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(Oct 4, 2016)D2O will pay a dividend in the next 12 months and will pass on franking credits.
I had a look at this back in March and the only thing that stopped me is I get the feeling water access/rights could be one of those things that gets caught up in politics of the drought & Murray Darling water flows. Although I am on the lookout for ways to invest in water I'm not sure this is the one for me.Non Renounceable Entitlement Offer, 1 new Share for every 2 existing Shares at an Issue Price of $1.30, its a big cap raising, water is expensive, SP has been going ok and yield is good at around 4.2% ~ 70% franked over the last 3 dividends.
Water for irrigators - D2O is a kind of infrastructure stock, thus defensive.
I had a look at this back in March and the only thing that stopped me is I get the feeling water access/rights could be one of those things that gets caught up in politics of the drought & Murray Darling water flows.
Down over 9% in the past two trading days....Anyone know any reasons behind the recent plunge?
At 30 April 2020, Duxton Water Ltd is invested in approximately $326.8 million of water assets with the remainder of the portfolio held in cash and net current assets. The Company has approximately 169ML ($0.66 million) of water entitlements in its acquisition pipeline at 30 April 2020.
Whist we have seen retracement in permanent entitlement values over the last three months, the value uplift experienced over the last 36 months reflects long-term drivers rather than the recent drought conditions. Irrigators have over the last 10 years, significantly enhanced their marginal return per megalitre through both more efficient use of water and conversion to higher value commodities.
At the same time, we have seen significant steps taken to return water to the environment through the Government buyback program which has returned between 20-22% of entitlements that were previously available to the consumptive pool. The combined impact has seen stronger demand for a reducing available water supply and subsequent increase in water prices. Irrigators themselves have been the greatest beneficiaries from this capital appreciation as they collectively own the majority of water entitlements on issue in the Southern Murray Darling Basin (MDB) .
After many consecutive months of gains, the Argyle Water Fund’s NAV value declined 2.3% in April 2020 reflecting a range of factors. The pullback represents the largest monthly decline to the Fund’s value since inception, but was not at all extraordinary by comparison to other asset classes in the period. Put in context, NAV has declined to January 2020 levels and remains up 13.0% FYTD
The Water Fund’s performance in April cannot simply be interpreted as a result of rainfall across the southern Murray-Darling Basin, however there is no denying this has had an impact on sentiment. In the first week of May, the Murray River system’s weekly inflow was the highest since mid-August 2017. So far however, the accumulated rainfall has not contributed greatly to critical upper catchment irrigation storages in the sMDB, which remain lower than at this time last year (sMDB at 35% capacity).
Current BOM forecasts indicate an above average chance of exceeding median rainfall across much of southern Australia into August 2020. Irrigation farmers are therefore optimistic the three year-long drought phase has abated and expected winter rainfall will fill storages in order to guarantee higher water allocation announcements for the 2020/21 Summer irrigation season. Time will tell if this scenario plays out. But for now, there is limited buying interest for remaining water allocation volumes for the 2019/20 season, but good demand to carry any water allocation volumes forward into the 2020/21 season in case the forecasts are proved wrong.
The prospect of greater water availability for next season has removed buying pressure from water entitlements in the near term. This has been exacerbated by capital market turmoil. Buyers with appetite to invest in water entitlements have stood aside for the time being, reflecting their continued risk appetite for this asset class relative to others which have experienced far greater price volatility. However, there is no evidence of any panic selling of entitlements – volumes on offer have indeed been very limited. The price correction is more characterised as a reflection of buyers’ standing aside in a cautious approach after many months of consecutive gains. The Water Fund is currently finalising another cash distribution to be paid in June 2020 reflecting income generated from leases of water entitlements and water allocation sales achieved in the 2019/20 season.
“You have got cheap money, you have got large demand from agribusinesses that have planted a lot of ground without permanent water backing it, and you have got the banking industry wanting growers to have better security on their water,” he said. “We see continued upward pressure on the permanent water price. They’re not making any more of it, in fact they are making less of it.”
“In a wet period like this, you would expect the devaluation of the entitlement. But outside of that little glitch at the start [of the year], they have just continued to trend up,” Kilter Rural chief executive Cullen Gunn said.
“That’s driven by the market becoming more sophisticated with a more mature outlook about what’s going to happen. “In the past, the market was quite short-sighted ... they would say ‘it’s wet now, it’ll be wet forever’ and prices will come off a lot. That’s happened with [the price of] allocation in the spot water market at the moment. But the entitlements have trended up this whole year. That and the lease rates have helped our performance.”
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