It's Mother's Day - Aussie Stock Forums

1. ## It's Mother's Day

For all the forgetful types out there - today (Sunday May 11) is Mother's Day - at the very least, call your mother!

2. ## Re: It's Mother's Day

bought the missus five scratchems.
you're not gonna believe this, but they didn't win!

First impression : you have 16 numbers in the range 1 to 48. (below the line). (maybe 1 to 50 - no significant diffce).
And all you have to do is scratch and match one of those numbers with any of the 4 "lucky numbers" (above the line). Should be easy right?

I make it each of those 4 numbers has a one chance in 3 of matching one of the 16 (16 in 48).
call that 2 in 3 of losing.
Hence chance of all 4 losing is (2/3) x (2/3) x (2/3) x (2/3) = .20 = 20%
(or 32/48 x 31/47 x 30/46 x 29/45 or whatever - not much difference = .18 = 18% )

Hence chance of (at least one lucky number) winning should be 80%. (per scratchem).

Chance of all 5 scratchems losing is 0.20 ^5 = 0.0003 = 0.03%. !

(Hence Chance of at least one winning = 99.97%) !

You gotta be crazy to think that those scratchems are anything other than a con

PS If you buy five scratchems per week for 64 years - there will (averaged across 64 year olds) only be one week when you lose!! - yeah right.

(perhaps the table has a tilt folks )

3. ## Re: It's Mother's Day

Think you are better off putting your money into shares, still a gamble, but an educated odds-in-favour gamble.

4. ## Re: It's Mother's Day

Originally Posted by farout
Think you are better off putting your money into shares, still a gamble, but an educated odds-in-favour gamble.
yep - spot on, farout- should have gone her halves in a BHP share

PS I also bought her an electronic gismo from the \$2 shop -
which doesn't work!
needles to say, I'm currently in damage control mode

(PS I can always resort to the old excuse , .. "hey - so they didn't win - so you're not my mother ok!" )

5. ## Re: It's Mother's Day

Originally Posted by 2020hindsight

Chance of all 5 scratchems losing is 0.20 ^5 = 0.0003 = 0.03%. !

(Hence Chance of at least one winning = 99.97%) !

You gotta be crazy to think that those scratchems are anything other than a con

PS If you buy five scratchems per week for 64 years - there will (averaged across 64 year olds) only be one week when you lose!! - yeah right.

(perhaps the table has a tilt folks )
2020, hows this, a while back i bought \$300 worth of scratchems and returned \$227.That proved to me once and for all, the advantage is with the scratchems company.

Anyway it`s a blue sky day today, hey,hey,hey.I wish all the mothers of us naughty men a wonderful day.

6. ## Re: It's Mother's Day

Originally Posted by Wysiwyg
2020, hows this, a while back i bought \$300 worth of scratchems and returned \$227.That proved to me once and for all, the advantage is with the scratchems company.

Anyway it`s a blue sky day today, hey,hey,hey.I wish all the mothers of us naughty men a wonderful day.

...

PS happy ending - the \$2 shop happily gave me another one of those electronic gismos - all's well that ends well. : 2twocents

7. ## Re: It's Mother's Day

Last chance for the true incorrigibles - only a few hours left to call your mother ... Final warning.

8. ## Re: It's Mother's Day

Happy Mother's Day to all the mums out there! I hope you're all having a relaxing Sunday.

9. ## Re: It's Mother's Day

Miss you Mum!

10. ## Re: It's Mother's Day

Originally Posted by Joe Blow
Happy Mother's Day to all the mums out there! I hope you're all having a relaxing Sunday.
I let her sleep in for an hour, made her a cup of tea, then told her to get up and make pancakes for me and the two boys .

11. ## Re: It's Mother's Day

Originally Posted by Logique
Miss you Mum!
You only get one Mum!

12. ## Re: It's Mother's Day

We had a wonderful day, and I hope all mothers, grandmothers felt very spoilt for the day also

13. ## Re: It's Mother's Day

Hoping all the mothers had a lovely, Mothers Day.

14. ## Re: It's Mother's Day

Happy Mother's Day to all the wonderful Mums.

15. ## Re: It's Mother's Day

And how do you celebrate Mother's Day?... We're going to visit with cake and wine)