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The CSM Thread! (Coal Seam Methane)


Pretty sure it is AJ Lucas (AJL). See my posts on the AJL thread. Cheers Grace.
 
Wow - its a bloodbath across the board - and CSG / UCG stocks havn't been spared this time!!!

QGC and AOE both down a whack.... is it accumulation time?

LNC smashed.... why?
- is there a problem?
- is it just mkt sentiment?
- did POO plummet?
- or is it just that folks have realised (as I did not that long ago) that this trial/pilot burn will produce just 10bpd. 20000 bpd is still a fair way off - maybe not till well into 2009 from memory. (pls correct me if I'm wrong there).


Interesting times... I'm sure demand for gas and oil ain't going to dissappear so in the long run we'll be fine...

-dukey

(holding aoe, Qgc, bul, sxpo, cxyo, pes .... not holding LNC... yet.)
 
Time for the monthly update. Close of trade prices after market rout last day 3/7/08; Interestingly prices also precede release of Garnaut draft today. Will be intersting how this influences the various values over next month...


CLOSING 3/7/08......
AJL 6.90; 5.90; -14.49
AOE 3.88; 3.05; -21.39
BLU 0.41; 0.07; -82.93
BOW 0.515; 0.34; -33.98
BPT 1.67; 1.27; -23.95
ESG 0.77; 0.60; -22.08
ICN 0.35; 0.21; -40.00
MEL 1.30; 0.90; -30.77
MPO 1.81; 1.87; 3.31
OIP 0.12; 0.13; 8.33
ORG 15.70; 16.28; 3.69
PES 2.50; 1.82; -27.20
QGC 5.69; 4.87; -14.41
SGL 0.495; 0.36; -27.27
SHG 2.58; 2.18; -15.50
SXP 0.61; 0.70; 14.75
STO 21.77; 19.81; -9.00
WCL 0.73; 0.57; -21.92

UCG/GTL companies:
BLK 0.45; 0.44; -2.22
CXY 0.185; 0.13; -29.73
GLX 0.40; 0.14; -65.00
LNC 3.75; 2.91; -22.40
MEE 0.75; 0.68; -9.33
 

Thx Col.
... and sorry whats the 'Garnaut draft' - I've managed to not hear of it thus far...
 
Giday Dukey.... referring to the Garnaut Climate Change Review....ie, The implications of his recommended carbon-trading regime on CSG players should become clearer once the 500 page report is digested...., particularly the timetable, & treatment of energy (CSG)sector & electricity generators.
CSG sector should be a beneficiary if a progressive move to gas-fired is supported by non-issuing of free/subsidised emission permits to coal-fired generators.
How much of this is priced into CSG stocks today?
Will a more gradual phasing-in benefit some companies more than others?

The level of response of predators to Origin's "open-auction" of their CSG reserves should also come into play over the next month. Should help confirm a benchmark 2P/3P reserves price - subject of a fair bit of disparity at present.
I'm hoping for CSGers that the value inferred by the Petronas deal is confirmed....
 

Ahh - OK - Thanks.

Yes - will be interesting to see the recommendations etc.
 
Comet Ridge Limited (COI) have coal methane interests in Qld and NSW.Still a long way from 1st base and there are better csm`s out there.

 
Hi guys,

What would be really good is instead of listing the CSM/CSG companies prices you list their market caps, resources and cash

That would allow for a really interesting comparison

Just a thought
 
Here's a useful tool from the Qld Gov - web based interactive tenure mapping for petroleum leases, resources mapping etc. I found just recently and have been checking out where some CSG tenements are in relation to others.

You need to have pop-ups allowed for the new GIS window to open.

Takes a bit to get the hang of it - I still havn't managed to search on 'lease holder name'. (looking for Roma leases).

http://www.webgis.nrm.qld.gov.au/webgis/webqmin/default.htm
 
A much nicer 'greenday' for most CSGers today, but my mate QGC getting caned down towards 4.50 for some reason... despite what is looking like a very cheap t/o of Roma and their coveted pl171....
very strange... any ideas there folks?
 
A much nicer 'greenday' for most CSGers today, but my mate QGC getting caned down towards 4.50 for some reason... despite what is looking like a very cheap t/o of Roma and their coveted pl171....
very strange... any ideas there folks?

Complete change in strategy it looks.

God damn that company pulls some strange moves.
 
Every day I receive an email from PetroleumNews.net that has links to some interesting articles on CSM. This one:

"No shortage of gas in Australian coal seams

Exclusive for Premium Subscribers
AUSTRALIA’S coal seam methane boom may well be only in its early stages..."

looks particularly interesting but I'm not a Premium Subscriber. Anyone here have access to the whole article?
 
Japanese Osaka Gas looks to be eyeing off some of Australia's coal seam gas reserves.

I suspect this is not a bubble at all. Just some major players see the huge potential that gas will play in our long-term energy needs.

 
News just on ABC Radio Southern Qld of the discovery of a new coal seam gas basin 100 kms east of Cloncurry called the Millungery Basin.

Discovered by Qld Govt survey team. Similar coal seam gas as that in other basins in Qld, plus geothermal potential. Basin is 300 km long and 50 km wide.

http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,24048998-5006786,00.html

QUEENSLAND has struck yet another bonanza with the discovery of an enormous reservoir of zero-emission coal seam gas, 100km east of the outback town of Cloncurry.



Shall be interesting to see who ends up with the lease!


Stay tuned.
 
CSG article mainly on Shell, but mentions Santos and the Petronas deal


http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au...005200,00.html

"FOREIGN investors appetite for investments in coal seam gas and Australian companies with exposure to the new energy product shows no signs of slowing.

Royal Dutch Shell's global head of power and gas, Linda Cook yesterday said the super major was still looking for new CSG openings in Australia to add to its recently added stake in Arrow Energy.

"We've had that (CSG) on our radar for some years," Ms Cook said during a visit to Australia.

"Our interest remains high in various types of new gas opportunities including tight gas as well as coal seam gas in a number of countries around the world."
 
Anyone have any idea why CSM stocks are plummeting at the moment? For example, Arrow recently announced an increase in their 2P reserves of 81% followed a few days later by an announcement of better than expected flow rates from the Taroom Coals. Sounds like good news to me, but what happens? The SP drops from around $3.30 to $2.90. What's going on?
 


They are not all plummeting. Check out BUL. If they are going down while BUL goes up, think of the potential when the others go up. I sold AOE to buy BUL, chose it for the stock comp on the strength of my convictions after studying the fundamentals.If this deal continues along these lines then it is a triumph of F/A overT/A.
 
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