I don't like the terms overbought and oversold because it only refers to whether the market seems out of balance, and not to whether the market is turning.
I don't use RSI that much, I prefer Chande's. Overbought/oversold indicators often do unwind and consolidate, without doubt. That's why it is good to use them with support and resistance lines, as well as fib levels. They do often fail. But you still never see a market rally 200 points in the face of massively overbought levels without a stop.
I don't use RSI that much, I prefer Chande's. Overbought/oversold indicators often do unwind and consolidate, without doubt. That's why it is good to use them with support and resistance lines, as well as fib levels. They do often fail. But you still never see a market rally 200 points in the face of massively overbought levels without a stop.
You are like a great system, works perfectly when the market allows it
to work perfectly, but when market conditions change all great systems experience drawdowns or go into the dust bin
You just need to work on your ability of understanding when those
conditions change, and at the moment you’re simply not reading the
market correctly.
This market is going to go to 4400, and if you are short you better hope
the JUNE highs @ 4042 stop this up trend this month, otherwise you need
to stop shorting the market above 4042 regardless of what you think.