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- 12 January 2008
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I am curious to know how people collate their trade stats.
Consider these results: -8, +14, -6, +34(+22,+12), -4
The +34 result includes an additional entry (pyramid) and the total position is managed with one exit.
5 trades: 2W(40%) +48 with AW = 24, 3L -18 with AL = -6, Expectancy = (0.4 x 24)-(0.6 x 6) = 6.0 )
OR
6 trades: 3W(50%) +48 with AW = 16, 3L -18 with AL = -6, Expectancy = (0.5 x 16)-(0.5 x 6) = 5.0 )
I use the first method. Does it matter, not really. It may depend on where your focus is. Do you work on your W% or do you work on improving your expectancy?
I don't worry about my W% as long as its >50%, but I do try and improve my AW/AL by keeping my losses small and add to winning trades to increase my AW.
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There is another aspect relating to our stats. How do you describe those break even trades? If you win only a few dollars when you exit after moving your SL to BE is this a winning trade? I class all my very small wins (<0.1R) as losers, because I have risked a much larger amount and not profited significantly for that risk. This decision lowers my W% but again I am not too concerned by this.
Consider these results: -8, +14, -6, +34(+22,+12), -4
The +34 result includes an additional entry (pyramid) and the total position is managed with one exit.
5 trades: 2W(40%) +48 with AW = 24, 3L -18 with AL = -6, Expectancy = (0.4 x 24)-(0.6 x 6) = 6.0 )
OR
6 trades: 3W(50%) +48 with AW = 16, 3L -18 with AL = -6, Expectancy = (0.5 x 16)-(0.5 x 6) = 5.0 )
I use the first method. Does it matter, not really. It may depend on where your focus is. Do you work on your W% or do you work on improving your expectancy?
I don't worry about my W% as long as its >50%, but I do try and improve my AW/AL by keeping my losses small and add to winning trades to increase my AW.
---------------
There is another aspect relating to our stats. How do you describe those break even trades? If you win only a few dollars when you exit after moving your SL to BE is this a winning trade? I class all my very small wins (<0.1R) as losers, because I have risked a much larger amount and not profited significantly for that risk. This decision lowers my W% but again I am not too concerned by this.