Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

Storm at Sea

Ahoy Brave and Loyal Crew---
images.jpg
Conditions improve but only just ----------Stay the Course--

US Industry ETFs-----Thu 30 Jan 25, 8:25am (AEDT)

NameValue% Chg
Commodities
Uranium28.29+2.57%
Copper Miners38.57+1.53%
Silver28.005+1.36%
Steel61.54+0.65%
Gold Miners37.9+0.53%
Lithium & Battery Tech40.82+0.37%
Strategic Metals40.92+0.10%
Industrials
Agriculture27.91+1.27%
Global Jets26.185+0.63%
Aerospace & Defense154.27-0.43%
Construction76.46-0.77%
Healthcare
Biotechnology137.49-0.48%
NameValue% Chg
Cryptocurrency
Bitcoin25.3+3.10%
Renewables
Solar33.63+3.00%
CleanTech6.6601+2.62%
Hydrogen20.83-0.24%
Technology
Semiconductor214.38+0.41%
FinTech32.94+0.37%
Video Games/eSports86.29+0.14%
E-commerce30.1558+0.02%
Sports Betting/Gaming20.05-0.40%
Electric Vehicles23.14-0.52%
Cybersecurity34.11-1.27%
Robotics & AI33.33-1.33%
Cloud Computing25.94-1.52%

ASX TODAY

  • Euroz Hartleys guides to 501% year-on-year NPAT growth to $6.3m (EZL)
  • MinRes reiterates FY25 guidance, with Onslow Iron progressing towards its nameplate 35Mtpa run rate (MIN)
  • Sandfire Resources lifts 1H25 production by 5% to 75.1kt (representing 49% of annual guidance), retained full-year guidance with volumes now expected to be marginally skewed to 2H (SFR)
  • Sigma Healthcare receives 100% Chemist Warehouse shareholder approval for proposed merger, implementation to occur on 12-Feb (SIG)
  • Vulcan Energy holder Hancock Prospecting decreases stake from 6.5% to 7.5% (VUL)

1738190964694.png


Salute and Stay Safe
HMAS  Ship of Fools.gif
 
Ahoy Brave and Loyal Crew--

Our VBTC #1 and VBTC #2 did really good today --- +3.5% today

Sailing for Bitcoin ETF's ----One WEEK at a Time---&------One DAY at a Time-------------------------&-----------15 MINUTES at a Time--1738221085994.png
Even our Long Held (Hoisted 12 Feb 2024) 3 x ACES #1, #2 and #3 found wind---------- + 9.77 % today

Sailing the ACE-----One WEEK at a Time---------&-------------One DAY at a Time-------------------------&-----------15 MINUTES at a Time--

1738222707784.png
Salute and Stay Well
XYZ Yacht.GIF
 
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Ahoy Brave and Loyal Crew----
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Oh! What a Night ! The Old Economy is Back with IRON ORE Futures matching it with the PRECIOUS Metals -- Hold onto your Hats

Sailing the FEF1!-----One WEEK at a Time---------&----One DAY at a Time----( +5.61% today )-----&-----------15 MINUTES at a Time--
1738276629711.png

US Industry ETFs-----Fri 31 Jan 25, 8:23am (AEDT)


NameValue% Chg
Commodities
Gold Miners39.4+3.96%
Silver28.72+2.57%
Uranium28.87+1.80%
Copper Miners39.07+1.38%
Lithium & Battery Tech41.12+0.81%
Strategic Metals41.22+0.66%
Steel61.58+0.02%
Industrials
Aerospace & Defense157.31+2.18%
Construction77.9+1.90%
Global Jets26.365+0.71%
Agriculture27.74-0.64%
Healthcare
Biotechnology138.87+1.00%
NameValue% Chg
Cryptocurrency
Bitcoin25.44+0.51%
Renewables
Hydrogen21.6711+4.04%
CleanTech6.92+2.06%
Solar34.14+1.58%
Technology
E-commerce30.74+2.26%
Video Games/eSports88.14+2.12%
Semiconductor218.74+2.03%
FinTech33.45+1.55%
Electric Vehicles23.43+1.21%
Cybersecurity34.5+1.14%
Robotics & AI33.45+0.36%
Sports Betting/Gaming20.1199+0.21%
Cloud Computing25.73-0.81%

ASX TODAY

  • Deterra Royalties reports Q2 total royalty receipts of A$59.3m vs. A$53.1m last quarter (DRR)
  • PointsBet reports Q2 normalised EBITDA loss of -$3.3m vs. -$13.3m a year ago, downgrades full-year EBITDA to $11-14m from prior guidance (11-16m (PBH)
  • Ramsay CFO Martyn Roberts resigns, Australia CEO Carmel Monaghan to retire in mid-25 (RHC)
  • ResMed reports Q2 results, delivered 10% YoY revenue growth, 230 bps improvement in gross margin and $309m of operating cash flow – at a glance, EPS is 2.5% ahead of GSe but dividend was a 1 cent miss or 1.9% below GSe (RMD)

WHAT TO WATCH TODAY

  • Gold: Gold prices hit a record high of US$2,798 overnight (also trading at a record A$4,500). Gold Miners ETF (GDX) surged 4.0% to a near four-month high. This should set up local names for a very strong session.
  • Credit Corp: Reported 1H25 results yesterday. Revenue, NPAT and dividend missed Macquarie estimates by 4-6%. FY25 NPAT also soft (~1.5% miss). Stock opened Thursday session 1.5% lower, finished down 12.5%. Could see more weakness on analyst downgrades.

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Salute and HOLD on TIGHT--
HMAS  Ship of Fools.gif
 
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Ahoy Brave and Loyal Crew--

Crikey! It was a Dark and Stormy Night on Wall St Friday--

The Storm Struck on Sat 5.30 am AEST (~1.30 pm NY time) and all sectors of the the S&P 500 Equal Weighted- suffered her Wrath with Energy and Basic Materials Worst hit

Sailing the S&P 500 EW ETF--One WEEK at a Time----&--------One DAY at a Time--------------------&-----------15 MINUTES at a Time--
1738455371383.png

Sailing the S & P 500 Tall Ships ---End of Week ---( Friday 31 st Jan ) in the Deep Waters of Wall St----One DAY at a Time

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No.NameMarket CapP/EDividendAvg VolumeChangeVolumeStocks
1​
3488.03B​
12.81​
4.61%​
573.22M​
-2.39%​
726.48M​
254​
2​
1979.18B​
21.83​
2.28%​
591.46M​
-1.01%​
637.64M​
267​
3​
5966.37B​
25.71​
1.31%​
1.05B​
-0.78%​
1.15B​
668​
4​
4119.71B​
25.93​
2.35%​
462.75M​
-0.75%​
1.34B​
246​
5​
12732.16B​
18.10​
1.86%​
1.14B​
-0.72%​
1.27B​
915​
6​
1626.94B​
20.67​
2.91%​
234.21M​
-0.72%​
301.02M​
110​
7​
21559.54B​
41.65​
0.65%​
2.72B​
-0.52%​
3.09B​
777​
8​
8002.32B​
34.72​
1.57%​
1.81B​
-0.52%​
1.52B​
1177​
9​
8999.39B​
29.28​
0.76%​
1.24B​
-0.49%​
1.39B​
567​
10​
1643.80B​
36.80​
3.79%​
374.06M​
-0.30%​
376.62M​
267​
11​
9522.68B​
38.93​
0.62%​
667.85M​
0.49%​
798.31M​
262​
1738458640733.png

NB : The FIRST Discipline of Seamanship all Sea-Cadets are taught is "NEVER SET SAIL IN THE FACE OF A STORM"
It Makes No Sense!

Yes! It may be a Storm in a Tea-Cup --------------BUT it may be NOT!

Trimming Sails and RUNNING for SHELTER depends on one's Tolerance to RISK

NB: The Loss of Money is Nothing Compared to the Loss of EGO
Believe Me ! LYING to Oneself and Sailing in Secrecy is not the answer

With Brokerage costs nowadays almost NEGLIGLE Buying and Tacking Back into a Sail is Not an EGO Thing to an Astute Man of the Sea It is #2
NB : The Second Discipline of Seamanship all Sea-cadets are taught is " LEAVE YOUR EGO BACK ON LAND " and TACK
It is just The Business of Sailing for Prize Money on the Global Exchange

As Always : "Safety at Sea is Paramount"

Salute and Stay Alert to Each and Every Individual Sail you have Presented to the Wind

NB : " The TREND is YOUR FRIEND "
NB : NO TWO Sails are the Same ---- Each Sail is to be Handled with Care!
BB.giftbc
 
Ahoy Brave and Loyal Crew---

In the Face of a Storm RUNNING For SHELTER
and /or TRIMMING and Reefing in Sails is not only Recommended but INSISTED


Sometimes It Makes No Sense to have so much sail Presented to the Wind

Most landlubbers believe in Trimming your Best
Not this Captain!

I only Believe " The Trend Is My Friend" but as we know
That is more easily said than Done
I always tell my Grandson/1st Mate
" Don't do as I Do ---Do as I Say!"

Sailing the Good Ship HMAS Ship of FOOLS Top 20 sails presented to the Wind atm
and the 7 largest Losers atm

All are welcome to Visit the Ship's Log for verification
Hopefully you won't encounter any Crabs to interrupt your Survey of Sails on Deck

I will Follow up with Charts as Time Permits

I present our trousseaux of Sails Presented to the wind atm

APX Hoisted 12/08/2024 + 235.37 %
BVS#1 Hoisted 12/02/2024 + 136.67 %
CAT Hoisted 12/08/2024 + 87.54 %
NXL Hoisted 13/05/2024 + 86.66 %
BVS #2 Hoisted 12/08/2024 + 83.05 %

MSB Hoisted 02/12/2024 + 79.10 %
WTC Hoisted 12/02/2024 + 60.48 %
SLX Hoisted 12/08/2024 + 56.96 %
RUL Hoisted 12/02/2024 + 53.46 %
DUB Hoisted 02/01//2025 + 40.62%

BOE #1 Hoisted 30/12/2024 + 40.25 %
BOE #2 Hoisted 02/01/2025 + 36.21 %
EVN Hoisted 19/08/2024 + 36.04 %
ACL Hoisted 26/08/2024 + 31.58 %
MLX Hoisted 04/04/2024 +29.73 %

XRO Hoisted 26/08/2024 + 27.70 %
ACE x3 Hoisted 12/02/2024 + 26.80 %
3DP Hoisted 12/08/2024 + 23.53 %
PDN Hoisted 12/08/2024 + 17.53 %
BMN Hoisted 12/08/2024 + 17.25 %


and Yes we do also have some WET Sails Dragging in the Water which I may CUT Loose

As they say in All Sports Cut the Weakest from the Squad

DUG Hoisted 26/08/2024 - 57.97 %
Lost too much Money here ---Keep as a Tax Deduction
OCT Hoisted 10/12/2024 - 45.65 % Lost too much Money here --Keep as a Tax Deduction
SGQ Hoisted 30/09/2024
- 25.00 % has been Good to me
PMT Hoisted 23/09/2024 -20.93 %
WC8 Hoisted 21/08//2024 -15.79 %
JMS Hoisted 30/09//2024 -16.22 %
IGO Hoisted 30/09//2024 -14.41 %

Looks Like I might Have to Burn the Midnight Oil Tonight

Salute and Stay Strong
HMAS  Ship of Fools.gif
 
Thank-you Finicky for your Star emoji
It means a lot to me coming from a Captain of Your calibre

At least you now know I am not just a pretty Face
Captain Chaza (2).jpg
 
Ahoy Brave and Loyal Crew---
images.jpg
All hands on Deck at Dawn --Wet weather Gear is in order
I anticipate the Decks will be swamped on the crack of dawn and a Cruel Start of Day
Batten down the Hatches and Update all Video Subscriptions

I have ~ 10 sails to lighten the amount of sails we have presented to the wind
All are either around +5% or -5% and have been very boring to hold
I will hold off doing anything on the Open


US Industry ETFs-----Mon 03 Feb 25, 8:25am (AEDT)​

NameValue% Chg
Commodities
Silver28.51-0.73%
Strategic Metals40.61-1.10%
Gold Miners38.96-1.17%
Lithium & Battery Tech40.49-1.51%
Steel60.91-1.52%
Uranium28.31-2.11%
Copper Miners38.18-2.33%
Industrials
Aerospace & Defense156.58-0.41%
Agriculture27.6-0.43%
Construction77.1438-1.17%
Global Jets26.03-1.29%
Healthcare
Biotechnology138.66-0.15%
NameValue% Chg
Cryptocurrency
Bitcoin24.59-3.42%
Renewables
Hydrogen21.8+0.18%
Solar33.8-1.11%
CleanTech6.74-1.61%
Technology
Semiconductor218.13-0.28%
Sports Betting/Gaming20.0114-0.52%
Cloud Computing25.57-0.62%
Cybersecurity34.26-0.70%
Robotics & AI33.18-0.81%
FinTech33.15-0.90%
Electric Vehicles23.18-1.07%
Video Games/eSports87.17-1.10%
E-commerce30.23-1.66%

Salute and Stay Safe
HMAS  Ship of Fools.gif
 
Ahoy Brave and Loyal Crew---

The Weekend was not kind to our Bitcoins---
NB: The New SL (shown in White Dashes)

Sailing for Bitcoins----One WEEK at a Time----&-------------One DAY at a Time-------------------------&-----------15 MINUTES at a Time--
1738535044951.png
Salute and Stay Safe
XYZ Yacht.GIF
 
Ahoy Brave and Loyal Crew--

BIG Troubles Down Under as Our Little Aussie Battler Battles to her Decks from being Over-Swamped
Sailing for AUD's----One WEEK at a Time--------&-------------One DAY at a Time-------------------------&-----------15 MINUTES at a Time--
1738553037877.png
Nowhere to Hide now except in the BIG Buck --- Crikey! What a Beauty She is!
Sailing for USD's----One WEEK at a Time--------&-------------One DAY at a Time-------------------------&-----------15 MINUTES at a Time--
1738553422059.png
Salute and Stay Strong
XYZ Yacht.GIF
 
Ahoy Brave and Loyal Crew---

The Skippers sailing out of Hong Kong fought back Gallantly today and finished Unchanged-------Wow I am Impressed!
Sailing for Hang Seng--One WEEK at a Time---&-----------------One DAY at a Time------------------&-----------15 MINUTES at a Time--
1738574363040.png
Salute and Stay Well

tumblr_nlnovsSITo1qciqqno5_540.gif
 
Ahoy Brave and Loyal Crew---
images.jpg
All hands on Deck at Dawn --Wet weather Gear is in order

In Quick Time and In Alphabetical Order
LOWER the AAR (-5.26 %)
LOWER the BTH (+2.29 %)
LOWER the CHN(-0.43 %)

LOWER the PGC(+3.88%)
LOWER the PNR(+4.76%)
LOWER the QOR(+1.04%)
LOWER the SLC(+1.04%)
LOWER the VGL(+2.82%)
and
HOIST the ACL #2
HOIST the MSB #2
HOIST the SGQ #3

I will cover these 3 Charts in my next post

US Industry ETFs------Tue 04 Feb 25, 8:22am (AEDT)​

NameValue% Chg
Commodities
Gold Miners
39.55+1.51%
Silver28.67+0.56%
Copper Miners37.99-0.50%
Steel60.51-0.66%
Strategic Metals40.16-1.11%
Uranium27.99-1.13%
Lithium & Battery Tech39.63-2.12%
Industrials
Agriculture27.64+0.14%
Aerospace & Defense156.74+0.10%
Global Jets25.685-1.33%
Construction75.95-1.55%
Healthcare
Biotechnology137.85-0.58%
NameValue% Chg
Cryptocurrency
Bitcoin23.62-0.14%
Renewables
CleanTech6.65-1.34%
Solar33.17-1.86%
Hydrogen21.25-2.52%
Technology
Video Games/eSports87.55+0.44%
Cybersecurity34.23-0.09%
Sports Betting/Gaming19.9-0.56%
FinTech32.96-0.57%
Cloud Computing25.42-0.59%
E-commerce29.8-1.42%
Robotics & AI32.62-1.69%
Semiconductor214.2-1.80%
Electric Vehicles22.61-2.46%

ASX TODAY

  • Nufarm provides trading update at AGM, demand for crop protection products has been strong, expects to achieve $100m in omega-3 revenue in FY25, cost saving and inventory reduction initiatives announced in Aug-24 are on track, have identified $50m of annualised cost savings to be realised in FY26 (NUF)
  • Star Entertainment under the eyes of Blackstone, suitor will likely wait to make a move after the company enters voluntary administration (SGR)

WHAT TO WATCH TODAY

  • Trump volatility: Developments during the overnight session eased some tariff concerns, particularly around comments from Mexico's President Sheinbaum that tariffs on her country would be postponed for a month in exchange for a commitment to send more troops to the US border. Trump is currently speaking with Trudeau, repeats he will speak to China's Xi in the next 24 hours. These developments could drive substantial volatility for both related stocks and broader indices
  • Gold: Bullion prices hit another fresh all-time high overnight, briefly tagging US$2,830 an ounce. In Aussie dollar terms, prices briefly hit A$4,604 but pulled back sharply amid some US dollar weakness. Regardless, this should drive positive flow for the local gold sector.

BROKER MOVES

  • Brickworks upgraded to Buy from Neutral; target up to $30.50 from $29.50 (UBS)
  • DigiCo Infrastructure REIT initiated Outperform with $5.33 target (MQG)
  • News Corp upgraded to Buy from Neutral; target up to $64.50 from $51 (UBS)
  • Nine Entertainment downgraded to Neutral from Buy; target cut to $1.45 from $1.65 (UBS)
  • oOh!Media downgraded to Neutral from Buy; target cut to $1.25 from $1.85 (UBS)
  • Qantas upgraded to High Conviction Outperform; target up to $10.90 from $10.70 (CLSA)
  • Reliance Worldwide downgraded to Neutral from Buy; target cut to $5.85 from $6.35 (UBS)

1738620302938.png

Salute and Gods' Speed
HMAS  Ship of Fools.gif
 
Well Done Crew---We're off to a Good Start ----------------Chart data is real-time, as of 04 02 2025 10:48am AEDT
z10907d0az14b68945ab2842eb8982578452f7e31f.png

All Eyes Now on China -------------- We Wait with Great Anticipation and Some Apprehension
 
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