2025 Full Year Stock Tipping Competiton

[basilio]

Knocked over my postings for the month.

 

[craigj]

All my postings are in

 

[Knobby22]

Mine too.

 

[peter2]

My updates are all done for Sept.
Today's rally in DRO (+19%) has dampened my EOM zeal but there's still three months left to catch those high flyers and when I do catch them they'll be cast in copper for perpetuity.

 

[mullokintyre]

Howdy Gentlemen and Gentlewomen.
Started to update the data for the comp, and have come accross a problem.
Brickworks was chosen by @bigdog as one of his entries in the comp, but as w all know, it was swallowed up by SOL.
The question now is, how do we account for it?
Do we allocate him SOL and deduct the original price by a similar percentage as BKW changed before the takeover?
i am open to suggestions.
Mick

 

[Dona Ferentes]

Howdy Gentlemen and Gentlewomen.
Started to update the data for the comp, and have come accross a problem.
Brickworks was chosen by @bigdog as one of his entries in the comp, but as w all know, it was swallowed up by SOL.
The question now is, how do we account for it?
Do we allocate him SOL and deduct the original price by a similar percentage as BKW changed before the takeover?
i am open to suggestions.
Mick

1 BKW converted to 0 82 SOL.

 

[mullokintyre]

1 BKW converted to 0 82 SOL.

Yep thats doable, but his orignal choice , BKW, was 41.3% for the year up until the time it was killed off.
Do I discount the orignal sol price by 41.3% so he does not lose out?
Fortunately, no one else chose SOL, so it would not further complicate things.
mick

 

[Smurf1976]

Do we allocate him SOL and deduct the original price by a similar percentage as BKW changed before the takeover?
i am open to suggestions.

My thought is to do exactly what would've occurred had the shares been held for real in any situation such as this.

If the takeover results in a cash payment then do that and let the participant choose a new stock.

If the takeover results in being issued shares in another company, those shares become the entry for the remainder of the competition.

If it's a combination, shares in another company plus cash, then apply the cash amount as a multiplier on the new shares.

Just my thoughts.

PS - mine are all updated.

 

[access]

I'm in.

 

[Garpal Gumnut]

I suppose just pass the final decision past @bigdog to make sure they are ok with it. Otherwise send it for arbitration to @Joe Blow

gg

 

[Dona Ferentes]

Yep thats doable, but his orignal choice , BKW, was 41.3% for the year up until the time it was killed off.
Do I discount the orignal sol price by 41.3% so he does not lose out?
Fortunately, no one else chose SOL, so it would not further complicate things.
mick

it was a takeover aka merger - rewarded for the "premium".

 

[divs4ever]

Yep thats doable, but his orignal choice , BKW, was 41.3% for the year up until the time it was killed off.
Do I discount the orignal sol price by 41.3% so he does not lose out?
Fortunately, no one else chose SOL, so it would not further complicate things.
mick

multiply SOL by 0.82 and see how that looks ( % up wise from last months price ) and then try GG's suggestion for adjudication

i get $31.5618 a share , which should be a nice profit for BKW over the year

and breathe a sigh of relief we aren't adding dividends in this year

 

[Dona Ferentes]

I suppose just pass the final decision past @bigdog to make sure they are ok with it. Otherwise send it for arbitration to @Joe Blow

gg

or Sean ... he's the Man in Monaco.

 

[Sean K]

or Sean ... he's the Man in Monaco.

I think I'm leaning to the @Smurf1976 concept.

 

[farmerge]

@mullokintyre My ramblings for FMG, WES, WBC and PLS completed.
Once again for me 4 green in the Comp.
Wonders will never cease.

 

[mullokintyre]

Here are the current placings as at the end of the month.
Will post a list of the raw data when I get a chance.
Similar to last month, about half the entrants posted something about each shares performance for the month as was part of the rules.
I won't namne names.
Mick

 

[Sean K]

Here are the current placings as at the end of the month.
Will post a list of the raw data when I get a chance.
Similar to last month, about half the entrants posted something about each shares performance for the month as was part of the rules.
I won't namne names.
Mick
View attachment 210012

I think the top 9 will not qualify Mick.

 

[Smurf1976]

I think I'm leaning to the @Smurf1976 concept.

Of coming last in the competition?

My approach of taking a short term trading system and just using a longer period for the data input, thinking that ought work for a longer term trade, has proven remarkably unsuccessful to say the least.

 

[Dona Ferentes]

Of coming last in the competition?

My approach of taking a short term trading system and just using a longer period for the data input, thinking that ought work for a longer term trade, has proven remarkably unsuccessful to say the least.

such finesse is standing in the way of my approach and the glittering (last) prize.

 

[Garpal Gumnut]

Nothing but a miracle or the dissolution of the Australian Institute of Company Directors who trained the muppets who run the boards of my company picks would get me within 3 furlongs of 1st place.

The world was a more dependable place when distance was measured in furlongs and chains. I am not gruntled.

gg