Hey audispex - u still in this?
These guys are looking pretty good long term 2 me - they're still really proving that they've turned things around - but the snippets of info they give make it look like they could be kinda big (or just bust!)
4 anyone thats interested heres kinda where they're at: Lifestyle/actionsport distribution company thats been trying to break into the American surf market (- tough tough job) and also started selling Vmoto scooters - was going well so they bought out the company. Market liked the news. As time passed share price dropped - surf marketing was a complete profit sucker so they've pretty much dumped it.
Now the focus is Vmoto - market in Oz and NZ - why not the world? So they've just bought out the manufacturer - chinese company FMC. FMC apparently make good quality motorbikes (petrol AND electric) with distribution into 50 countries. So pretty much instantly Vmoto could become an international brand.
What makes Vmoto work is funky branding teamed with pricing - they have a similar quality product to yamaha/honda etc - but way cheaper - thats got Vmoto top of scooter sales here in oz. This same formula should work everywhere?
So at the mo, they've perhaps got the goods - but they've got -ve cashflow - last quarterly looks hideous. BUT the turnaround is happening - the revenue for last month is more than that of the last 6months combined.
FMC aquisition (jan07) is forecast to pump revenue to $20m to june07, and next financial yr to $50m. Should give NPAT $1.8m and $4.1m respectively
OPC have given scant info but I'm assuming the figures forecast are for the current vmoto distribution network (US, UAE, Oz and NZ). So far the revenue for the first month is 30% more than forecast . Soon it will be spring in the US - their goal is comprehensive nationwide network (currently pretty small) by the middle of this year - scooter market is 10x Australia's. They're still yet to explore FMC distribution network - this is where the real fruit will be.
All the ingredients are there - but it won't be completely apparent one way or the other until the next quarterly. If they start pumping out news of orders to new distributors in the coming weeks it will be a good clue.
On the charts they have good support at 13.5 c- 14c - and in the market depth - really robust below that. But short term with no news, on the charts they could drop down to the next level of support at 11c
Basically its pretty spec but the glimmers are there, if they start showing signs of a spreading distribution network - these guys could have a nice consistent upwards drift in SP in the long term.
I hold (if it holds!)