tech/a
No Ordinary Duck
- Joined
- 14 October 2004
- Posts
- 20,512
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- 6,754
You appear to have misguided opinion of your abilities.
You said you bet that "it's lower than $2.44 in 12 mths". They are your words.
Jumping Ship maybe.
Genworth Mortgage Insurance Australia faces investor and analyst backlash on Monday after the lenders mortgage insurance giant revealed late on Friday that its chief executive, Ellie Comerford, was leaving the company.
Or he just looked at the chart and said to himself, I am doing a crap job.
... Genworth Mortgage Insurance Australia faces investor and analyst backlash on Monday...
Some backlash! It closed up over 300 points.
Take that as a lesson, Satanoperca. Be smarter than the SMH and don't try to predict stock prices.
Only took a couple of days.
Those that live in glass houses should not throw stones.
Those that call themselves Rainman should not predict stock prices. 300 point drop today.
Looks like Joe is going to win either way.
2 weeks on the price chart doesn't look too bad...
GMA looks like an excellent company to go short on, given we are the most highly indebted nation per capiter in the western world and how much lower can IR's go, not much...
I agree with short.
I am yet to find a TA guy who has bagged an investment thesis based on fundamental analysis ever owning up to the fact that they were wrong.
Its a timeframe differential...
Well, if you are right only for a couple of days, can you really be said to be right at all?
It's be like calling Operation Barbarossa a victory for the Nazis. Actually, that analogy is too generous. At least, the Nazis' initial success against the Soviets lasted longer than a few days unlike the call by tech/a and his side-kick on GMA.
Being profitable is what matters to most of us.
1. Anyone who invests in GMA was an idiot because the trend was down;
2. Anyone who says that GMA at $2.40 was undervalued was an idiot because the trend was down; and
3. Anyone who says that GMA will not stay down at $2.40 for long was an idiot because the trend was down.
Its called trend following, can be very profitable, personally i have no interest in it.
I know what it's called.
My point is that in this particular case those who subscribed to it considered those who didn't to be idiots in circumstances where the "trend" was just about to turn and those who were predicting GMA to go lower were wrong and would have got squeezed if they had then gone short.
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