They are not making enough cash to cover distributions
Hey Dion,
I agree, on the surface it looks interesting, but once you start digging then it doesnt look as good.
Its also worth noting that they have not confirmed the dividend for next year, stating something along the lines of "at the end of 2008 a review of our dividend will be carried out". That to me means to be ready to not recieve one next year...
I've had ptn since they listed, yes i'm in the red.
I believe this stock is good for the long term. Good quarterly dividends, low gearing, lot of new buildings to fill, and lots more people ageing.
Cheap
What about the fact their profits come from re-valuations, the dividend is not guaranteed going forward, and their gearing level may be suspect as DionM pointed out.
I would agree they are cheap if they could prove they can be profitable without revaluations...
Hi Prawn
Is it such a bad thing that they are showing "profits" coming from valuations, after all they are in the property market? eg the valuation will reflect the income they make on the retirement property position. Hope the dividend doesn't drop?? but i'm trying to look at this as the icing on the cake. Gearing thing....mmm. I may need to take this up with my f/adviser.
like i said, in for long term on this one
I hate to say it but this stock is starting to look like a real dog!!!
Dividends slashed from 2.1c per quarter to 1c. Biggest problem is the fact that they don't even generate enough cashflow to pay the 1c per quarter which means they will need to keep eating into their cash reserves. I was once a believer in this stock but recent events make you question Management and the business model.
Management advised 9 July 2008 that 2009 earnings are expected to be in line with 2008 and dividends/distributions would also be in line with 2008 and how they have had such a great year with a great future ahead. Then on 28 August (7 weeks later) they say because of the economic environment it would be prudent to lower the distrbution. Bingo 22nd Sept they slash the dividend by 52%.
My diagnosis crap management!!! I find it hard to believe that business altered so materially in the last 7 weeks that distributions need to be slashed by 50+%. NTA backing has declined by 11 cents ($1.05 to 94c) in the last year. Well 8.5c of that is reduction in cash reserves caused by distributions paid to investors that they could not afford to pay but did so to induce idiots like me into market for their securities. You can chalk the rest up to interest expense over an above their cash earnings for the period!!! They pat themselves on the back for paying a distribution for the year in line with their advice upon listing, big deal guys you paid back the money raised in the prospectus. You should have just asked us all for 91.5 cents per unit and told us there was not going to be a distribution this year at least we could have put our 8.5c to good use!!!
I am still holding but will exit upon some degree of a price recovery.
40 cents hurts.
Down to like 14 cents - with nose diving interest rates ... well I jumped in already .....
Anyone have input ?
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