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What makes forum works are constructive discussions

where people make an effort to take things  forward...


CTX was put forward as an example


So here is an updated chart

above I said ahead of time what I would need for entry


Has not happened just yet

Came back to the 50% retrace

but with a wide spread abrupt bar


not the narrow spread exhaustion bar I was seeking


close was off the bottom


Mkt was giving a context of background weakness


So it is unfolding OK


Vol is subsiding


the small down wave I was looking for

is reacting back and dissipating


The amount of spread in the bar however qualifies that


I need to keep watching the relative strength

and the overall market

as well as the CTX action itself


As it is turning out a buy in the absorption area was not optimal as I surmised



On the point of discretionary, mechanical and systematic.


This chart is drawn in a systematic non-discretionary manner

the 50% retrace line is where it has to be

The trend lines could not be drawn anywhere else.

( they have to be valid )


However the buy signal can occur on any bar

and hence evades coarse mechanical definition


It is about the character of the action

not the appearance the what of the action


The volume at the high

tells us that many where buying on false signals

A failed breakout....


lets see what unfolds

If we can buy a tick from the bottom

So much the better..




motorway


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