New posts

Reply to thread

Message

Excellent!

The latter

The portfolios are picked at random around the date of 1/1/97 buys go out as far as is needed to simulate x number of portfolio's.All close on the last date specified.

Well thats a matter of perspective!!
$100,000 initial capital OR $30,000 on Margin which would equate to $100,000 on Margin---approx.Of course I'd prefer to look at it on Margin as the $250,000 profit is 800% on initial capital where as on $100,000 its 250%.

No the out performance comes from being able to find and stay with trades which have outperformed the ORDS.This is where our discussion will get very interesting as most people just cant understand this fact of trading--(Which fact)--the above.

Id love to be able to use the word WILL. But we cant as this is NOT predictive---its reactive.All we can do is set parameters or a framework to trade in and test that if that framework is adhered to then we can profit and as can be seen that can vary between 100% over 8 yrs to 550% even that we dont know---hence the answer to RODS question of why I think I should be trading multiple portfolio's of the same method.

One is a stop and one an exit.
I'm yet to find the perfect exit and have tried 100s.
Exit is a much more complex issue than entry and although it seems very simple it isnt---why did I choose 180 day EMA of the low? (Thats a seperate discussion).

No its inquisitive,analytical and I'm sure enlightening.All traits necessary to move forward in any persuit of understanding.I dont know all the answers/truths but those I have found I'm happy to share.

<blockquote data-quote="tech/a" data-source="post: 14348" data-attributes="member: 257">Excellent!The latterThe portfolios are picked at random around the date of 1/1/97 buys go out as far as is needed to simulate x number of portfolio&#039;s.All close on the last date specified.Well thats a matter of perspective!!$100,000 initial capital OR $30,000 on Margin which would equate to $100,000 on Margin---approx.Of course I&#039;d prefer to look at it on Margin as the $250,000 profit is 800% on initial capital where as on $100,000 its 250%.No the out performance comes from being able to find and stay with trades which have outperformed the ORDS.This is where our discussion will get very interesting as most people just cant understand this fact of trading--(Which fact)--the above.Id love to be able to use the word WILL. But we cant as this is NOT predictive---its reactive.All we can do is set parameters or a framework to trade in and test that if that framework is adhered to then we can profit and as can be seen that can vary between 100% over 8 yrs to 550% even that we dont know---hence the answer to RODS question of why I think I should be trading multiple portfolio&#039;s of the same method.One is a stop and one an exit.I&#039;m yet to find the perfect exit and have tried 100s.Exit is a much more complex issue than entry and although it seems very simple it isnt---why did I choose 180 day EMA of the low? (Thats a seperate discussion).No its inquisitive,analytical and I&#039;m sure enlightening.All traits necessary to move forward in any persuit of understanding.I dont know all the answers/truths but those I have found I&#039;m happy to share.</blockquote>

[QUOTE="tech/a, post: 14348, member: 257"] Excellent! The latter The portfolios are picked at random around the date of 1/1/97 buys go out as far as is needed to simulate x number of portfolio's.All close on the last date specified. Well thats a matter of perspective!! $100,000 initial capital OR $30,000 on Margin which would equate to $100,000 on Margin---approx.Of course I'd prefer to look at it on Margin as the $250,000 profit is 800% on initial capital where as on $100,000 its 250%. No the out performance comes from being able to find and stay with trades which have outperformed the ORDS.This is where our discussion will get very interesting as most people just cant understand this fact of trading--(Which fact)--the above. Id love to be able to use the word WILL. But we cant as this is NOT predictive---its reactive.All we can do is set parameters or a framework to trade in and test that if that framework is adhered to then we can profit and as can be seen that can vary between 100% over 8 yrs to 550% even that we dont know---hence the answer to [COLOR=Red][B]RODS[/B][/COLOR] question of why I think I should be trading multiple portfolio's of the same method. One is a stop and one an exit. I'm yet to find the perfect exit and have tried 100s. Exit is a much more complex issue than entry and although it seems very simple it isnt---why did I choose 180 day EMA of the low? (Thats a seperate discussion). No its inquisitive,analytical and I'm sure enlightening.All traits necessary to move forward in any persuit of understanding.I dont know all the answers/truths but those I have found I'm happy to share. [/QUOTE]

Verification