The 2014 crash looked inevitable to the exact timing and degree as the cycle patterns, yet nobody really predicted it.
Housing Prices: http://www.ampcapital.com/AMPCapital...t-3_150813.jpg
This ones not as clear as to whether we're in a bull or bear, but I've looked at longest period above trend:
1926 to 1938 - 12 years
1967 to 1978 - 11 years
2005 to 20-- - 10 years on going, suggests we're pushing the final years before a downturn.
Australian Unemployment - http://www.rba.gov.au/speeches/2012/...012-graph1.gif
We're in the 6% range in 2015 and expected to be trending up. Bad things happen when you can't keep unemployment below 6%, the 1982 and 1991 recessions occured when unemployed tried to get back under 6% and failed.
GDP Growth - http://www.rba.gov.au/speeches/2010/...810-graph1.gif
Troughs - 1963, 1974, 1982, 1991, 2001, 2008 or 11 years, 8 years, 9 years, 10 years, 7 years in between. Currently 7 years up until 2015, so a bottom in terms of GDP growth could be coming in the next few years.
We're also possibly approaching ends of cycles such as U.S Stock Market Bull Run, Fed Rates, Australia Stock market, RBA Rates.
Just putting this out there, if anyone has any thoughts, I'm interested in counter-information and counter-arguments as well.