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Melbourne Cup 2012

Discussion in 'General Chat' started by Logique, Nov 3, 2012.

  1. Logique

    Logique Investor

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    Appreciate if someone could tip the 2012 Cup winner for me please.
     
  2. Ijustnewit

    Ijustnewit

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    Re: Melbourne Cup 2011

    I'm tipping # 15 MALUCKYDAY for a place bet or inclusion in multiples at around 14 to 1

    Should go well as down in weight 53.5kg as compared to other previous starts. Looking like a rainy afternoon as well and goes much better on a dead to heavy track. Drawn barrier 9 has Jimmy Cassidy on board and trainer is John Hawkes. Also out of Zabeel another really good stayer.

    Good Luck to all :rolleyes:
     
  3. Knobby22

    Knobby22 Mmmmmm 2nd breakfast

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    I did OK last year with Red Cadeaux, but I think this is one of the most high quality fileds ever this year.
    Lots of study. I wouldn't take less than than 7-1 for Red Cadeux or Americain.
     
  4. So_Cynical

    So_Cynical The Contrarian Averager

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    For what is worth i think its a very open race and that the handicapper and age might have ruled to top 2 out even though the top 2 have form and class...anyway ive settled on #8 Mount Athos, a European 6 Year old with 7 wins form 20 starts, the last win was a 2600 meter group 3 race in August...firm track will suit.
     
  5. Knobby22

    Knobby22 Mmmmmm 2nd breakfast

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    Yes, that was Offsiders top pick and though i reckon it is a good chance, I think the odds are too low to back.

    There are some other horses I think have almost equal chance. Will post tomorrow.
     
  6. Miss Hale

    Miss Hale

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    I was on Red Cadeaux last year too! Not sure yet what I will back this year yet.
     
  7. Logique

    Logique Investor

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    Thanks everyone. Looking for a bit of value, Ive decided to go with a trifecta:

    Americain
    Malucky Day
    My Quest For Peace
     
  8. havaiana

    havaiana

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    I've done a fair bit of research on the horses, historically the internationals are underpriced and good value (this holds true in all countries)

    Regarding the other races on cup day my tip for the meeting is back Craig Williams

    Also, no one should be betting at the TAB, sign up to an online bookie, get deposit bonus and place your bets pre race at top flucuation, i can't stress enough how important this is. It's like placing a trade through a tier one broker versus placing a trade on a cfd (a betting exchange is also sufficient)

    Other general advice, the favourite longshot bias is still alive and well in Oz so for the most part, stay away from the longshots, Also stay away from the backmarkers, particularly if there will not be alot of early pace in the race
     
  9. Calliope

    Calliope

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    FRANCESCA CUMANI HAS HER EYE ON MY QUEST FOR PEACE TO WIN THE 2012 MELBOURNE CUP

    207480-my-quest-for-peace.jpg

    Quinella this one with the other Cumani runner, MOUNT ATHOS.:xyxthumbs

    FrancescaCumani1700805.jpg

    They both have a touch of class:)
     
  10. dutchie

    dutchie

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    LIGHTS OF HEAVEN is a winner
     
  11. Knobby22

    Knobby22 Mmmmmm 2nd breakfast

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    My smokies are Fiorente and Bart's Sanaga which may surprise.
    I also like Galieo's choice, Dunaden, Americain, Red Cadeaux and My Quest for a Piece (sic).

    Worried Mount Athos is priced too strong on the odds. Cumani looks like he has pulled out all stops this year to win, I notice he didn't even race Mount Athos in Australia in case the weight rose.
     
  12. MrBurns

    MrBurns

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  13. Tink

    Tink

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    Win and Place -

    8. Mount Athos
    14. Green Moon
    17. My Quest for Peace
    24. Kellini

    Good luck all
     
  14. Gringotts Bank

    Gringotts Bank

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    I've been getting these emails from a guy called Derren Brown. I don't know who he is, but he's correctly predicted 9 winners in a row, ahead of time. I'm going to bet everything I have, and everything I can borrow on number 4. (wink wink)
     
  15. Gringotts Bank

    Gringotts Bank

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  16. Logique

    Logique Investor

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    Brown was on SBS last night GB. He explained that his system was really an elaborate pyramid scheme. He got huge numbers of people to vote variously on all the horses in the races. Losers were quietly refunded their outlay and departed.

    He retained and publicized the winners into the next round, until finally there remained one person who had won every time.

    He showed himself spinning a coin ten heads in a row, but later explained it took 9hrs of filming to achieve this.
     
  17. pixel

    pixel DIY Trader

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    I'd rather buy a Lotto ticket for tonight's $100M Jackpot. The odds may be longer, but I know that half of every bet is supporting a "worthy cause."
    As to the "sport" of horse racing: I'll only call it a sport when the jockeys run round the course, each carrying a horse on their back. :p: OK, some of the fillies make it a spectator sport, decked in (or out of) the latest fashion. But in that context, the horsing-around of the four-legged variety is just a distraction. ;)
     
  18. Miss Hale

    Miss Hale

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    I've gone with Red Cadeaux again and Galileo's Choice and, a couple of outsiders, Zabeelionaire and Fiorente (Gai Waterhouse has to win a Melbourne Cup soon surely!).

    Good Luck everyone and enjoy your day :)
     
  19. MrBurns

    MrBurns

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    I find it strange that, Damien Oliver, the jockey on the favourite, Americain, has just confessed to placing a $10,000 bet on another horse in a race he was in ...........yet..................he's still allowed to ride the favourite in the Melbourne Cup...:rolleyes:
     
  20. jancha

    jancha

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    Spoken as a true patriot.:rolleyes:
     
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