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Actively managed portfolio journey

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Africa:
When cultural points are taken on, mostly women are doing actual work, islam is taking over big time, and any african with a brain is moving to Europe for being paid doing the same thing..nothing
So unless in the local tribe/family who is ruling the country and sucking it dry, absolutely noone to build an economy from. Plus China taking over the resources and land, using imported labour.
And a legacy of french/english culture as the only role model..yeahh sorry but absolutely no chance for any real economy..and USAID has been cut
 
Thoughts & Update

EOW update will come this week. Noticing lots of volatility due to thin liquidity in AAL my speculative holding.

Looking at the US and the invevitable count down to the end of the 90 day hold on US tariffs, the weakness in the US bond bid yesterday, and the passing of the tax cut bill < 1 hr ago.

I will be looking to open a short position via a ASX fund on the SP500, this fund will likely be geared and should act as a hedge for the rest of my portfolio as this period arises.

Will update at EOW with the listed assets im shortlisting to use as a hedge.

Keen to hear thoughts on the US market.
 
sorry this is a family-friendly forum , any attempt at an answer will have lots of ******s

however it is still healthier than the UK , EU and Japan where lunatic commentators are urging you to flee to 'for safety ' ... NO *** !

a inverse index play ? that one or the one that bets against the NASDAQ ?

please remember these are relatively short term holds you may as well put in your sell order ( at a realistic price ) as soon as your order is filled and adjust when needed before the open
 
Portfolio Update

It has been a while, however there haven't been many movements worth reporting.

Opened a position in ASX:BBUS which is a geared short on the S&P500, in for an average price of 8.32. This position was entered on the 12th of June, primarily relating to concerns with Trumps tariff policy and the countdown to the end of June. However it conveniently timed the beginning of a bombardment from Israel on Iran.

My Equal Weight SP500 Currency Hedged position which has benefited from the depreciation in the USD has also benefited from this turmoil.

Finally, I expect strong performance in Energy tomorrow further benefiting ASX:MVR which is a relatively energy heavy resource fund.

Positions & Weightings


Comments

I am going to be increasing the frequency of my short term trades, and the amount invested. I would like to start short term defined trades with a portfolio weighting of between ~5 - 8%.

Additionally, I am going to be looking to increase my position in Alfabs following there HY results, assuming there are no red flags. This will be with money from tax return and dividend income. Any additional funds will be invested in to my copper fund; ASX:WIRE


Profit / Loss


Comments

As we approach the end of the financial year, I have had this portfolio in place for ~15 months. I have learnt a lot, and am relatively proud of my ~10.34% total return over this period.

While I may be losing to the index currently, I think I can continue to contribute to this portfolio, and continue to improve the manner in which I manage risk.

Additional Comments

I will be continuing to grow this portfolio, with an increased focus on trading with a value of ~5% of total portfolio.
 
remember Warren's RULE 1 ( don't lose money which is not the same as lagging in unrealized capital gains )
would BBUS spike enough to make an exit worthwhile ( for you ) i don't see $4.20 sometime tomorrow , but have a 'dream price ' ready just for the heck of it ( you can always cancel the order after the market close )

good luck
 
Update

I sold out of my SP500 Short Position last week. Looks like I made the right move. Still thinking there will be volatility and a drawdown but would rather not have an active position.

Would rather have the cash available to buy when I feel it is time.

New Position

When Qantas got hacked I entered my Virgin Airlines position, on the guise that short term bad press would slightly move the needle on who people book with (with a small population of flyers). This has brought are speculative holdings to ~12%


Weighting
 

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Doesn't look like my full post got posted.

Just to add, will be looking to use my dividend income and some additional cash injection to bulk up my Diversified Growth holding. What this will look like, im not sure.

What I can say is it wont be an investment in Australian Equities but rather somewhere in Europe/Asia or potentially an increase in HQUS. Still thinking about what this looks like. Targeting to inject enough capital over the course of the next 2-3 months, with the goal to have my diversified growth holdings back at

If anyone has some area of Asia/Europe that they think its worth researching (outside of India) I am all ears, ideally if I can get exposure via a listed ASX ticket.
 
well Japan and South Korea ( and Singapore ) should be considered as 'mature ' that is a reasonable amount of information and regulation available but the the trade-off is less potential growth ( in the general economy )

getting good access to other Asian stocks other than via ETFs is rather difficult and most of the desirable companies are difficult to research properly

there are a few ASX listed companies which operate mostly in Asia , LYC , TUA , OMH , NIC and some others , but are they companies YOU want to invest in

( i hold TUA , OMH , and NIC )

you are investing $$$$ and i am playing with small nibbles and different time frames

please take care
 
UPDATE

Nothing has really changed that much. I am slowly building up my cash balance (have added it as a component of the portfolio).

Will likely deploy the extra ~5-6% into S&P500 Equal Weight. I just really dont like the idea of investing in Asia or Europe at the moment. China I think has a huge property bubble, Japan is seeing deflationary pressure, trumps tariffs. I think I am happy investing in the ASX and the USA for now.

Will potentially look to a broad based European fund but currently very much looking towards the USA.

Additionally, if I see Virgin Airlines (ASX:VGN) drop below $2.90 I will be adding to my position. Key is to get my cash position up to around 5% in the next couple of weeks (achievable with a lot of dividend income coming next week).

Current Weighting:



Profit / Loss


Other Comments

Also on another note, I got a pay increase at work in the form of a end of year bonus, wage is definitely my biggest driver of income. Lucky in the sense I really enjoy my work, and this makes me highly effective at driving good outcomes.

This bonus will be loaded into my portfolio. I am investing very heavily in to this portfolio over the back half of this year with the goal to move to Sydney or Melbourne mid-next year which will lead to less free cash flow.

Also set to graduate my bachelors degree this year, which is very exciting from that standpoint.
 
UPDATE

writing this update from my phone, hence it will be brief.

Cash: 2.71% of portfolio

It’s at the end of weeks like this one that I am happy I closed out my BBOZ position.

Returned 2.33% in capital gains since the start of this week.

Expecting my cash proportion to sit at about 4% by the end of next week, this should enable me to buy into SP500 EW when weakness is next seen - anticipating a draw down around August 1.

If we don’t see a draw down I’ll rotate my cash into the SP500 EW once the cash amount accounts for ~6-7% of my portfolio.

Oh, and AAL is on a heater…

Onwards and upwards
 
UPDATE

phone update…

Cash account has grown in line with last weeks expectations. Watching the market, will put cash into SP500 EW next week if we see a downturn, else I’ll load the money in Mid-August when the cash account accounts for ~6% of the portfolio.

Portfolio is up 8.17% in capital gains since the 25/apr/2025, and 9.98% over the last 12 months.

 
UPDATE

S&P 500 sell off last night, in line with my anticipations (~1.6%). Will be watching the futures on Monday, with a plan to increase my holdings in the S&P500 EW as at Thursday/Friday next week.

I have a feeling we will see some volatility this week.

Weightings



We continue to see under performance in the resource sector (from my entries). Will be interested to see if the rotation from financials into resources eventuates and if Iron Ore / Copper can reflect an adequate price.

As seen above we have 4.41% of ready to deploy cash, I expect this to be more like 5 - 6% by Thursday next week, if I don't decide to enter the position earlier (which is possible).

I thought about investing in Asia/Europe but it is all to dodgy for me at the moment, think ill be sticking with AUS and USA equities for now, with the exception of exposure to various regions via my ETFs.

On track for a fairly significant balance milestone in October assuming we don't see a significant draw down.
 
Update

ASX:HQUS has been purchased today at the price of $43.84. Diversified growth in a more comfortable spot.

Will repeat the accumulation of cash, and will look to do another increase in a month or so time. Not sure where I will allocate the increase yet.

Very preoccupied with work at the moment, so will probably just increase my position in one of the following:
  • HQUS
  • WIRE
  • AAL
  • VGN
Weightings now look like so:
 
UPDATE

Very strong week this week, with key growth in ASX:AAL and ASX:MVR also seeing improvements in ASX:WIRE really interested in where this will go and if resources will be supported by Iron Ore and Energy prices.

I still don't like the big tech being so top heavy in the S&P, I know there is probably more growth from these companies, however I just can't buy into the AI hype. Maybe I'm just in denial.

None the less, will be continuing to accumulate cash (which will be reflected in the weightings) with the focus on increasing my position in either ASX:HQUS or ASX:VGN


Weighting:




Onwards & Upwards...
 
Comment;

Good time to be in Australia’s Property Sector, Lendlease return to profit, Goodman return to profit. Interest rates set to drop.

Australian REIT are making a big bounce and offsetting the sell off out of resources over the last day or two.
 

Yes, they are. Should be a good 5 years' worth of growth, ad then it depends on business planning and government regulations as to what it will be like after that.
 
UPDATE

Quick update, showing the weightings.

Looking to get my cash balance to ~5% then inject it.

Looking to get my weightings back in line with my targets. This means I will be throwing another 5% at ASX:HQUS

45% Diversified Growth
20% Resources
20% Property
15% speculative

Over the last 3 months I have returned ~10.03% Total Return and 8.81% in capital gains.

 
UPDATE

Sold my ASX:VGN shares under speculative holdings at $3.51 will either re-enter in the coming days if there is a sell off after this Qantas and Virgin rise.

Alternatively will roll the money into a different speculative asset.

Returned ~12.5% in ~2 months of holding
 
Post Sale Update

Just an update on weightings following the sale:



Deployable cash is anticipated to grow by 2 - 3% on Thursday this week. Likely going to re-enter my Virgin Airlines shares or alternatively a different speculative asset with ~5% of the deployable cash. Rest of the capital will be build up to allocate towards HQUS

Onwards & Upwards.
 
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