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South Australian election 15 March 2014

Discussion in 'General Chat' started by drsmith, Jan 31, 2014.

  1. drsmith

    drsmith

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    With part of SA's most expensive road project opening today (South Road Superway), this should be a good day for the SA government.

    This though is how the current government is kicking off the election campaign.

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-01-31/farrell-to-run-for-sa-parliament/5229582
     
  2. drsmith

    drsmith

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  3. drsmith

    drsmith

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    Latest polls have this looking tight.

    From the little bit of that campaign I've seen, it looked very lacklustre.

    There's no odds on this at all on Sportsbet.
     
  4. drsmith

    drsmith

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  5. Smurf1976

    Smurf1976

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    It's a bit of a worry when the Liberal leader tells people to vote Labor!

    Birthday cakes, chocolate factories - it seems that politicians would be wise to keep well away from any food containing lots of sugar.
     
  6. drsmith

    drsmith

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    Chocolate is far less hazardous in the factory than it is on a birthday cake. Just ask John Hewson.

    It's good to see someone other than myself contributing to this thread. I was beginning to worry it might be more boring than the NT election thread.

    Labor's been trying to portray Steven Marshall as a bit of a goose. Today's little gaffe won't help.
     
  7. drsmith

    drsmith

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    Very interesting indeed.

    In terms of the final outcome, the most significant part of the Newspoll commentary below is highlighted in bold,

    http://www.theaustralian.com.au/nat...r-majority-rule/story-e6frgczx-1226855277547#
     
  8. drsmith

    drsmith

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    The Libs are struggling here with only a 1.5% swing in their favour. Their seas of Adelaide is in trouble.
     
  9. drsmith

    drsmith

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    Something here is going to be hung. Either Steven Marshall or the parliament, or both.
     
  10. drsmith

    drsmith

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    The Libs look like hanging on to Adelaide, but overall they aren't going to make it.

    Current seat count (ABC) is 22 Labor, 21 Lib and 2 Ind. The remaining 2 seats are slightly in favour of Labor.

    Of the 2 independents, one at least has poor relations with the Libs.

    It will be either a narrow Labor majority or a Labor/ind minority.
     
  11. sptrawler

    sptrawler

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    It doesn't sound like a heartening win for Labor, given the bad news S.A has had, since the Federal election.
     
  12. drsmith

    drsmith

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    They're be some serious soul searching for the Libs.

    This result is up there with John Hewson's of 1993.
     
  13. drsmith

    drsmith

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    Jay Weatherill has already been on the blower trying to contact Frome independent Geoff Brock.
     
  14. Smurf1976

    Smurf1976

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    That's not a good result for Labor, but they've done better in SA than anywhere else it would seem.
     
  15. drsmith

    drsmith

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    ABC seat count is now 23 Labor, 22 Lib and 2 Ind with no seats in doubt.

    There's a large proportion of pre-poll and postal votes to be counted (~160,000) which should favour the Libs based on earlier pre-election polling.

    The problem though that the narrowest margin amongst the Labor seats is Colton at 1.2%. It's a big ask for pre-polls and postals to overcome that or greater margins.

    Steven Marshall is still a technical chance to govern with the support of both independents, but I didn't find the vibe from Geoff Brock encouraging although Steve did put a good pitch to him in his speech that followed.
     
  16. drsmith

    drsmith

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    That was pre-poll voting. The outcome for those seats I imagine would have been better than that based on the overall result.

    I suspect it's more a case of the Libs doing worse.
     
  17. sptrawler

    sptrawler

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    It doesn't sound like it, when taking your previous posts as the status quo.

    I personaly haven't followed the S.A elections, other than through your posts.

    Maybe a clarification, of why it is a poor result for the Libs, may help
     
  18. drsmith

    drsmith

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    Whether it's 24/21 or 23/22 in favour of Labor, they didn't get a majority in an election that was there's to lose.

    That's a poor result.
     
  19. sptrawler

    sptrawler

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    Why, when the job loses in S.A car industry, are being attributed to the Libs?

    S.A is generally a Labor State, yet after the turmoil in the car manufacturing, they appear to be losing support.

    I just can't seem to follow your reasoning.:confused:
     
  20. Caveman

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    So who were the incumbent?
     
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