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Old 22nd-February-2007, 08:03 PM   #41
Naif
 
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Default Re: Euro.... (going up again?)

i see a great chance to gain 150 pips in eurousd..
a very good support in the daily plus a good support in the rsi 14 days
buy 1.3065 and stop 50 pips and the target 1.3205

best wishes
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Old 22nd-February-2007, 09:21 PM   #42
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Default Re: Euro.... (going up again?)

Quote:
Originally Posted by Naif
i see a great chance to gain 150 pips in eurousd..
a very good support in the daily plus a good support in the rsi 14 days
buy 1.3065 and stop 50 pips and the target 1.3205

best wishes
Naif, you're back.

I see what you describe and concur...long long long long
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Old 22nd-February-2007, 10:25 PM   #43
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Default Re: Euro.... (going up again?)

Quote:
Originally Posted by Naif
some ppl told me that its illegal to tell u my orders or where to go long or short...
anyway if its legal hope u gonna tell me
..


still waitin for the answer
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Old 22nd-February-2007, 10:29 PM   #44
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Default Re: Euro.... (going up again?)

Quote:
Originally Posted by Naif
some ppl told me that its illegal to tell u my orders or where to go long or short...
anyway if its legal hope u gonna tell me
People are idiots...next thing you know they'll ban sugar.
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Old 22nd-February-2007, 10:31 PM   #45
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Default Re: Euro.... (going up again?)

Quote:
Originally Posted by theasxgorilla
Naif, you're back.

I see what you describe and concur...long long long long
how u doin man ?
do u agree with me technically or fundementally??
hope to see your opinion


as i have explained that i expect to see next week eurusd reach 3215 and i still think that we will see the eurusd fall to 3000 level.. anyway i still need the cot data for this week so i can see how the commercials are moving, i expect that they will increase just a few long positions.

good luck
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Old 22nd-February-2007, 10:33 PM   #46
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Default Re: Euro.... (going up again?)

what i meant that eurusd fall to 3000 is just after the expected raise , i expect to see eurusd 3215 and then maybe to 3275 and then start falling
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Old 22nd-February-2007, 11:59 PM   #47
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Default Re: Euro.... (going up again?)

Quote:
Originally Posted by Naif
do u agree with me technically or fundementally??
Both.

Do you expect to see 1.3000 AFTER 1.3215 or BEFORE?

I think it may hold up around 1.3065 as you say, or 1.3030, where a couple of 38.2% and 50% fibb retracements co-incide and a bit of historic support/resistance.
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Old 23rd-February-2007, 12:41 PM   #48
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Default Re: Euro.... (going up again?)

i expect to see 3000 after 3215 and maybe 3275
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Old 25th-February-2007, 03:48 PM   #49
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Default Re: Euro.... (going up again?)

the low for last week was 3080 ..
and eurusd closed this week above 3164...
the next weeks will be really hard for the dollar and i expect to see the dollar fall against all currencies specially the eur, chf, and jpy..
but after the rise will see 3000 again, i`m sure we will see alot of people say that eursd is going to 3450 and maybe 3550 and alot will buy and make their stop loss below 1.3100 and i think thats what the commercals and large speculators want so they will reverse the market and alot of stop losses will be taken out..
from my experince .. as i have said in the last week we will not see 3000 before we see 3215 and 3275 levels , and after the close i belive that we will see 3275 levels for sure and it will be a very good chance to short..
last week my order was to buy from 3065 but the low was 3080 .. now my orders are to buy from 3015 , and then buy again from 3065 and my sl will be 3000 .. the targets 3205, and 3260 and i might buy from 3145 i`m still not sure about this point ...

alot of analysits say that the weekly close for the eurusd is negative because it didn`t close above 3173 and this point they think its important because its 61.8% fibonacci in the weekly chart from 1.3364 to 1.2865 and also its the downtrend line in the weekly chart...

but technical analysis is not everything thats what i have learnt from the past and you know the history repeat itself..

hope to hear ur opinions traders
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Old 27th-February-2007, 09:15 PM   #50
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Default Re: Euro.... (going up again?)

Quote:
Originally Posted by Naif
the low for last week was 3080 ..
and eurusd closed this week above 3164...
the next weeks will be really hard for the dollar and i expect to see the dollar fall against all currencies specially the eur, chf, and jpy..
but after the rise will see 3000 again, i`m sure we will see alot of people say that eursd is going to 3450 and maybe 3550 and alot will buy and make their stop loss below 1.3100 and i think thats what the commercals and large speculators want so they will reverse the market and alot of stop losses will be taken out..
from my experince .. as i have said in the last week we will not see 3000 before we see 3215 and 3275 levels , and after the close i belive that we will see 3275 levels for sure and it will be a very good chance to short..
last week my order was to buy from 3065 but the low was 3080 .. now my orders are to buy from 3015 , and then buy again from 3065 and my sl will be 3000 .. the targets 3205, and 3260 and i might buy from 3145 i`m still not sure about this point ...

alot of analysits say that the weekly close for the eurusd is negative because it didn`t close above 3173 and this point they think its important because its 61.8% fibonacci in the weekly chart from 1.3364 to 1.2865 and also its the downtrend line in the weekly chart...

but technical analysis is not everything thats what i have learnt from the past and you know the history repeat itself..

hope to hear ur opinions traders

back again
this week untill now the high for eurusd is 3229 .. my orders to buy from 3145 , 3110, and 3065 but the price didn`t hit my orders and what i did the i bought from 3173 after the daily close above this important resistance..

moved my sl now to 3173 and cashed 1/2 of my positions and the 2`nd half will cash it from 3260.. and i will short from 3270 ..

this week when the new data for cot come out, i think that the speculators will decrease their long positions and the open intrest will be decreased..

lets see what gonna happen

cheers
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Old 28th-February-2007, 09:27 PM   #51
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Default Re: Euro.... (going up again?)

back again.. the high was 3258 so it didnt hit my 2nd target @3260 and the 1h bar couldnt close above 3250 , so i cashed my 2nd 1/2 at 3240..

i`m still not sure but i think this is gonna be the high for this week, and eurusd should close above 3170 this week to see next week 3270 - 3295 which i expect to be the high of march and i will start to rally my shorts to 3000 levels.. of course there is a possibilities that eurusd go above 3300 but it should not go above 3330 .. and i will short from 3270 and will short again from 3320 if it reachs it... this week when the data of cot come out, i expect to see the large speculators to decrease their longs positions..

good luck everyone
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Old 1st-March-2007, 06:48 PM   #52
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Default Re: Euro.... (going up again?)

changed my plan.
after the new data of the cot , i will wait to buy from bottoms maybe 3175 if its possible and the 1st target 3275 , 2nd target 3320 , and i will short from 3320 and will short again from 3365.. the open intrest rised to 202, and the large speculators increased their long positions from 105 to 117..
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File Type: gif EC-cot.gif (5.7 KB, 123 views)
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Old 1st-March-2007, 08:19 PM   #53
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Default Re: Euro.... (going up again?)

sorry guys, it seems just like if i were drunk... i saw the cot data and was shocked becuz the large specu`s increased but actually its not the new data because today is thursday but i dont know how did i see the date 02/27/07 ..
i hope that the moderator will delete it..

i`m sorry again just forget the last post, what i`m doin now is i have bought from 3200 and my target will be only 3265 , and will go short from 3270 , and again from 3320 , and again from 3365 but i expect that eurusd will fall from 3270 levels ..

sorry again.. and i`ll back soon
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Old 3rd-March-2007, 01:43 PM   #54
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Default Re: Euro.... (going up again?)

it seems that they want a weaker dollar...
large speculators ant the commercials increased their long positions, and the open intresr rised to 221......
now i can say long and only long...
the plan now is to buy bottoms and the 1st target 1.3285 2`nd target 1.3315 and watch the down trend line , any break will take eurusd to 1.3355
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Old 4th-March-2007, 04:17 PM   #55
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Default Re: Euro.... (going up again?)

L Plate E/W weekly I think I'll stand back and see what develops.
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Old 5th-March-2007, 06:18 PM   #56
Naif
 
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Default Re: Euro.... (going up again?)

Quote:
Originally Posted by Naif
it seems that they want a weaker dollar...
large speculators ant the commercials increased their long positions, and the open intresr rised to 221......
now i can say long and only long...
the plan now is to buy bottoms and the 1st target 1.3285 2`nd target 1.3315 and watch the down trend line , any break will take eurusd to 1.3355
now i think its the best price to buy.. eurusd 1.3138...
eurusd has tested the broken down-trend line...

the rally will start from here to test the high of the last week 1.3258

good luck everyone
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Old 6th-March-2007, 03:55 AM   #57
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Default Re: Euro.... (going up again?)

untill now eurusd didnt go below 1.3070 .. i have anouther order to buy from 1.3060 ... the target 1.3280
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Old 6th-March-2007, 01:45 PM   #58
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Default Re: Euro.... (going up again?)

trendline support 1.29

thats where Im loading up for a run to 1.36
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Old 6th-March-2007, 06:25 PM   #59
Naif
 
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Default Re: Euro.... (going up again?)

money tree..
i think that eurusd should not break down 3050 level..
the open intrest is still rising, the large speculators still increasing their long positions rapidly.. and thats why the eurusd couldn`t close below 3080 till now.. i think this level 3080 - 3050 is protected and supported.. and in this two weeks we will see 3280 - 3320 and maybe then 3360..
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Old 7th-March-2007, 07:12 PM   #60
Naif
 
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Default Re: Euro.... (going up again?)

Quote:
Originally Posted by money tree
trendline support 1.29

thats where Im loading up for a run to 1.36
i attach the chart to let u see how i see the eurusd future in this week with the number of commercial long positions and why i think that eurusd should go up before fallin because the commercials want to close their positions....
the 1st target is 3189 level, and then 3250 levels..

what do u think?
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