The new Premier of New South Wales, Nathan Rees, has pointedly refused to rule out raising taxes to help deal with a $1 billion budget shortfall, but his new Treasurer has not backed him up.
The Government's June Budget Estimates forecast a small surplus of $268 million for this financial year but Treasury officials informed Mr Rees of the $1 billion shortfall during his Cabinet's first meeting this morning.
Mr Rees has told Fairfax Radio his new Government has "a number of very serious challenges ahead".
"The magnitude of those has become more apparent in recent days, as I've been briefed by Treasury officials, but we will get on top of it, it will be a robust response to these challenges, we will re-establish our economic platform," he said.
"A couple of weeks ago, treasury officials and former treasurer [Michael] Costa had discussions with the rest of the Cabinet around a $90 million-a-month reduction in revenue estimates and that was a bit of a bombshell to all of us.
reasury officials say the property market is down everywhere in New South Wales, and that means falling stamp duty from house and unit sales.
Making a difficult situation even worse is that previously resilient parts of the top end of the market are no longer immune from the downturn.
A director at Ray White Real Estate Agents in Sydney, Kingsley Yates, says a fall-off in sales is costing the State Government.
"They're paying around $200,000 plus per transaction, some of these transactions last year, they were paying close to $1 million in stamp duty," he said.
Mr Yates believes it is time the State Government weaned itself from its dependence on property taxes.
"Stamp duty has always been an issue in real estate, and now that there is a rental crisis in Sydney and the investors have been keen with stamp duty, with land tax, and the Government, they want to encourage investors to buy real estate but they make it so difficult.
"So now we've got this Catch 22 where the housing affordability in Sydney is at a crisis point, the rental situation is at a crisis point, but they admit now that they rely so heavily on stamp duty.
"So I just don't know what they are going to do, I mean, they really rely so heavily on it, there must be other avenues that they should be looking at."
Ahhh, things are starting to become unravelled... NSW expects a $1bn shortfall in it's budget chiefly due to reduced expected income from property stamp duty, taxes, etc.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2008/09/09/2359847.htm
Looks like some state governments have been relying on ever increasing property values as well
...
hello,
Re: Insight on SBS
thanks for giving the HIA guy a few seconds otherwise the violin crew had the usual extreme representation,
thankyou
robots
hello,
bloody hell carry on as the world is going to end, we all doomed
anybody got any real issues to discuss
thankyou
robots
Love Steven Keen, and glad he was there to show those people how private debt has reached extraordinary level. And then the fact that house affordability in Australia has reached unsustainable level.
And oh, something new I learnt today. I wasn't aware of the fact that a lot of small business debt were secured by the owner's house. Now it made things double worse when the global economy continue to deteriorates. Can't change the sentiment because...it is the sentiment.
The value of independent media is priceless. Long live SBS and the ABC.The insight was excellent and one of the most unbiased I've ever seen.
robots said:anybody got any real issues to discuss
Now tell me some good news...
LSL results ‘satisfactory’, while Connells’ estate agency operation just breaks even...
THE number of housing transactions will fall to only 500,000 this year and could fall even further in 2009.
Prices need to fall 25 per cent in cash terms this year, and fall even further in 2009, for transactions to return to near normal levels.
That’s the market view from Simon Embley, group chief executive of LSL Property Services, parent group of Your Move and Reeds Rains, after the recent announcement of their first half results.
“Only when lenders see the price falls have worked their way through the market, will they be confident again to lend 90 or 95 per cent,” said Mr Embley. “The house price correction during the early 1990s took six years ”” this time round it should take three.
Noosa house prices plunge
Posted Tue Sep 9, 2008 12:00pm AEST
There has been a massive drop in median house prices in Noosa. The average price at Noosa Heads has plunged almost 37 per cent in the last quarter.
The Real Estate Institute of Queensland report for the June quarter showed an average decrease of just 1.2 per cent in median house prices on the Sunshine Coast and 1.7 per cent in Gympie.
Some areas bucked the trend, with house prices at Peregian Springs jumping 13.4 per cent and Beerwah showed a 9.2 per cent increase in the quarter.
But properties in Noosa Heads recorded the biggest drop.
They plunged a whopping 36.9 per cent during the June quarter, while Noosaville dropped 22.5 per cent.
The next biggest drop was Parreara, which saw an 11 per cent drop in the median house price for the quarter.
Good news from across the ditch: median house prices in NZ have fallen $20k over the past year, and are now down $35k from their peak. So much for their "housing shortage". Kiwi real estate agents and speculators are in a panic.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601081&sid=aMhPXMagcZUA&refer=australia
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