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Everytime in the past 50 years when the 10 year - 3 month has inverted there's been a recession within 18 months.7 out of 7 times.
So markets have recovered the majority of the bear market in absence of follow through on a 2019 recession. Forecasts are still for 5% ish EPS...
5400 - High Early Low Late
Just 18 basis point spread between the 10 year and 3 month bond.So all it would take is one Fed hike for curve inversion.In the majority of...
Longest periods for the All Ordinaries Index to go nowhere:1890 to 1907 - 17 years
1930 to 1944 - 14 years
1962 to 1975 - 13 years
2007 to 2019...
I think we'll get back to 6400 by mid year.While I anticipate that to be the peak for a while I don't think the major capitulation happens in...
Longest periods it took for the ASX Total Returns to beat inflation:1936 18 years
1960 17 years
1964 19 years
1968 17 years
1969 16 years
Title seems pretty good in comparison to:S&P500 -80% in 13 years (1929-1942)
Nikkei -50% in 29 years (1990-2019)
Hang Seng -50% in 12 years...
XAO down -11% from the August peak.
The ones like ARG, MLT, AFI have traded at a premium for most of this bull market.
Asset Allocation based on risk profile and time frame is a good place to start.I am aggressive with funds I don't need or look at for 15+ years...
Out of the 9 bear markets since WW2 that failed to reach -30%, the bottom to top recovery time was within the next calendar year 8 out of 9 times.
Respect your opinion welcome to the site.
GFC High 6843 with PE 14
Current 5650 with PE 15Doesn't seem much difference for the rigging of the century.
Agree with the general premise of significant recovery within months.