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Z1P & APT Prediction Competition

Discussion in 'ASX Stock Chat' started by frugal.rock, Dec 31, 2019.

  1. barney

    barney

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    Thanks @Joe Blow … Legend as always;) ... just put that 50 on ice for a few months lol ….

    Given your accommodating persona:p ... If some clever bugger does actually pick the Stocks within 10 cents … I'll shout you the $50 for the defence fund anyway (I'll borrow it from my wife's secret stash which I obviously don't know about:eek::D)

    On @Knobby22 suggestion above …… excellent idea!

    @frugal.rock there is still time to get a few more entries.

    Given the "comp" doesn't close for a few months, delaying the entry criteria is no big deal … plus it is your idea and "Your Rules"!!:p

    If you and Joe are ok, perhaps Knobby's suggestion (Share Price Guess Competition - Win Money with little work) could be implemented forthwith, and a couple of extra days added to the entry date so you get a few more punters on board??

    I will still sort your Spreadsheet for you as promised, but bare in mind it will be no where near as colourful as @peter2 or @debtfree …… I'm old … Spreadsheets used to be for sleeping between before computers took over:rolleyes:
     
  2. tech/a

    tech/a No Ordinary Duck

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    As we are looking longer term I'm looking
    at Weekly Charts

    Managed to get APT done
    This is the most interesting of the 2
    I expect to reach the target on the stock
    I've suggested withing 6-9 mths. ($48-$50)
    Although I placed 12 on the chart--I think its likely
    to happen before 12 mths.

    Z1P is more interesting but will have to wait.


    APT.gif
     
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  3. tinhat

    tinhat Pocket Calculator Operator

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    Hi Duck,

    Are you bullish the market in general ( and does that matter to you)?

    Are you looking at stocks like APT over a longer time frame for your analysis? How does volume play in the annotated chart you posted above?

    I love weekly charts because that is a nice time frame for me. I'd love to look at only monthly as I often don't get time to look at weekly when busy but weekly is doable. I don't recall ever seeing a weekly chart from you before. Same VSA for a weekly for you?
     
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  4. tech/a

    tech/a No Ordinary Duck

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    Yes and in the long term due to filters yes short term no.

    No its not one Im currently trading (APT) stocks like it yes sometimes in the short term.
    Volume
    Yes but over time I've come to look at it a little differently than conventional VSA on a Daily chart and on lower time frame charts.
    For Longer time frame Im dealing with more volume and a larger crowd than i am in say a daily or Hourly time frame.
    These longer time frames have a longer and stronger time horizon. You can see things clearer on the longer frame for longer term decisions.
    Shorter time frames of course are easier to read in the contexts of the volume (and Crowd trading it) in and around that time frame.
    To use a daily or Hourly Time frame to look at an instrument longer term is of no value. As is it of no value looking at a Weekly Chart to day trade!

    Mainly because the topic has been shorter time frames.
    Never looked at Monthly but have looked at 2 day and 2 week charts (out of the square).
    When i say looked played with some research. 2 Week may suit you if you like the idea of monthly.
    More bars and data to play with ----
    If your looking at something 98% of others aren't then you "may"see things they dont!
    This of course fits for many using lower time frames like 4 hrly.

    Things to think about.
     
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  5. frugal.rock

    frugal.rock "Time wait's for no man"

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    @tech/a
    Chart looks good, with thanks.:xyxthumbs

    If @Joe Blow wants to change the thread name to something catchier, fine by me.
    eg; "novice Vampire trader feeds on other traders knowledge wealth" ;)
    My suggestion is probably not suitable and may be misleading...or not...DYOR.

    @barney has generously contributed to the potential "prize" gift pool. :xyxthumbsConditions for Barney's bit in his post. :2twocents

    The entries can be open until popular opinion wants it closed I guess.
    Maybe close of Australia day? ;)

    Good to see both stocks on the rise this week and more notably for me, zip getting back to its old tricks. Good luck to the holders.
    Cheers.
    F.Rock
     
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  6. barney

    barney

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    frugal.rock likes this.
  7. barney

    barney

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    Spreadsheet as promised ….. I actually learned about the ABS function in Excel so I'm cheering:p

    Any chance of a couple more entries guys/gals?? I can assure you @frugal is not doing this for our advice cause he is already trading these Stocks with plenty of success;)

    Can I twist your arm @tech/a ?? You said you might consider entering in @Joe Blow name … I know Joe would be happy if you won it for him:)

    I know @Boggo and @tinhat have shown interest in these Stocks as well … Just throw a couple of numbers at me and I'll write you up …. the more the merrier and its all in good spirit:):singing:

    Obviously since we are trying to get as close to a final Stock price as possible, the LOWER the combined percentage of the "distance away" from both Stocks by the competition close the better.

    Or to put it another way, the punter with the smallest Blue Bar in the graph below on the closing date gets the chocolates.

    Clear as mud to me:wacky: Any suggestions/improvements please feel free to speak.

    (@bigdog has gone out hard searching for big moves by June. Will that pay off??:smug:)

    Frugal Comp APT Z1P.jpg
     
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  8. tech/a

    tech/a No Ordinary Duck

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    I’m pretty sure the winner will donate to Joe
    My entry won’t make Joe wealthier.
     
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  9. barney

    barney

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    All good … I had to ask:)
     
  10. Zaxon

    Zaxon The voice of reason

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    Z1P - 3.98
    APT - 42.01
     
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  11. barney

    barney

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    Thanks Zaxon and welcome to the comp:)

    As you have highlighted … Frugal has agreed to extend the entry dates till Australia Day 26th January so anyone wishing to throw their hat, or any other appropriate apparel in the ring, please do so (no undies please; its a family show:eek::D)

    APT Z1P latest comp entries 18Jan2020.jpg
     

    Attached Files:

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  12. Zaxon

    Zaxon The voice of reason

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    Why thank you!
    Hat, boots, and spurs from me.
    upload_2020-1-18_20-20-27.png
     
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  13. barney

    barney

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    Whew!! No censorship required … excellent:p:D
     
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  14. Austwide

    Austwide

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    Based on a secret complex formula, results then multiplied by a Random Number and then a bit added or subtracted depending on the Tea Leaves in my cup, I come up with,

    APT $36.10
    Z1P $4.56

    PS Please send my winnings straight to Joe.
     
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  15. barney

    barney

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    Lol … excellent:D …..

    All further entries may as well now cease lest they be relegated to relative insignificance:p ….

    @Austwide has revealed his connection to the holy grail and has henceforth donated his future winnings to the great @Joe Blow

    I suspect Austwide's real name is "Tim":eek::D We are in your awe "Oh great Tim";) ….. Son of Joe!
     
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  16. tech/a

    tech/a No Ordinary Duck

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    WEEKLY VIEW

    Z1P

    Z1P.gif

    Sorry noticed tail should be Tale!!!
    $4.80 is the number I have put on it if I had to!
    But could fall anywhere in that range.
     
  17. frugal.rock

    frugal.rock "Time wait's for no man"

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    F.Rock
     
  18. barney

    barney

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    Competition Entries still open till Australia Day 26th January. (1 week today)

    Welcome to @Austwide the most recent entry.

    Current Entries as at today:

    APT Z1P Entrants as at 19 Jan 2020.jpg
     
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  19. Knobby22

    Knobby22 Mmmmmm 2nd breakfast

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    If the frog or the dog win, I will not be unhappy.
     
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  20. frugal.rock

    frugal.rock "Time wait's for no man"

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    Nice chart @tech/a much obliged. Lots of information to take in.
    I note increasing volume on the last week or two. More noticeable on the daily.
    Will have to keep the ear to the ground regarding any regulatory changes, which could impact things, however, I don't think anything will change rapidly in this area.
    I suspect both companies are on top of what to expect in this regard also.
    F.Rock
     
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