- Joined
- 22 May 2008
- Posts
- 13
- Reactions
- 0
Many ways to skin a cat but those who understand Warren Language tend to skin the cat better
I got about 10 criteria after I understand the business...
if you work out 10 criteria including some of those mentioned
and apply these criteria to all the stocks you want to buy...
you be suprise not many companies made the grade ... buying is so easy when the price is right cos you dont have many to chose from
the one that dont made the grade, they may gain 100% here and there due to speculation but long term they probably go to corporate grave yard
you get rid of all the rubbish by a very simple elimination process.
It's not an idiot proof techniques but it's pretty good, you probably end up with a dud stock here and there due to laziness but the other will reward you far far more return than the dud stocks..
you easily outperform the market and the so called expert fund mangers by a mile.... you get lot of of capital growth and dividend growth you retire very rich on dividend income
I aint reaching retirement age, still in my prime and stock dividend fund my life stylenow and well into my retirement.
you should listen carefully to Warren Buffett speech and his annual report letter to shareholders try to deciper what he's trying to tell you..he provides the best advices money can buy and it's FREE.... once you understand Warren Language you straight away know a good company from a dud.
you should be patient and have a long term view and not tempted to trade because it's gone up 30% or cut your lost because it gone down 50% since you bought them.....maybe thinking of top it up rather cut your loss
rememeber company that made the 10 criteria grade RARELY or never go bankrupt so why not buy more when they are cheap.
I havent trade a stock for 12 months but I bought 8 times, some top up of existing one cos I get more for less, maybe I lie I may have sold one or two but I rarely sell on a regular basis and it's not my thing to buy and sell all the time..
some stocks now sitting at 100% gain not one but a few, since last year but still not tempted to trade.
cos it's still a good company and that 100% gain could be 400% gain in the future or more.. and as long as the dividend and earning grow with the stock, no reason to sell..
Only sell when you beleive it truely over value and you can find better value in another stock else sit back and eat frank dividend nothing better than that.....
and be true to yourself, dont be affaird to buy big when other jumpship if you believed you done your home work and you know it better than Reg Kermode for Cabcharge and Graham Turner for Flight Centre. (disclosure I own both stocks)
this will yield you crazy return when good company dump at bankruptcy price
That is how I view fundamental investing, there are more to it than just PE.
PE may get you some cheap stocks but Patient, independent thinker and buy wonderful company at the right price is the formular you need to build wealth.
and Warren is Absolutely right when he said
"You don't need to be a rocket scientist. Investing is not a game where the guy with the 160 IQ beats the guy with 130 IQ."
Your signature gives the first clue.
1) High ROE
2) high return on capital
3) retain a high % of earnings
4) these figures should be over a reasonably long time if possible
5) any dividend preferably high % franked
Yes I enjoyed reading that too and it made me think back to when the markets capitulated recently. When most were fearful, while watching their investment on paper disappearing, our man on the ground with his head screwed on the right way was topping up his quality portfolio. Excellent strategy, alot of nerve and only a hint of smugness.This is one of the best posts I have read on this forum for a very long time. One day ROE you will be a very rich man, well done and good luck to you.
I like where this is heading. How about we all pitch in to create a list of desirable attributes in a company and then look for companies that fit the criteria and discuss whether and why there is value there. (Value: Trading at a discount to intrinsic value).
My contributions to the list:
- Appropriate levels of debt.
- High FREE cash flow.
- Buffett's economic moat concept. High barriers to entry, etc.
With another sell-off underway there may be some fundamental value opportunities re-emerging. Here is one possible pick:
NRW Holdings (NWH): Western Australian based provider of services to the resources sector. The Company provides civil contracting services including rail formation, bulk earthworks, mine development, road and tunnel construction and a range of contract mining services. Blue chip clients among others include Rio Tinto, BHP Billiton and Fortescue Metals Group.
The company has been sold off quite a bit in recent days opening up what I believe to be an excellent entry point for long-term investors.
Current Share Price: $1.51
Market Cap: $394 million
Some ratios at a glance:
- Current PE: 9.84 [Given managements revenue guidance they a probably trading at a 2010 forward PE of roughly 8.5ish - ball park figure]
- Price/Book: 2.77
- PEG: 0.6
- P/S: 0.75
- ROE: 26.1%
- ROC: 26%
Revenue & Earnings Growth:
2007 Revenue: $277.6m | EPS: 8.00 cents
2008 Revenue: $471.2m | EPS: 13.4 cents
2009 Revenue: $509.6m | EPS: 14.9 cents
2010 Revenue: Management guidance issued for a 20% growth in revenue.
Cash Flow:
The company has done an excellent job at tightening their cash flow management in the midst of the financial crisis.
FY2009 Cash Flows From Operations: $88.1m
FY2009 Maintenance CAPEX: $6.2m
FREE CASH FLOW: $81.9m
Debt:
Net debt of $40.2 million. Reduced by 58% on 2008 levels.
Dividends:
Cut dividends in 2009 from 8.23 cents per share to 2.00 cents per share. If the old dividend policy is resumed at 8 cents per share this represents a dividend yield of approximately 5.3%.
One of my favourite aspects of NRW is that they have enough work on their books to ride out the rest of the GFC with positive profit growth.
Seriously considering this for my first margin loan purchase.QBE P/E: 11.66
We use cookies and similar technologies for the following purposes:
Do you accept cookies and these technologies?
We use cookies and similar technologies for the following purposes:
Do you accept cookies and these technologies?