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- 4 February 2006
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Hi Jackson8
Assuming all other variables remain unchanged time decay accelerates as the option approaches expiry.
Beware
This is most applicable to ATM options
hi guys
wondering if i can get some help i cant quite seem to get my head around time decay in options over different months
an example....
stock xyz last price $1.00
oct atm call premium $0.10 15 days to expiration
nov atm call premium $0.14 45 days to expiration extra .04
dec atm call premium $0,17 63 days to expiration extra .07
the oct option with only 15 days to go is worth more on a return value than the more out of date options ..........shouldnt it be the reverse with the options further out of date haveing more time premium by ratio
Ignore my last reply - didn't read the question properlyThe effect of dividends on option pricing is often not understood, so I jumped to the wrong conclusion - hopefully this reply is more to the point...
If the option price is broken down into "theta" - then there is an average of .006 theta loss per day for October ($0.10 divided by 15 days), .003 theta loss per day for November and .002 per day for December.
This means a calandar spread where you sell the front month you would technically gain .006 (just over half a cent) of theta per day and only lose .002 per day for December.
In real life, it doesn't always work out so nicely as there are other option greeks at work - especially IV and gamma when it is close to expiry that can really upset the outcome. Mazz has given some good insight to close out short options that are almost worthless prior to expiry. Also supply and demand will affect how the MMs price the options near expiry day.
Option IVs are currently at extraordinarily high levels - and IV affects the further out months significantly. I wouldn't liketo be in calendar spreads when the air comes out of this IV balloon
Hey Sails,
Now that Magdoran and WayneL are gone, you're the only guru left for us to turn to in option threads.
Hope you stick around!!!
Hi Sails ,
I’ve been working my way through the eBook by you recommended to me, Options Trading, The Hidden Reality, its been a bit of an eye opener and a lot more challenging to the material I have been reading so far. I was just wondering if it possible to get my hands on the full hardcover version through an Aussie retailer
Thanks,
Cutz.
Ahhhhh Charles Cottle - challenging yet interesting, the only options guru I know of that stresses synthetics.
Cutz, I believe that Charles Book is only available on his website or through second hand dealers such as eBay and Amazon.
Yes, very challenging! I think I remember WayneL saying he was fortunate enough to have met up with Charles Cottle quite early in his options education.
While understanding synthetics, greeks, etc doesn't guarantee profits, it does help in understanding where the risks are lurking and to help identify trading opportunities.
Cutz, I have never seen Cottle's books available here in Aus...
Cutz, I believe that Charles Book is only available on his website or through second hand dealers such as eBay and Amazon.
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