No Trust
JUSTICE IS COMING...
- Joined
- 22 November 2010
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Let’s look at it in Summary:
Investors Funds Frozen for over 2 years
Lack of public statements to investors for over 2 years
3 Months of remaining Cash to fund operations and Investor Returns
Eye watering Internal Company Forecast that 80% of loans may be in default by April 30 i.e. 51% increase in loan defaults in 5 months
Hasty announcement that a further 50M will raised from the public ???
Parallels - Similarities to anything else in recent history????
The doomed capital raising by MFS also shone a spot light on why 300m was "really needed" The article below and prophetic comment by analyst Charlie Green is an interesting read for those interested in recent history of the mortgage fund sector which originated from Gold Coast Law Firms..
Michael King opens up about MFS
Nick Nichols, business editor | January 17th, 2010
Market analyst Charlie Green, formerly a long-time supporter of MFS, is probably the man who crystallised the collapse of MFS.
He's the one who called it 'all over' during the teleconference.
"I don't think you'll make Valentine's Day, Michael," Mr Green told Mr King at the time, and he was right.
http://www.goldcoast.com.au/article/2010/01/17/179445_gold-coast-business.html
It would be interesting to get Charlie Greens take on the Equititrust saga especially after yesterday’s revelations..
The answer may be "EQUITISOLVE"
The National Bank and Bank of Scotland are rumoured to be owed approximately $45million. Un-repaid invetsors are owed (my guess) about $37Million. So that adds to $82Million. The loan book , asusmign that it is about $235,000,000, will be half in default by 31-3-11 (that is the PDS estimate), so we have about $117,000,000 of loans less: the Banks of $45million; less default investors who have not been paid back to date of $37,000,000 , that leaves about $35,000,000 to repay the balance of the investors. Now, I am running blind because the PDS is devoid of real detail, however that is how it looks to me, right now.
In the above calculation it seems to assume that if the loan is in default then it has no value. However even if the loan is in default that doesnt mean that the underlying mortgage security over real estate is worthless.
Now the value of the underlying securities has most likely been reduced somewhat in the present market but the mortgages still have real value nonetheless and I think they should be included in the above calculations. I dont know anything about the other figures in the above calculations.
As an investor in ET I find the impending loan default rate really worrying however there are still real estate assets to be realised and a few quick mortgagee sales would make me feel a whole lot more comfortable.
In the above calculation it seems safe to assume that if the loan is in default then it has no value. However even if the loan is in default that doesnt mean that the underlying mortgage security over real estate is worthless.
Now the value of the underlying securities has most likely been reduced somewhat in the present market but the mortgages still have real value nonetheless and I think they should be included in the above calculations. I dont know anything about the other figures in the above calculations.
As an investor in ET I find the impending loan default rate really worrying however there are still real estate assets to be realised and a few quick mortgagee sales would make me feel a whole lot more comfortable.
No Trust:
"The assets are still worth something, the question is how much.
If a receiver was appointed to immediately sell the assets, a valuation would immediately be done and realisations would occur."
Spoken like a true speculator - not hoping for a fire sale, by any chance?
Why don't you declare your interest?
As mentioned in a previous post, my interest may be varied as it is concerns the current saga that is unfolding, and as far as the rules of the forum are concerned, this interest or otherwise does not have to be dutifully disclosed to any other party posting on this forum.
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