Something different from the obvious troubles happening atm
I was intrigued watching Survivor recently. Given Techa and others drumming into us the importance of risk/reward, I thought this was interesting.
A woman had the chance to either take a new Pontiac and a good feed or pass it up and give the 4 other contestants the same prize ea. It was explained that in 11 series no one had gone on to win the $1 mil and was regarded as a curse after taking the car. She took the car and was the next voted off.
So the numbers
At that point 20% chance of $1 mil
She gives others cars her chance subjectively rises to 25% ( can't be measured) but highly unlikely to be voted off next tribal council
From here it's all subjective, not knowing how the game plays out, winning immunity, etc.
I'm asking is the reward ( $1 mil ) worth the risk of relinquishing a Pontiac for a better than 1 in 5 chance of the $1 mil, cause that's what I would have done.