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NBN Rollout Scrapped


60 per cent increase ??

The author of the above linked article should have done a little more homework before publishing.

Below is an extract from the June 12 consultation paper under proposed amendments,


https://www.communications.gov.au/h...latory-changes-help-roll-out-faster-broadband

My bolds.
 

http://www.smh.com.au/business/nbns...ibretothenode-technology-20150325-1m77el.html

 
http://www.businessspectator.com.au.../how-much-do-fttp-nbn-connections-really-cost

so if they can learn to do it faster and cheaper in NZ, why does the Govt say we haven't / can't do the same here?






One has to wonder why FTTP rollouts is the only part of the economy that doesn't benefit from the learning effect ie as you rollout FTTP you learn ways of doing things better and incorporate this into making it faster and cheaper

...the true Capex cost of a FTTP connection falls to an average of $3,659, which if you disregard the use of different currencies, is about $200 per premises more expensive than what Chorus reports.


 
I didn't have to read very far to see that article's a comedy piece,


My bolds.
 
I didn't have to read very far to see that article's a comedy piece,



My bolds.

So Doc, you don't find it strange that nbn is forecasting rising or at best static costs for the FTTP portion of the network? Sure we should have moved along similar learning learning curve as in NZ and should now start to see reasonable efficiency gains in the rollout?

I suppose we should just trust the Govt that they wouldn't in any way try to fudge the figures to justify the path they have taken.

So the author engaged in a bit of FTTN hyperbole. You seemed fine with the Liberal $90B claims for FTTP prior to the election, so I wonder why you're so offended now.
 
To be understood fully, those comments from March this year need to be seen in the broader context and not in isolation.

That broader context is the presentation he gave last year to which I've previously referred.

Right. So we must view what Mr Hacket said in isolation, rather than seeing how he fully feels about the MTM based nbn, how his views have changed over time.

Depending on the cost for the HFC upgrades, and it seems like nbn have about as much of an idea on the true state of that network as they do with the copper, it will be interesting to see if the senate is able to force the Govt to handover the assumptions underpinning the latest corporate plan.

I don't usually gamble, but I'd be willing to take bets that the Govt is going to fight tooth and nail to keep that information out of the public domain. I'm starting to feel that MT and myself have very different concept on what transparency is. I think MT may have been thinking of being opaque.
 
So the author engaged in a bit of FTTN hyperbole. You seemed fine with the Liberal $90B claims for FTTP prior to the election, so I wonder why you're so offended now.

FTTN being rolled out to over 50 per cent of Australian premises isn't a bit of hyperbole. It's an outright lie and the author (whom I assume is paid to write this stuff) should know better than to publish such rubbish.

I'll be kinder to you though Syd and let "Liberal $90B claims for FTTP prior to the election" through as hyperbole. As you would remember, it was the worst case of a number of scenarios.

My bolds.
 
Right. So we must view what Mr Hacket said in isolation, rather than seeing how he fully feels about the MTM based nbn, how his views have changed over time.
In the 12-months or so since that presentation, have you actually listened to it because the ignorance indicated in the above statement indicates you either haven't or at the very least, your memory of the contents has faded somewhat.
 

Shame you din't callout those against FTTP to the same degree you do with this author. Do you in any way find it strange that there are not benefits from learning how to rollout FTTP in our nbn compared to the NZ version? Don't you wonder why over time we're not working out how to do it faster and cheaper?

As for the $90B cost for FTTP, it was the only number used by the Liberals. They never even bothered to put an * on it so people would know it was based on basically no learning how to do the rollout better and everything that could go wrong did go wrong. I could have accepted the Liberals giving a range of X to $90B, but that didn't suit their agenda.

In the 12-months or so since that presentation, have you actually listened to it because the ignorance indicated in the above statement indicates you either haven't or at the very least, your memory of the contents has faded somewhat.

  • I’ll say this again, building it with all fiber is the right thing to do
  • The issues that Simon talks about are pretty much applicable to the last 2 years as well.
  • Morrow – turn around of Vodafone required billions of investment.
  • Construction partners - $40M bribe to repair relationships?
  • Agree SC0 was a silly metric
  • Improving transparency??? Lots of talk, I don’t see it happening. Might as well tell us it’s on water matters.
  • Disconnection Process Ramp-up – Do we actually have any information on how this will occur? I’ve only been able to find very vague process documents but nothing that actually examines many of the issues that are likely to occur, including how difficult it is going to be to marry up the exchange to pillar pair and pillar to house pair. The next few months in the trial 1000 node rollout will be very interesting in answering this.
  • ISS – unfair to blame Labor for trying to provide it to everyone. If they had limited access then the Abbott coalition would have ran around rural areas telling everyone how bad Labor was.
  • Fixed Wireless – labor got it mostly right. Govt owns the spectrum so filling in the gaps isn’t really an issue
  • Telstra deal took way longer than Simon thought it would, what MT said it would.
  • FTTB – Labor got it wrong forcing FTTP. Much smarter to have put the nodes in and let the body corps decide on copper or fiber. Rollout would have certainly added a couple of hundred thousand extra premises. Didn't suit their narrative though.
  • Why is the nbn competing against TPG in FTTP when the Govt argues the nbn should have been built by the private sector?
  • Have any of the challenges been resolved with FTTN? Still seems they are having issues with site access and organising power to nodes.
  • No real analysis of how the state of the copper network is going to impact the rollout. Currently nbn admits they have no idea and will likely take a considerable amount of time to really quantify the network quality
  • No discussion on what the maximum loop lengths are. I’ve yet to find any detailed info on loop lengths for the trial rollout. If customers are due to be signed up surely a transparent minded Govt would have this information released to the public.
  • VDSL+ with Vectoring has trouble hitting 100Mbs after 400M. By 650M you’ll have trouble even selling a 50Mbs+ service. No real analysis of the loss of revenue this will cause. That type of customer is around 1/3 of the customer base I support. Loss of AVC revenue and lower CVC as well due to the lower speeds. Will be interesting to see if they follow Chorus and make higher tier speeds more affordable. $14 separates the AVC between 12/1 and 100/40. Would higher CVC demand offset removing this artificial restriction? maybe just having 2 tiers of 50/20 and up to 100/40 would be a better way forward?
  • HFC – will the contention ratios really be able to provide fiber equivalent services? Simon says yes, but we wont know for 4+ years.
  • Is it rational to assume that as fiber gets cheaper its share will rise? Possibly now that MT is PM, but under Abbott that was never going to be a possibility
 
Sydney!

Those questions/points above don't address your understanding of his presentation from last year in light of what you said,

Right. So we must view what Mr Hacket said in isolation, rather than seeing how he fully feels about the MTM based nbn, how his views have changed over time.

No. That is not what I said.

To be understood fully, those comments from March this year need to be seen in the broader context and not in isolation.

That broader context is the presentation he gave last year to which I've previously referred.

How he feels about the MTM based NBN and FTTN as a separate element is more broadly outlined in that presentation than it is in that more recent Fairfax piece. Had you listen to it carefully, you will understood that.

That his least preferred technology if FTTN is no great new revelation from the Fairfax article nor is wishing it away if he had a wand. If you understood that earlier presentation, you would have realised that the wand needed is financial.

My bolds.
 

Based on the Govt figures.

The question still unanswered is why the Australian nbn has no learning efficiencies in the FTTP rollout when NZ has seen significant cost reductions, and projecting further cost reductions. What are we doing wrong compared to NZ?

Solve that problem, and FTTN may not be required nearly as much.

I'd be interested no see if you have any complaints about the Liberal nbn, or is it a stunning job as far as you're concerned?
 
Your comments above don't seem to relate to the post you've quoted.

As for second rate public commentary, you might want to waste time on it but I'm not when the author fails the test on basic detail with the rollout on this side of the Tasman. Your hoop Syd. No one else has to jump through it.

On matters actually happening,

NBN today launches FTTN technology.

http://www.nbnco.com.au/corporate-i...bn-launches-fibre-to-the-node-technology.html

National Press Club Bill Morrow keynote address from Wednesday Sept 16.

http://www.nbnco.com.au/content/dam...al-press-club-bill-morrow-keynote-address.pdf
 
So the real question is whether Malcolm can take his Abbott glasses off now and allow a real internet network to be built and give Telstra and Ziggy the bullet?
 
More background on the FTTN launch,


http://www.theaustralian.com.au/bus...-deep-on-rollout/story-e6frg90f-1227537978529
 

Yes, the very slow launch of FTTN.

$1B in OSS upgrades but nbn is so unsure of if they will actually work under load they're artifically limiting the number of services being activated for the first 2 to 3 months.

I suppose that's somehow Labor's fault too
 
The wheels are really falling of the MTM NBN now. The government tried to palm off the the cost blowouts as problems with the FTTP roll out however former CEO Quigley has been quick to defend his former board by releasing this document (
https://delimiter.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/MQ-PDF.pdf) which indicates that the cost of FTTP should have actually decreased using the latest 2015 corporate plan against the 2013 strategic review. It makes no sense for the cost of the build to blowout by 15 billion unless of course the costs associated with the MTM were underestimated which now has been confirmed by NBN CEO Bill Morrow who yesterday said


 
I wrote this on the 7th June 2011 post #583


So as technology catches up and the shiny blue cable is being eaten by rats who ya gonna call?


http://www.thechronicle.com.au/news/rats-put-bite-on-nbn-roll-out/1410950/

Check out how many people have actually taken up the NBN and how many houses have been passed ...

http://www.mynbn.info/stats
 
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