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BTA - Biota Holdings

Biota profit trend stays positive

October 24, 2007

http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,22640012-643,00.html

INFLUENZA drug company Biota said today its revenue growth and profitability remains on a positive trend path and has continued into the first quarter of fiscal 2008.

Chief executive Peter Cook said the last financial year was notable for improving profitability, positive cash and growth in revenue from royalties.

"So there are the major financial measures of our success in fiscal 2007," he told shareholders at the company's annual general meeting.

"It is worth noting that those trends have continued into the first quarter of fiscal 2008."

Biota is the maker of Relenza, an drug to flight influenza strains such as bird flu.

GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) has exclusive global distribution rights for the drug, but Biota has arguing with GSK about its perceived failure to market Relenza.

Mr Cook said Biota's drug pipeline is the key to its long term value and that it expects to have more products in phase three in the next three to five years.

"Biota's favourable cash flows from the royalty generating products in the market gives us the flexibility to consider further clinical development and/or expansion of our pipeline without additional capital raisings," he said.

"This funding option is non-dilutive to existing shareholders and reduces the overall cost of capital to the company."

"Given the financial markets generally re-rate companies as their products move closer to market approval, share price growth should generate increased returns for shareholders."

"Based on these fundamentals, I am confident that Biota should continue to deliver strong performance over the ensuing years."
 
I may be naive but I was wondering why GSK doesn't make a takeover offer for Biota. Surely that would solve the court case problems whilst getting control of Relenza.

This is NOT a rumour.
 
Re: BTA - Biota share purchase plan

No Comment on this share for a long time. Any feeling on where its going? seems to be very low again, same as july last year where it rebounded strongly. I`d love to here what the feeling is on this one.
 
Re: BTA - Biota share purchase plan

These guys seem to be rebounding but no one is prepared to make a comment. I have done a little research and they look like a goer. Anyone got a comment on these guys?
 
Re: BTA - Biota share purchase plan

Dunno seems like a wounded duck of late, despite some positive predictions earlier last year just keeps drifting downwards.
 
Re: BTA - Biota share purchase plan

down at around cash is an even better price. BTA looks good to me as I continue to dig deeper. Biota's pipeline looks good.

Some questions about management over on hot copper and an issue at the AGM.
There are a lot of possible catalysts and risks, but risk/reward profile looks good.
A cash flow positive first half is among one of many possible catalysts which include a good quarter for Relenza, no reported problems on LANI, good LANI results, HRV and RSV results. The reverse are all risks. It's biotech some will fail.
 
Re: BTA - Biota

Looks like Relenza's main competitor, Tamiflu, is proving to be a bit a lame duck against the flu:

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601124&sid=aXunoP8Qd7TQ&refer=home

This is mirrored by H5N1's ability to quickly evolve resistance to Tamiflu. Possibility that governments around the world holding emergency stockpiles will have to switch to Relenza, UK having already placed their orders.

This is probably why the share price has bounced off it's recent lows!
 
G 'day Mates

Just got a tip from my mates regarding the above mentioned stock. My mate who is a pharmacist told me that these guys are producing medicines for influenza, and their market share is going to go up because of the influenza outbreak and the influenza is gaining some resistance to their chief rivals medicines. Can't really find much information about this stock. Does anyone know more about this stock? Thanks guys
 
To be honest that news has been out there for a long time. The difference at the moment is that Glaxo, the company that markets it and who were taken to court by Biota for not marketing it properly, is now promoting it. The end result of that will be more orders and the media does seem to have picked up on the Tamiflu (rival medication) resistance story again....
 
The end result of that will be more orders and the media does seem to have picked up on the Tamiflu (rival medication) resistance story again....

I think there was new research showing that it was largely useless against this years Flu variants. The birdflu resistance to tamiflu I've known about for a number of years, but couldn't really say anything because of lack of publicly released information.

Shares have jumped 25% recently, what's going on here?
 
Opening way up at 1.15 at the moment. I was going to buy on the open, but such a leap may be risky. On the other hand this flu news has only just started, so maybe there's some legs in it.
 
Hmm, too late for me, up 78% I only looked at its charts last week too!

Would rather this hadnt happened though, this could be the pandemic we have been dreading, ever since I started on this thread.
 
Can someone summarize what worldwide sales of Tamiflu and Relenza have been, and how much does Biota make under contract for those Relenza sales?
 
Can someone summarize what worldwide sales of Tamiflu and Relenza have been, and how much does Biota make under contract for those Relenza sales?

HI not bad today!


Earnings and Dividends Forecast (cents per share)
2008 2009 2010 2011
EPS -3.6 -1.6 2.9 7.7
DPS 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0




 
HI not bad today!



Earnings and Dividends Forecast (cents per share)
2008 2009 2010 2011
EPS -3.6 -1.6 2.9 7.7
DPS 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



So for the AUD $462M of 1Q2009 revenue, what would be Biota's royalty?

To put that AUD $462M number in context, what were Tamiflu's 1Q2009 revenues?
 
Hmm, too late for me, up 78% I only looked at its charts last week too!

I don't think this surge is over yet. The Media will dogpile on and so will punters. Look at how long the bird flu hype took to die down.
 
I don't think this surge is over yet. The Media will dogpile on and so will punters. Look at how long the bird flu hype took to die down.

Hope not, I picked them for May's stock tip Maybe a die down until Friday then take off
 
have people no noted no one has used relenza to treat this virus yet
even aus is using is competitor, tamiflu.
they r not the same.
 
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