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DRO - DroneShield Limited

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Up $1 today.
I have never paid any more than that for any of my parcels......
.
This is surreal..... Is this all TA or is there some Fundamental to support this price?
 
Was stuck in the range as expected
Blasted through the top of the volume resistance bar without much volume
But has resisted at highs again

Would expect a pull back tomorrow
Blasting through this resistance level is clearly bullish.

Paying off for those patient longer term holders
 
Sean K said:
You, and any other owner of DRO are soon to be banned for participating in any future competitions.

View attachment 209998
Click to expand...
Your portfolio is doing OK ! DRO Missing out is not the end of the world. Move on! plenty of fishes in the ocean but obviously

if all parameters are pointing the same result that means we need to get a hold on it . Turnover is way more than usual


Disclaimer I got a triple for this so again this is not my aim to put more ingredients to boost up the price . This weekend would be an interesting one I think bband and WETT are sensing this thing
 
TimeISmoney said:
Was going to say that is a fake pump if I've ever seen one.
Click to expand...
If price remains above approx $4.20 old resistance it certainly won’t be a pump and dump
I think this is a shake out taking place today
Of the new holders yesterday
It’s likely to settle for the day above $5

Only watching myself
Having a ride on SBM over the last 2 days!
 
Wait until people stop buying down, then that will reveal the real price.

Whenever I see large bar spikes like that, I'm wary because I've seen it play out a few times.

Kal is one example I can think of, off hand.

 
Call me a party pooper, but I would be nervous about buying DRO at this price. It could keep going even higher but it could also suddenly implode, happy to sit on the fence with this one and just watch.
I wish I didn't sell DRO at about $1 something for short term profit, such is life.
 
From Market Matters morning report:
(My bold)

DroneShield Ltd (DRO) $5.74

"DRO has recently entered the ASX200, as its market cap soared to an eye-catching $5bn, for a company only just profitable. In the 1H25, DRO reported revenue of $72.3mn, up over 200% YoY, which dropped down to a profit (NPAT) of $2.1mn. However, this is a growth stock on steroids with revenue set to jump to $245mn in FY26, and $300mn in FY27. To recap, DRO, as its name implies, develops counter-drone and electronic warfare systems that detect and neutralise hostile drones for defence, government, and critical infrastructure customers worldwide. DRO is among the major 7 anti-drone system manufacturers globally, whose growing sales pipeline is a testament to its strong market position.

DRO has already sold more than 4000 systems worldwide and received orders for $7.9mn from the US defence department this month.
The company is preparing to commence manufacturing in Europe in the first quarter of 2026, with plans to establish a separate research and development centre of excellence.
This is a case of a business with a quality offering, very much in the right place at the right time:

The current global unrest, from Ukraine to Gaza, has seen defence budgets surge, with NATO countries estimated to spend $US1.6 trillion in 2025.
However, the catalyst for the current surge towards $6, apart from forced index/ETF buying, is coming from Europe. On Wednesday, European Union leaders backed plans to bolster the bloc’s defences against Russian drones as they met in Copenhagen days after airspace intrusions by unmanned aircraft over Denmark and Poland. The EU is set to commission a “drone wall” as part of NATO’s broader “Eastern Flank Watch” program, aimed at enhancing defence capabilities along Europe’s eastern borders with Russia and Ukraine. DRO is well-positioned to benefit from this next leg in European spending after securing a $61.6mn European contract in June from a European military customer via an in-country reseller.

We like DRO, and while its valuation is daunting with the stock trading on more than 150x est. FY25 earnings (Dec year-end), contract wins in Europe for the “drone wall” could rapidly reduce its expensive tag.
DRO is clearly a volatile stock, having already corrected more than 30% once in 2025, but the narrative is topical and real, but only suitable for investors comfortable to venture into a very hot space that will likely have big swings in the SP in both directions.

MM is cautiously bullish towards DRO"

Not Held
No plan to Buy

Market Matters Free Trial

Market Matters delivers simple, actionable and professional ASX stockmarket opinion when it counts. Access reports, portfolios and discover the stocks that should be on your radar.
get.marketmatters.com.au
 
Amazing isn't it ? A share takes off, sometimes on the basis of a legitimately great product/discovery/opportunity. As it jumps it creates more and more interest and becomes a target for speculators and day traders. If stock is tightly held the SP surges.

Then one questions the fundamentals of the stock. Yes it has a legitimate business. But is it really worth that much ? Should I take the money while its on the table or let it run ? Am I really getting 80K profit on my 20k investment - or is that just today's figures ?

IMV much of the stock market is a casino rather than a place for careful analysis and prudent investment. We are betting on a race.

_______________________________________________________________________________________________

Looking at the bigger picture what is the likelihood of current eonomic conditions staying half way positive ?

RBA is very cautious.


Global financial stability risks have not receded, Reserve Bank warns​

By business editor Michael Janda
2h ago2 hours ago

The Reserve Bank publishes its Financial Stability Review twice a year. (ABC News: Kylie Silvester)

Link copied

While the massive fall in share and bond prices in response to Donald Trump's Liberation Day tariff announcement in April was short-lived, the Reserve Bank has warned that risks remain "elevated" with the outlook "clouded in uncertainty".

Indeed, the bank's latest half-yearly Financial Stability Review warns those risks are increasing, not receding.

"The possibility of a material shock to the international financial system is rising," it warned.

The RBA is comfortable with the health of Australia's financial system, but warns that three key global vulnerabilities loom large.
The first of those is the potential for disruptive major falls in global asset prices, given that share and other asset prices have kept increasing, with investors pricing in perfection and an extremely low risk of anything going wrong.

Global financial stability risks have not receded, RBA warns

The Reserve Bank warns risks to the global financial system are "rising", not receding, and Australia is not immune from any fallout.
www.abc.net.au
 
Now Let's analyse what is DRO will do tomorrow! He does a bit of over bought zone and there has been a sell off attempt as a result of a short term profit taking. Highly doubt it will be shoot down to fill up a gap in between. Looking at the momentum building it will turn to yellow from pink cross zero zone. Again this is not a buy recommendation . Please do your own research (DYOR)! Do you even DYOR(2), bro?



Have a great weekend everyone
 
Last edited:

DroneShield (ASX:DRO): Assessing Valuation Following Major Defence Contracts and Shift to AI Growth Model

DroneShield (ASX:DRO) has been making headlines after landing new defence contracts and securing its place in the S&P/ASX 200. Fresh orders worth AUD 7.9 million, along with a pivot towards AI and SaaS models, have sparked renewed investor attention. See our latest analysis for DroneShield...
simplywall.st

Simply Wall st is suggesting DRO is about 56 % overvalued. Fair value is supposed to be $3.65. You're welcome to keep chasing the rally, but you might end up holding the bag, if there's another dump with this stock, DRO can't keep rising to infinity.
 
Nothing last forever my friend! The price would be a straight line going up and it wouldn't be a plunge down like a dirt. that's a market dynamic
 
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