Dona Ferentes
Did the Thessalonians write back?
- Joined
- 11 January 2016
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I had buy pending for sol and own some bkw, so probably a good thing for meSoul Patts, Brickworks agree to $14b merger; $500m raise launched
Investment house Soul Patts is set to merge with Brickworks, forming a $14 billion ASX-listed investments, private capital, property and building products giant..
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logical , but i was expecting SOL to do different movesFinally! LOL!
something to watch in this merger is what happens to the property BKW owns and the real estate development skills BKW has accumulatedAfter soaring 36% this year, does Macquarie forecast more upside for Brickworks shares?
Brickworks shares made headlines last month after the company revealed it would be merging with Soul Patts. As reported back then by The Motley Fool's James Mickleboro, the deal will see Brickworks and Soul Patts combine under a newly capitalised ASX-listed entity. This will be known for now as TopCo, creating a diversified powerhouse with greater scale, a stronger balance sheet, and a simplified corporate structure.
Soul Patts' CEO, Todd Barlow, described the merger as "making a lot of strategic and financial sense". He said it would simplify the structure, add scale, and create a more investable company.
Both Brickworks and Soul Patts shareholders appeared to agree, with their share prices rising 27% and 17% respectively that day.
For the year to date, Brickworks shares are up an impressive 36%.
Six month trading chart is excellent
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$13.1BAre there any estimates of what the post merger value of TopCo will be. There are difficult decisions and calculations to be made.
gg
This brings up the question as to whether the stock price combined will rise or fall with the merger.Brickworks Limited (ASX: BKW) has been a reliable compounder over time, thanks to its strong-performing core business and a valuable stake in Washington H. Soul Pattinson (ASX: SOL).
At the time of writing, Brickworks shares are roughly 5% off all-time highs, and long-term shareholders have likely made a good return. But with earnings season just around the corner, is it a buy, hold, or sell?
What the brokers are saying:
Macquarie recently maintained a neutral rating and a price target of $31.70 per share. The broker expects strong performance in the property division, with 2H FY25 EBITDA in this division far exceeding the first half of the year.
However, performance in the building products division is expected to remain sluggish in both Australia and the US. North American operations, in particular, continue to underwhelm, with soft market conditions putting pressure on earnings.
Analysts at UBS, on the other hand, cut their rating from buy to neutral, noting the recent share price appreciation following the announcement of the Brickworks – Soul Patts merger. The broker, however, lifted its price target to $34.25 (from $29.00), driven primarily by mark-to-market gains in Brickwork's listed investment portfolio (which includes Soul Patts).
Earnings picture: Mixed
The upcoming result will likely show strength in the property division and modest improvement in Australian building products. However, UBS highlights that US operations for building products are still facing headwinds.
Both brokers seem to agree that following the recent "merger gains", there is not much of a near-term catalyst for the share price to rise significantly higher.
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