Obviously different battles conducted on different grounds and justification, and against a different enemy, but I'm anticipating this to be one very long drawn out affair to keep us engaged for many years with the end result being failure.
Over the next year or so I envisage Australia raising its committment to a Brigade size force including conventional infantry, mechanised elements and maybe even the deployment of jets and helicopters including the new ARH - if they can get them off the ground, all supported by a huge logistic element including a hospital. I reckon somewhere between 3000-5000 troops. It will be a composite brigade including a NZ Bn minus/Coy plus, and possibly a chunk of either US, Canadian or Brit forces.
We will be stuck there for possibly 10 years plus.
I doubt the battle against the Taliban can be won due to the terrain and their method of fighting. And, coming into a great depression where the poor muslims of the world are going to get poorer, it will be a fertile breeding ground for youths to be radicalised and turn to fight the evil Christains.
And, it's going to get more bloody. I heard somewhere that we were embedding a number of soldiers into the Afghan Army units to provide them support. These guys are fighting on the 'front line' in much more dangerous territory.
I'm not sure if Australia is prepared...
Not sure what there is to discuss on this topic. Just putting it out there as a general comment, or if anyone else thinks this is winnable, or worthwhile venture, or is there another way we can win this war?
Is diplomacy possible?