CY2025 XAO Prediction competition

[farmerge]

Same as last year for me please.

10946 :

Fibonacci

Floccinaucinihilipilification

Antidisestablishmentarianism

honorificabilitudinitatibus

sesquipedalianism

gg

@Garpal Gumnut Obviously our very own gg has been on the turps with this, his rendition of whatever!!!!!

 

[UMike]

Once again I pull out my crystal ball for a bit of soothsaying. I think a major correction followed by a recovery later in the year, the ASX to underperform compared to America.

I say 8178.74 "plucked straight out of my @55"

We agree in an opposite way.
I think the run will continue for a while and a mid year slump will ensure. ASX much less volatile than US

8125 (8g1/8)

Aussie dollar to drop and SE Asia to pick up on Trade issues as an alternative to China.
(I am gonna be a busy Boy)

 

[frugal.rock]

Updated with Ferret & UMike.

User	Chosen XAO #	Band Lower	Band Upper
Sean K	5000	5000	5033
Knobby22	7600	7600	7633
Ferret	7920	7900	7933
Umike	8125	8100	8133
wayneL	8178.74	8167	8199
farmerge	8550	8534	8566
Smurf	8726	8700	8733
peter2	8777	8767	8799
macca	8888	8867	8899
Faramir	8945	8934	8966
qldfrog	9000	9000	9033
frugal.rock	9050	9034	9066
Dona Ferentes	9093	9067	9099
TimeISmoney	9133	9100	9133
Garpal Gumnut	10946	10934	10966
divs4ever	12500	12500	12533
	MEDIAN 8832.5

 

[rcw1]

Good morning
Well done @frugal.rock ... most kind of you to take this one on.

Everyone becomes an expert!!!
9200

Have a very nice weekend

Kind regards
rcw1

 

[frugal.rock]

Update. rcw1 added.
Some clown forgot that median is just the middle one or middles average...

User	Chosen XAO #	Band Lower	Band Upper
Sean K	5000	5000	5033
Knobby22	7600	7600	7633
Ferret	7920	7900	7933
Umike	8125	8100	8133
wayneL	8178.74	8167	8199
farmerge	8550	8534	8566
Smurf	8726	8700	8733
peter2	8777	8767	8799
macca	8888	8867	8899
Faramir	8945	8934	8966
qldfrog	9000	9000	9033
frugal.rock	9050	9034	9066
Dona Ferentes	9093	9067	9099
TimeISmoney	9133	9100	9133
rcw1	9200	9200	9233
Garpal Gumnut	10946	10934	10966
divs4ever	12500	12500	12533
	AVERAGE 8802

 

[Dona Ferentes]

still some spots ....
Entries close on 26th January 2025.
If it's a profitable year, prize is $100 donated

... for eg, if you picked 8512, you'd be winning. ... the end of the first week of January

 

[Logique2]

Bit of a teaser with those range bands.

I think 9140 would place me in range 9134 - 9166 (?)

 

[frugal.rock]

Update with Logique2 added, with thanks for entering.

User	Chosen XAO #	Band Lower	Band Upper
Sean K	5000	5000	5033
Knobby22	7600	7600	7633
Ferret	7920	7900	7933
Umike	8125	8100	8133
wayneL	8178.74	8167	8199
farmerge	8550	8534	8566
Smurf	8726	8700	8733
peter2	8777	8767	8799
macca	8888	8867	8899
Faramir	8945	8934	8966
qldfrog	9000	9000	9033
frugal.rock	9050	9034	9066
Dona Ferentes	9093	9067	9099
TimeISmoney	9133	9100	9133
Logique2	9140	9134	9166
rcw1	9200	9200	9233
Garpal Gumnut	10946	10934	10966
divs4ever	12500	12500	12533
AVERAGE	8820.7

 

[houtman]

7670 thanks @frugal.rock .

10% fall.

 

[farmerge]

7670 thanks @frugal.rock .

10% fall.

When the XAO hits my targeted figure of 8550 can I then be declared the winner.

 

[Iggy_Pop]

I might try 8760. And my spiel - Seemed like a good number

Iggy

 

[frugal.rock]

Update adding houtman & Iggy.

User	Chosen XAO #	Band Lower	Band Upper
Sean K	5000	5000	5033
Knobby22	7600	7600	7633
houtman	7670	7667	7700
Ferret	7920	7900	7933
Umike	8125	8100	8133
wayneL	8178.74	8167	8199
farmerge	8550	8534	8566
Smurf	8726	8700	8733
IggyPop	8760	8734	8766
peter2	8777	8767	8799
macca	8888	8867	8899
Faramir	8945	8934	8966
qldfrog	9000	9000	9033
frugal.rock	9050	9034	9066
Dona Ferentes	9093	9067	9099
TimeISmoney	9133	9100	9133
Logique2	9140	9134	9166
rcw1	9200	9200	9233
Garpal Gumnut	10946	10934	10966
divs4ever	12500	12500	12533
AVERAGE	8760

 

[Logique2]

Some harbingers of doom this year..

Balanced by the vaulting optimism of Garpal and divs4ever

 

[farmerge]

Some harbingers of doom this year..

Balanced by the vaulting optimism of Garpal and divs4ever

@Logique2 And a very positive thought from me.
If there is no more movement or at least just slightly I will claim the winners mantle in 11.5 months time.

 

[divs4ever]

Some harbingers of doom this year..

Balanced by the vaulting optimism of Garpal and divs4ever

actually i think my prediction ( if correct ) would be a real harbinger of doom but for 2026 , it would signal widespread extravagant valuations just waiting for a reality check

surely earnings will NOT grow 68% this year across a wide range of stocks ( i expect them to shrink a little . but TINA and super contributions to push the market higher anyway )

 

[Dona Ferentes]

half way .... into the first month

@farmerge in clover

 

[basilio]

Where will the XAO end in 2025 ?

I pick 7777.. I believe the market is toppy. I wouldn't be surprised to see a decent fall. Lets see

 

[farmerge]

half way .... into the first month

@farmerge in clover

View attachment 191392

Of course I would love this to be the end of the year and not the middle of January.

 

[Dona Ferentes]

Of course I would love this to be the end of the year and not the middle of January.

goes around, comes around?

 

[Garpal Gumnut]

There will be a boom in commodities this year as well as btc and gold. The ASX will finish as I predict at 10946.

I’ll go to cash $USD which will have been driven down against the $Aussie by the Donald.

All that remains then is for me to be kidnapped by 20 or 30 girls aged 20-23 from a Texan Weathergirl School and I’ll be happy.

gg