookies and similar technologies for the following purposes:
Do you accept cookies and these technologies?
We use cookies and similar technologies for the following purposes:
Do you accept cookies and these technologies?